2026/2027 season

Bundesliga

Team page
Bundesliga · Team page
SV Elversberg
Head coach: Vincent Wagner · 4-2-3-1
Rank
6th
Pts
10
P
6
Form
🟡 Average

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
7/10
Attack
6/10
Defence
5/10
Form
5/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:High

6th with 10 pts from 6 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats.

12 goals scored, 11 conceded.

FC Augsburg is self-critical enough after the bankruptcy in Elversberg - but also looks for mistakes with the referee.

kicker · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

It was a memorable Bundesliga match on Saturday afternoon in Elversberg. Because the 4:3 between the SVE and FC Augsburg was not only a goal but also a penalty gala, as it is very rare to see.

kicker · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

This game had everything that football fans wanted: many goals, controversial decisions, two storming teams - in the end, the SV Elversberg cheered and not the FC Augsburg.

Sportschau · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Augsburg also travels to Elversberg.

kicker · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Wvs FC Augsburg (H) · 4-3
Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin (A) · 0-1
Dvs FC Schalke 04 (A) · 0-0
Lvs FC Bayern München (H) · 1-2
Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) · 4-3
WWWDLL
12 scored / 11 conceded over 6 matches played
Rest: 1 day since the last match · 2 matches played in the last 15 days
Home form
2W - 0D - 1L
Away form
1W - 1D - 1L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
1.8
Goals conceded per match
1.8
At home
5 scored · 5 conceded in 2 matches
Away
4 scored · 4 conceded in 3 matches
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 5
Both teams score
3 of 5
Clean sheets
1 of 5
Failed to score
2 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How SV Elversberg play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
4-2-3-1
Philosophy
Continuation of the project launched under Horst Steffen: ambitious positional play, brave with the ball, built on young players loaned or bought from richer clubs and a double pivot that secures the build-up.
Attacking strengths
Three goals in the very first Bundesliga match in the club's history (3-2 against Bayer Leverkusen, 29/08/2026): Lukas Petkov (8'), Cole Campbell (9') and David Mokwa (46'); Petkov had already contributed 13 goals and 7 assists during the promotion season.
Defensive solidity
Relative solidity still to be confirmed: the block held out until the 77th minute against Leverkusen before conceding two goals (Schick 77', Kofane 90+1') — the match xG (1.35 for Elversberg, 2.18 for Leverkusen, source Bundesliga.com) indicate a win above the statistical output.
Pressing
Ambitious, coordinated pressing early in the match — the first two goals come from a high ball recovery and a misplaced pass by Tapsoba — but the block drops back markedly late in the match under pressure from the opposition.
Transitions
Very fast attacking transitions down the flanks, with the pace and one-on-one ability of Cole Campbell and the switches of play from Francis Onyeka (on loan from… Leverkusen); playing out from the back remains the foundation of the game.
StrengthMaximum momentum and confidence after an opening upset, a recognised development/recruitment model (Nick Woltemade and Paul Wanner passed through the club), and a total absence of pressure linked to the status of the league's smallest budget.
WeaknessYoung squad with no top-flight experience (seven Bundesliga debutants in the starting line-up against Leverkusen), very limited financial means, and a stadium still under construction: the Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde, around 10,000 seats, must be increased to 15,000 to meet DFL requirements (HOAI.de, 21/05/2026).

