2026/2027 season

Bundesliga

Team page
Bundesliga · Team page
RB Leipzig
Head coach: Martín Demichelis · 4-3-3
Rank
7th
Pts
9
P
6
Form
🟡 Average

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
8/10
Attack
6/10
Defence
4/10
Form
4/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:Very high

7th with 9 pts from 6 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats.

16 goals scored, 11 conceded.

FC Bayern humiliates RB Leipzig in the top game. After the whistle, Lothar Matthew comments on the discussion about Joshua Kimmich. The record national player chooses clear words.

Welt Sport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

In a week the Eindhoveners lost to RB Leipzig (0-1) and ADO Den Haag (2-1) and saw Feyenoord this weekend, making the distance to the leading position four points. The trainer doesn't shoot into stress after the disappointing results.

Voetbalprimeur · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The former footballer sees that the team of Peter Bosz, who in turn lost to RB Leipzig and ADO Den Haag, is currently struggling. The loss of Joey Veerman and Ismael Saibari breaks PSV on ..There are people [...] Continue reading... The post PSV in trouble? They now miss that extra quality .

Soccernews · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

In the 6:1 against Leipzig Harry Kane excelled not only as a goal scorer and preparer. It’s stupid that this role is not allowed on Wednesday.

kicker · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs FC Bayern München (A) · 1-6
Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) · 6-0
Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A) · 0-2
Wvs Hamburger SV (H) · 5-0
Lvs SV Werder Bremen (A) · 1-3
WWWLLL
16 scored / 11 conceded over 6 matches played
Rest: 1 day since the last match · 2 matches played in the last 15 days
Home form
3W - 0D - 0L
Away form
0W - 0D - 3L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
2.6
Goals conceded per match
2.2
At home
11 scored · 0 conceded in 2 matches
Away
2 scored · 11 conceded in 3 matches
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 5
Both teams score
2 of 5
Clean sheets
2 of 5
Failed to score
1 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How RB Leipzig play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
4-3-3
Philosophy
A declared return to the Red Bull DNA: “very aggressive against the ball, very creative with the ball, lots of tempo” according to captain David Raum, with Demichelis's stated ambition that every opponent should dread the trip to Leipzig.
Attacking strengths
A convincing start: 3-0 against Mönchengladbach on 29/08 (Baku 26', Nusa 49', Reitz 66') with 3.96 expected goals against 1.02 for the opposition according to official Bundesliga data; the attack has nevertheless lost its best player with the departure of Yan Diomande.
Defensive solidity
An opening clean sheet with an experienced centre-back pairing (Orbán, Lukeba) strengthened by the arrival of Maxime Estève; only one match played, no reliable defensive trend at this stage of the season.
Pressing
Aggressive, high pressing claimed by the new coaching staff, presented as a toughening-up compared with the Ole Werner era; the expected-goals gap on matchday 1 points in that direction, but the sample is a single match.
Transitions
Fast, vertical transition play towards Nusa, Bakayoko and Gomis, with full-backs pushed very high — Raum describes a role in which he can “always push forward”.
StrengthA settled defensive line (Baku, Orbán, Lukeba, Raum) in front of Vandevoordt, the return of a goalscorer who knows the club in Christopher Nkunku, and a young pool of attacking talent (Nusa, Gruda, Bakayoko, Gomis); an ideal start for Demichelis.
WeaknessThe loss of Yan Diomande, the best attacking asset, replaced by a Nkunku whose output in Milan was poor (7 goals in 34 matches according to Ahoi Leipzig); a bloated squad (around 32 players); injuries in midfield (Baumgartner, Ouédraogo, Rômulo); few players with Champions League experience.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
High. The opening 3-0 against Mönchengladbach immediately gave credibility to Martín Demichelis's project; he spoke of a day he “will never forget” while himself pointing to the last fifteen minutes and a lack of control without the ball. The treatment room has thinned out, with only three names listed before the trip to Bremen, and Assan Ouedraogo is back on the pitch. The squad goes into matchday 2 with the pecking order still open, notably in goal between Maarten Vandevoordt and Ørjan Nyland.
Coach / players / board relationship
Marcel Schäfer answered the calls for reinforcements made publicly by Martín Demichelis in August: midfielder Neil El Aynaoui arrived on a paid loan from AS Roma with a €25m purchase option, the sporting director explaining that he “fits our profile and our playing philosophy very well”. In parallel the club trimmed to the last, loaning El Chadaille Bitshiabu to Galatasaray and selling Ayodele Thomas to NEC Nijmegen. No tension between the staff and the board is reported.
Mood with the supporters
The restart produced a powerful image, with Demichelis naming “the supporters' tifo” first among the satisfactions of his debut. That buy-in has yet to be consolidated, though: part of the crowd has not digested the parting with Ole Werner despite Champions League qualification, and the relationship between the board and the fanbase remains a sensitive question. The season's first big European night, with Manchester City and PSV Eindhoven among the home fixtures, will be a test.
Pressure on the head coach
Pressure on Demichelis is low at this stage. He has started with a clear win and a measured message, and he got the reinforcements he asked for. The remit remains clear — European qualification again — but nothing in the sources consulted suggests his position is in question. The trip to Bremen, on Saturday 5 September at 15:30, is his first away test.
Club objectives
A Champions League qualifying place, an objective set publicly by Martín Demichelis in August, and a European league phase to navigate. The draw fell on the hard side: Manchester City, PSV Eindhoven, Shakhtar Donetsk and RC Lens at the Red Bull Arena, Real Madrid, Manchester United, Feyenoord and Como away, between 8 September and 27 January.
Recent internal tensions
No internal conflict reported. The identified friction is outside the dressing room: discontent among part of the support towards the board after Ole Werner's dismissal, and a squad still large that the club kept reducing up to the deadline, with the departures of Bitshiabu, Thomas, Masanka Bungi and Conrad Harder.
Absences
InjuredViggo Gebel — Cruciate ligament rupture: out for around ten months according to LigaInsider.
InjuredChristoph Baumgartner — Torn thigh tendon sustained before the World Cup; he is at the first running sessions, out for around three months.
DoubtfulAssan Ouedraogo — Shoulder injury; back on the training pitch after around four weeks out, with no guarantee of immediate availability.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

