2026/2027 season

Bundesliga

Team page
Bundesliga · Team page
1. FSV Mainz 05
Head coach: Urs Fischer · 3-5-2. Vérifié : lors de la 1re journée contre Paderborn (29/08/2026), fussballdaten.de a relevé un 3-1-4-2 (Zentner - da Costa, Gruber, Kohr - Sano - Caci, Lee, Amiri, Mwene - Becker, Tietz) ; Get German Football News décrit plutôt un 3-3-2-2. Le dénominateur commun vérifié est une défense à trois.
Rank
5th
Pts
10
P
6
Form
🟢 Good

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
7/10
Attack
7/10
Defence
6/10
Form
7/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:Very high

5th with 10 pts from 6 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats.

14 goals scored, 10 conceded.

Schalke 04 remains without home goal, Mainz 05 only wins away: In the Mainz victory on Schalke, two series continued.

Sportschau · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

FSV Mainz 05 plays in Gelsenkirchen.

Sportschau · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

FSV Mainz 05 changed, but there he quickly became a serious alternative among the professionals. After two Bundesliga substitutions, the 19-year-old left-back is now also officially professional.

kicker · 15 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Wvs FC Schalke 04 (A) · 1-0
Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H) · 3-4
Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) · 4-3
Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) · 1-3
Wvs Hamburger SV (A) · 5-0
WWWDLL
14 scored / 10 conceded over 6 matches played
Rest: 1 day since the last match · 2 matches played in the last 15 days
Home form
0W - 1D - 2L
Away form
3W - 0D - 0L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
2.8
Goals conceded per match
2.0
At home
4 scored · 7 conceded in 2 matches
Away
10 scored · 3 conceded in 3 matches
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 5
Both teams score
3 of 5
Clean sheets
2 of 5
Failed to score
0 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How 1. FSV Mainz 05 play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
3-5-2. Vérifié : lors de la 1re journée contre Paderborn (29/08/2026), fussballdaten.de a relevé un 3-1-4-2 (Zentner - da Costa, Gruber, Kohr - Sano - Caci, Lee, Amiri, Mwene - Becker, Tietz) ; Get German Football News décrit plutôt un 3-3-2-2. Le dénominateur commun vérifié est une défense à trois.
Philosophy
Back-three block, an openly stated priority on results and stability — Fischer said at the season restart: “I want to win matches, no matter whether it is pretty or ugly” (mainz05.de).
Attacking strengths
38 goals in 8 pre-season matches (7 wins, 1 draw) and a 9-0 in the Cup against Krieschow (4 goals from Tietz), but 0 goals and numerous missed chances in the opener against Paderborn (0-0); only 44 goals in 34 Bundesliga matchdays in 2025-26.
Defensive solidity
Clean sheet in the opener against Paderborn; 53 goals conceded in 2025-26 for a final 10th place (40 points).
Pressing
Get German Football News (17/08/2026) describes a high, aggressive pressing with ball recovery followed by immediate vertical attacks; note that an earlier analysis (Total Football Analysis, 20/02/2026) pointed on the contrary to poor coordination of the counter-pressing when Fischer arrived — the improvement is presented as pre-season progress, not as a statistically established fact.
Transitions
Quick verticality after recovering the ball, but a high defensive line exposed to fast counter-attacks (Get German Football News, 17/08/2026, example of the pre-season match against Bournemouth).
StrengthUnusual squad depth for the club, a well-stocked attacking rotation (Tietz, Königsdörffer, Becker), a versatile midfield (Amiri, Sano, Lee) and retention of the senior players (Sano and Amiri kept this summer).
WeaknessA “soft centre” that can be exploited once the opponent gets past the first line, a high line vulnerable to pace, and an inability observed from the outset to convert broad dominance (0-0 against a promoted side).