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Confidence is at its peak after a 3-2 win against Bayer Leverkusen in the very first match in the club's history in the top flight. Vincent Wagner immediately reframed the message: it was courageous football that produced that result, and it is the only possible path in this league. He also warned his squad that a quality opponent would punish any timidity, a reading confirmed by the late pressure endured against the Rhinelanders. The trip to Mönchengladbach, the club's first in the Bundesliga, will say whether the feat was an accident or a foundation.
Coach / players / board relationship
The board and the staff share a perfectly explicit project, set out by technical director Josef Welzmüller around three principles: be brave, be intense, be smart. The club signs young players with high potential using a two-person scouting department, guarantees them playing time and an individual plan, and then sells them on, as the departures of Younes Ebnoutalib and Nick Woltemade showed. Filimon Gerezgiher's negotiated departure to Düsseldorf illustrates the same candour: the club told him openly that he would not play enough. Vincent Wagner therefore works within a stable and perfectly legible framework.
Mood with the supporters
The euphoria born of the opening win against Leverkusen comes with a particular context: the club comes from a town of 13,000 people with no railway station, and it had to organise shuttles to absorb the influx for the first match. The stadium, the Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde, remains the smallest in the top flight and is the subject of an administrative stand-off over its extension. No conflict between the public, the players and the board has been reported; the mood is described as unanimously festive. The first away trip, to Mönchengladbach, will also be a discovery for SVE's supporters.
Pressure on the head coach
Pressure on Vincent Wagner is virtually non-existent. He arrives in the top flight crowned by a historic promotion and immediately gave the club its first Bundesliga win. His post-match message, centred on standards rather than the feat, was praised. The club publicly accepts that it will succeed or fail “the Elversberg way”, which largely protects its head coach.
Club objectives
Survival and establishing themselves in the Bundesliga remain the stated objective, while continuing to develop young players. Josef Welzmüller goes further by explaining that the club would rather preserve its identity than optimise its survival: success will be measured by fidelity to the project as much as by the table. Institutionally, the major issue is taking the Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde to 15,500 seats to meet the DFL's requirements. That project is currently blocked by a dispute with the local council.
Recent internal tensions
The only identified tension is off the pitch and concerns the extension of the north stand: the municipality of Spiesen-Elversberg judges the planning application inadmissible, for lack of safety documents on fire protection, circulation and evacuation. Kai-Uwe Frantz, an executive of the stadium company, denounces a change of position after initial “unreserved” support and points out that work on the lower sections has already begun lawfully. The conflict therefore pits the club's sporting ambition against local building law, each side invoking safety. Inside the dressing room, no tension has been reported.
Absences
InjuredLuis Seifert — A long absence announced by the club; close to two months already missed.
InjuredTom Zimmerschied — Back injury; still building back up, around six weeks out recorded.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