RB Leipzig — SV Elversberg

At homeSaturday 24 October at 15:30Matchday 7
In 6 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
EstimateRB Leipzig — SV Elversberg
62 %
1 · RB Leipzig
16 %
X · draw
22 %
2 · SV Elversberg
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by RB Leipzig, 6 matches by SV Elversberg. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 193 goals scored over 104 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.86 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    RB Leipzig — attack16 in 6 matches1.441.22
    RB Leipzig — defence11 in 6 matches0.990.99
    SV Elversberg — attack12 in 6 matches1.081.04
    SV Elversberg — defence11 in 6 matches0.990.99
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for RB Leipzig and 0.50 for SV Elversberg. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.23 goal scored on average by the host against 1.48 by the visitor, over the 44 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.51; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.42, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.19. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    RB Leipzig at home: 3.00 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 3 matches → ×1.120
    SV Elversberg away: 1.33 pts/match versus 1.67 overall over 3 matches → ×0.945
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λRB Leipzig = 1.86 × 1.22 × 0.99 × 1.19 × 1.120 = 2.99
    λSV Elversberg = 1.86 × 1.04 × 0.99 × 0.945 = 1.81
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 61.8%, draw 16.5%, away win 21.7% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 6.7%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Maarten Vandevoordt
  • Ørjan Nyland
  • Leopold Zingerle
Defenders
  • Maxime Estève
  • Willi Orbán
  • El Chadaille Bitshiabu
  • Ridle Baku
  • David RaumC
  • Castello Lukeba
  • Max Finkgräfe
  • Benjamin Henrichs
  • Lukas Klostermann
  • Lutsharel Geertruida
  • Abdoul Koné
Midfielders
  • Nicolas Seiwald
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi
  • Rocco Reitz
  • Christoph Baumgartner
  • Assan Ouédraogo
  • Eljif Elmas
  • Andrija Maksimović
  • Arthur Vermeeren
  • Benno Kaltefleiter
  • Viggo Gebel
  • Joyeux Masanka Bungi
Forwards
  • Christopher Nkunku
  • Antonio Nusa
  • Brajan Gruda
  • Johan Bakayoko
  • Tidiam Gomis
  • Conrad Harder
  • Rômulo
  • Ayodele Thomas
  • Robert Ramšak
  • Sani Suleiman
  • Samba Konaté
Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: fussballdaten.de and fussballtransfers.com (2026/27 squads) cross-checked with bundesliga.com (2026/27 captains, 18/08/2026, which confirms Raum as captain and Baumgartner as deputy); Yan Diomande removed as transferred to Real Madrid on 06/08, Péter Gulácsi removed as reported to have left on a free by bulinews and Ahoi Leipzig.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
Kane's special role: How Bayern Leipzig dismantled
Source: kicker
rss17 Oct 2026
" It is really not in shape »: weakened by a virus, Vincent Kompany wanted to be present on the bench of Bayern Munich against Leipzig
Source: L'Équipe
rss17 Oct 2026
Bayern plays Leipzig from the mat (6-1), Dortmund spill points at Union Berlin
Source: NOS Voetbal
rss17 Oct 2026
Bayern responds to critics and applies a sip to RB Leipzig
Source: zerozero
rss17 Oct 2026
Bayern Munich crushes RB Leipzig in Bundesliga before facing Arsenal in Champions League
Source: L'Équipe
rss17 Oct 2026
Bavaria shoots itself against Leipzig the frustration of the soul
Source: Sportschau
Transfers2 Sep 2026