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Dented by a frustrating home draw against promoted Paderborn (0-0), despite clear territorial dominance and several clear chances missed. The week's context was more institutional than sporting, between the termination of Marco Richter's contract, Jürgen Klopp's visit to the Bruchweg and the extension of a partnership. The injury list remains heavy with four absentees, including Dominik Kohr for a prolonged period. The trip to Hamburg on Sunday must get the season going for a team still without a win in four Bundesliga matches.
Coach / players / board relationship
The board handled the end of the window methodically: Niko Bungert publicly explained the mutual termination of Marco Richter's contract, presented as a negotiated solution to spare him deadline pressure, with the player continuing to train with the group. Hyun-seok Hong's loan to FC Midtjylland was justified in the same way, by the absence of any guarantee of playing time. No tension between Urs Fischer and his board is reported, and both Christian Heidel and Stefan Hofmann were there to welcome Jürgen Klopp to the Bruchweg.
Mood with the supporters
Sporting frustration at the MEWA Arena, but a supporter base that keeps widening: the club now counts more than 220 official fan clubs, over sixty of them created in two years, with recent additions in Israel, Tanzania and Sweden, and has passed 30,000 members. The oldest still-active fan clubs, founded in 1996, are approaching their thirtieth anniversary. The club sustains that link with regular events, from tournaments at the MEWA Arena to information evenings and subsidised away travel.
Pressure on the head coach
Low. Urs Fischer is credited with last season's recovery and no public criticism of him is reported. He is, however, working with a defence deprived of Dominik Kohr for a long spell and of Eric Martel, and has to find a solution to the lack of finishing seen against Paderborn. The trip to Hamburg is the first fixture where the result will really matter for him.
Club objectives
No official numerical objective could be verified for 2026-27. Verified: at the restart, Fischer said that “a certain stability has been established, but we are not there yet”, and called for more attacking output. The club are in no European competition. Institutionally, the line is explicitly geared to the academy: extending the partnership with JobImpulse until 2028 funds the academy to the tune of 250 euros for every home goal scored.
Recent internal tensions
No open conflict. The weak points are sporting: the attacking inefficiency seen against Paderborn, and an injury list of four names in which Dominik Kohr's prolonged absence unbalances the back three. The late-window departures — Hanche-Olsen to the United States, Hong to Denmark, Richter released from his contract — were negotiated without public conflict.
Absences
InjuredDominik Kohr — Ankle injury which a scan at the end of August confirmed would keep him out for a prolonged period.
InjuredPaul Nebel — Injured for around a month according to LigaInsider; exact nature not specified by the sources consulted.
InjuredSilas — Fractured tibia and fibula: out for close to six months, with no return date given.
InjuredEric Martel — Knee injury; in fitness rehabilitation for a little over a month.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen

At homeSaturday 24 October at 15:30Matchday 7
In 6 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.
What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
Estimate1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen
53 %
1 · 1. FSV Mainz 05
20 %
X · draw
27 %
2 · SV Werder Bremen
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by 1. FSV Mainz 05, 6 matches by SV Werder Bremen. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 193 goals scored over 104 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.86 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    1. FSV Mainz 05 — attack14 in 6 matches1.261.13
    1. FSV Mainz 05 — defence10 in 6 matches0.900.95
    SV Werder Bremen — attack12 in 6 matches1.081.04
    SV Werder Bremen — defence12 in 6 matches1.081.04
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 0.50 for SV Werder Bremen. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.23 goal scored on average by the host against 1.48 by the visitor, over the 44 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.51; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.42, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.19. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    1. FSV Mainz 05 at home: 0.33 pts/match versus 1.67 overall over 3 matches → ×0.880
    SV Werder Bremen away: 0.67 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 3 matches → ×0.880
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λ1. FSV Mainz 05 = 1.86 × 1.13 × 1.04 × 1.19 × 0.880 = 2.28
    λSV Werder Bremen = 1.86 × 1.04 × 0.95 × 0.880 = 1.61
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 52.8%, draw 20.0%, away win 27.2% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 8.6%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Alexander Schwolow
  • Robin Zentner
  • Maximilian Kinzig
Defenders
  • Phillipp Mwene
  • Fabio Gruber
  • Stefan Posch
  • Stefan Bell
  • Anthony Caci
  • Danny da Costa
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen
  • Silvan WidmerC
  • Dominik Kohr
  • Kacper Potulski
Midfielders
  • Eric Martel
  • Kaishu Sano
  • Jae-Sung Lee
  • Paul Nebel
  • Nadiem Amiri
  • Hyunseok Hong
  • Lennard Maloney
  • Otto Ruoppi
  • Marco Richter
  • Sota Kawasaki
Forwards
  • Phillip Tietz
  • Ransford Königsdörffer
  • Benedict Hollerbach
  • Sheraldo Becker
  • Silas Katompa Mvumpa
  • Alynho Haidara
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: Kader page of the official mainz05.de website (breakdown by position taken as is from the club), cross-checked with the matchday 1 line-up recorded by fussballdaten.de. The armband had not been officially assigned at the time of the bundesliga.com article on the 2026/27 captains, which presents Widmer as the main candidate..