RB Leipzig — SV Elversberg

AwaySaturday 24 October at 15:30Matchday 7
In 6 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
EstimateRB Leipzig — SV Elversberg
62 %
1 · RB Leipzig
16 %
X · draw
22 %
2 · SV Elversberg
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by RB Leipzig, 6 matches by SV Elversberg. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 193 goals scored over 104 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.86 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    RB Leipzig — attack16 in 6 matches1.441.22
    RB Leipzig — defence11 in 6 matches0.990.99
    SV Elversberg — attack12 in 6 matches1.081.04
    SV Elversberg — defence11 in 6 matches0.990.99
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for RB Leipzig and 0.50 for SV Elversberg. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.23 goal scored on average by the host against 1.48 by the visitor, over the 44 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.51; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.42, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.19. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    RB Leipzig at home: 3.00 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 3 matches → ×1.120
    SV Elversberg away: 1.33 pts/match versus 1.67 overall over 3 matches → ×0.945
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λRB Leipzig = 1.86 × 1.22 × 0.99 × 1.19 × 1.120 = 2.99
    λSV Elversberg = 1.86 × 1.04 × 0.99 × 0.945 = 1.81
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 61.8%, draw 16.5%, away win 21.7% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 6.7%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Frank Lehmann
  • Elias Etringer
  • Nicolas Kristof
  • Tim Boss
Defenders
  • Nicholas Mickelson
  • Florian Le Joncour
  • Luis Seifert
  • Lukas PinckertC
  • Lasse Günther
  • Luca Sirch
  • Jan Gyamerah
  • Maximilian Rohr
  • Felix Keidel
Midfielders
  • Amara Condé
  • Maurice Krattenmacher
  • Lukasz Poreba
  • Noah Darvich
  • Jason Ceka
  • Raif Adam
  • Frederik Schmahl
  • Lukas Petkov
  • Filimon Gerezgiher
  • Tom Zimmerschied
  • Cole Campbell
  • Francis Onyeka
Forwards
  • Noel Futkeu
  • Luca Pfeiffer
  • Luca Schnellbacher
  • David Mokwa
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: sv07elversberg.de (official professional squad); captain announced by the bundesliga.com 2026/27 teamcheck, but the list of captains published by bundesliga.com still presents him as “probable”.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss17 Oct 2026
Happy ending for SV Elversberg in the spectacle against FC Augsburg
Source: Sportschau
rss17 Oct 2026
HSV cheers late - Double pack of filling pitcher - Worries about Karetsas - Curiosities from Elversberg
Source: kicker
rss17 Oct 2026
Now live - Dramatic final phase in Elversberg
Source: Sportschau
rss17 Oct 2026
Elversberg - Augsburg, live - 124; Bundesliga
Source: Mundo Deportivo
rss17 Oct 2026
Listen Live: SV 07 Elversberg against FC Augsburg - Bundesliga
Source: Sportschau
rss12 Oct 2026
Bundesliga: Burcu goal stops Unions victoryless series against Elversberg
Source: Sportschau
Injury3 Sep 2026
Two players are missing before the trip to Mönchengladbach: Luis Seifert, out for close to two months, and Tom Zimmerschied, still in fitness rehabilitation after his back injury.
Source: LigaInsider
Transfers3 Sep 2026
Forward Jason Ceka has been loaned for a year to SC Cambuur Leeuwarden, a deal made possible by the later closing of the Dutch market. He remains under contract with Elversberg until 30 June 2028.
Source: Fussballdaten
Institutional1 Sep 2026
The extension of the stadium's north stand has run into an administrative block: the municipality of Spiesen-Elversberg is contesting the planning application, which its legal advisers judge inadmissible for lack of safety documents on fire protection, circulation and evacuation for a capacity of 15,500 spectators. Kai-Uwe Frantz, an executive of the stadium company, is surprised by a change of position after initial “unreserved” support and points out that work on the lower sections has already begun with the required permissions.
Source: Headtopics
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Filimon Gerezgiher is leaving SVE for Fortuna Düsseldorf, his contract having been terminated by mutual agreement with a season still to run. Sporting director Christian Weber explains: “We told Filimon openly that it would be difficult for him to get the playing time he wanted in our current squad.” Signed from SGV Freiberg in summer 2024, the winger had spent the 2025-26 season on loan at FC Emmen, in the Netherlands.
Source: SV 07 Elversberg (site officiel)
Transfers1 Sep 2026
The summer window closed on bold gambles: Cole Campbell arrived from Dortmund and Maurice Krattenmacher from Bayern Munich, while Francis Onyeka was loaned by Leverkusen.
Source: Bundesliga.com
Club31 Aug 2026
Technical director Josef Welzmüller set out the club's model: three unshakeable principles, “be brave, be intense, be smart”, applied both in possession and in the press. “Identity is bigger than everything,” he sums up, embracing the idea of changing nothing whatever the opposition. The club signs young players with high potential, guarantees them playing time and an individual development plan, and then sells them on — Younes Ebnoutalib and Nick Woltemade being the recent examples — with a scouting department of only two people.
Source: Get German Football News
Head coach29 Aug 2026
Vincent Wagner set the course after the opening feat against Bayer Leverkusen: “We will have to keep playing courageous football, it is the only way to have a chance in this league.” He also warned his squad: “When we are not smart and we only manage small things, a good opponent can punish us.”
Source: Get German Football News
Result29 Aug 2026
A sensation on their Bundesliga debut: Elversberg beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-2, thanks to Lukas Petkov (8), Cole Campbell (11) and David Mokwa (46), before withstanding the fightback of Patrik Schick (80) and Christian Kofane (90+1).
Source: Site officiel du SV 07 Elversberg
Club29 Aug 2026
The win is historic: Elversberg are the first promoted side in eleven years to win their opening Bundesliga match, and the most modest club ever to appear in the German top flight. Vincent Wagner summed it up: “We wrote history today. We were brave, we were active, and we were rewarded for our efforts.”
Source: Fussballdaten
Transfers15 Aug 2026
Eintracht Frankfurt loan striker Noel Futkeu (23), last season's 2. Bundesliga top scorer, to Elversberg until 30 June 2027 with an option to buy.
Source: Eintracht Frankfurt (site officiel)
News last verified on 17 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.