The financial terms of Neil El Aynaoui's arrival are known: the 25-year-old Moroccan midfielder is on a one-year loan from AS Roma for €4m, with Leipzig holding a purchase option set at €25m next summer. A Morocco international with 22 caps, he played at the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations and the World Cup, starting every match. Marcel Schäfer justified the choice: “In Neil El Aynaoui we are getting a player who fits our profile and our playing philosophy very well.” The club had been looking for a midfielder after the absences of Baumgartner and Ouedraogo and Xaver Schlager's move to Nottingham Forest.
Source: Get German Football News
Transfers2 Sep 2026
El Chadaille Bitshiabu has been loaned to Galatasaray, the deal including a purchase option valued at between €25m and €30m. The 21-year-old centre-back, signed from Paris Saint-Germain in summer 2023, was looking for playing time after a 2025-26 season of eleven Bundesliga appearances, eight of them starts. The situation had previously gone down several routes, with a loan to Lens falling through and a Salzburg option ruled out.
Source: Bulinews
Club1 Sep 2026
The club also continued to move its young players on: Joyeux Masanka Bungi has been loaned to VfB Stuttgart's reserve side, who play at U21 level, to find the playing time he would not have got in Saxony.
Source: LigaInsider
Transfers1 Sep 2026
The club has confirmed the signing of forward Marc Guiu from Chelsea, under contract until 2031, as a direct response to Conrad Harder's departure.
Source: Fussballdaten
Transfers1 Sep 2026
The summer window closed on ambitious attacking recruitment: alongside Marc Guiu, Leipzig registered the loans of Christopher Nkunku, back from AC Milan, and Neil El Aynaoui from Roma, as well as the arrival of Rocco Reitz. Loïs Openda left for Juventus and Xaver Schlager for Nottingham.
Source: Bundesliga.com
Injury31 Aug 2026
Leipzig's injury list is down to three names before the trip to Bremen. Viggo Gebel remains out after around ten months following a cruciate ligament rupture. Christoph Baumgartner is at the first running sessions, and Assan Ouedraogo is back on the training pitch. For matchday 2, the projected line-up puts Maarten Vandevoordt in goal, pairs Rocco Reitz with Nicolas Seiwald in midfield and starts Brajan Gruda and Antonio Nusa on the flanks.
Source: LigaInsider
Head coach29 Aug 2026
Martín Demichelis did not hide his emotion after his winning Bundesliga debut: “I will never forget this day. The supporters' tifo, a performance like that, three points, three goals — everything really went well.” The Argentine added some nuance: “Apart from the last fifteen minutes, we played forward constantly and controlled the game. The first half was difficult.” He acknowledged spells in which the team “lacked control without the ball” and made a point of thanking his entire staff.
Source: Bulinews
Result29 Aug 2026
A perfect start for Martín Demichelis: Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-0 on matchday 1, through Ridle Baku, Antonio Nusa and Rocco Reitz, the last of those scoring against the club that developed him, from a Christopher Nkunku pass. The Argentine head coach savoured it: “I am not going to forget this day. Three goals, three points, everything ended well.”
Source: Bundesliga.com
Other29 Aug 2026
A successful Bundesliga debut for Martín Demichelis: Leipzig beat Mönchengladbach 3-0 (Baku 26', Nusa 49', Reitz 66' against his former club), with 3.96 expected goals against 1.02.
Source: Bundesliga.com
European competition27 Aug 2026
Placed in pot 3, RB Leipzig have drawn a very demanding Champions League league phase: home to Manchester City, PSV Eindhoven, Shakhtar Donetsk and RC Lens, away at Real Madrid, Manchester United, Feyenoord and Como. The competition runs from 8 September 2026 to 27 January 2027.
Source: Bulinews
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.