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
From 6.30 pm live - Mainz 05 welcomes VfL Wolfsburg
Source: Sportschau
rss17 Oct 2026
Bundesliga: Schalke disappoints in the next away coup of Mainz 05
Source: Sportschau
rss17 Oct 2026
BVB frighteningly harmless – Paderborn shocks Bremen twice – Mainz leads on Schalke
Source: Welt Sport
rss17 Oct 2026
Schalke 04 - Mainz 05, live - 124; Bundesliga
rss17 Oct 2026
Listen live: FC Schalke 04 against FSV Mainz 05 - Bundesliga
Source: Sportschau
rss12 Oct 2026
Bundesliga: Leverkusen retains the upper hand in spectacle in Mainz
Source: Sportschau
Institutional3 Sep 2026
Mainz have extended until 2028 their partnership with the services provider JobImpulse, both an academy backer and an 05ER Partner. The agreement includes an original mechanism: 250 euros go to the WOLFGANG FRANK CAMPUS academy for every goal scored at home. David Schössler, the club's B2B director, praised a relationship that has “become a partnership built on trust”, and JobImpulse's chief executive, Alexander Wittker, said he was “doubly happy at every home goal”.
Contract2 Sep 2026
Marco Richter, 28, and Mainz have terminated his contract by mutual agreement with effect from 1 September, which allows him to sign elsewhere even after the window has closed since he is now a free agent. Sporting director Niko Bungert explained the move: “We had worked out a plan with Marco for a new sporting challenge. Despite interesting options, the right solution was not there. To avoid deadline pressure, we agreed to terminate his contract so that he can sign beyond it.” Richter continues to train with the professional squad to stay in condition.
Transfers2 Sep 2026
Attacking midfielder Hyun-seok Hong has been loaned for the season to FC Midtjylland, the club explaining that the competition in his position did not allow it to guarantee him sufficient playing time.
Transfers2 Sep 2026
Attacking midfielder Hyun-seok Hong has been loaned for the season to FC Midtjylland: Mainz explained that the strong competition in his position did not allow them to guarantee him regular playing time. It is his third loan in two years.
Club1 Sep 2026
Germany's new head coach Jürgen Klopp visited the WOLFGANG FRANK CAMPUS at the Bruchweg as part of his tour of Bundesliga clubs. There he met Christian Heidel, president Stefan Hofmann, head coach Urs Fischer and the professional players. “It was something special,” he said, having spent eighteen years at the club as a player and then head coach: “A lot has changed for the better, there are now three grass pitches where there used to be a gravel one.” Klopp will announce his first squad on 17 September before his debut on the 24th in the Netherlands.
Supporters1 Sep 2026
The supporter network keeps expanding: more than 220 fan clubs are now officially registered with Mainz, over sixty of them created in the last two years, with new ones in Israel, Tanzania and Sweden, in addition to existing groups in Luxembourg. The oldest still-active fan clubs date back to 1996 and are approaching their thirtieth anniversary. The club also passed 30,000 members last year.
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Andreas Hanche-Olsen has left the club to join Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on deadline day.
Transfers1 Sep 2026
The summer window closed with the arrivals of Stefan Posch, from Como, Sheraldo Becker, goalkeeper Alexander Schwolow and forward Ransford Königsdörffer, signed from Hamburger SV.
Club31 Aug 2026
Silvan Widmer has ended his international career with Switzerland. The 33-year-old right-back leaves a record of 65 caps and 5 goals, with two World Cups and two European Championships played. He will now be able to devote himself exclusively to Mainz, without international breaks.
Source: LigaInsider
Injury31 Aug 2026
Mainz's injury list has four names before the trip to Hamburg, on Sunday 6 September at 15:30: Dominik Kohr, whose unavailability a scan has confirmed, Paul Nebel, out for a month, Silas, who suffered a fractured tibia and fibula and has been out for close to six months, and Eric Martel, with a knee injury and in fitness rehabilitation. The projected line-up keeps Robin Zentner in goal, a back three including Stefan Posch, and a Sheraldo Becker - Phillip Tietz attacking pair.
Source: LigaInsider
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.