2026/2027 season

Bundesliga

Team page

Bundesliga · Team page

SV Werder Bremen

Head coach: Daniel Thioune · Sources divergentes : 4-3-3 lors du onze aligné à Fribourg le 30/08/2026 (Weser-Kurier) ; les analyses de présaison décrivaient plutôt un hybride 4-2-3-1 / 4-1-4-1 avec un seul milieu bas.

Rank

8th

Pts

9

P

6

Form

🟢

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

7/10

Attack

4/10

Defence

6/10

Form

7/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:Medium

8th with 9 pts from 6 matches: 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat.

12 goals scored, 12 conceded.

Spectacle was also offered in the third game in the Weserstadion, but this time it was not enough for Werder to win. Niclas Füllkrug was once again the man to whom the headlines belonged.

kicker · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Niclas Füllkrug saves Werder Bremen alone from defeat. After that, he has to ask himself questions about a possible return to the national team. Filling pot teems the reporter.

Welt Sport · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Spectacle was also offered in the third game in the Weserstadion, but this time it was not enough for Werder to win. Niclas Füllkrug was once again the man to whom the headlines belonged.

kicker · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Dvs SC Paderborn 07 (H) · 2-2

Dvs Borussia Dortmund (A) · 2-2

Wvs FC Augsburg (H) · 3-2

Dvs 1. FC Köln (A) · 1-1

Wvs RB Leipzig (H) · 3-1

WWDDDL

12 scored / 12 conceded over 6 matches played

Rest: 1 day since the last match · 2 matches played in the last 15 days

Home form

2W - 1D - 0L

Away form

0W - 2D - 1L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

2.2

Goals conceded per match

1.6

At home

8 scored · 5 conceded in 3 matches

Away

3 scored · 3 conceded in 2 matches

Over 2.5 goals

4 of 5

Both teams score

5 of 5

Clean sheets

0 of 5

Failed to score

0 of 5

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How SV Werder Bremen play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity

Preferred system

Sources divergentes : 4-3-3 lors du onze aligné à Fribourg le 30/08/2026 (Weser-Kurier) ; les analyses de présaison décrivaient plutôt un hybride 4-2-3-1 / 4-1-4-1 avec un seul milieu bas.

Philosophy

Verified fact: Thioune, appointed on 04/02/2026 to turn around a team in danger, says he demands “the implementation of the basics”; independent tactical analyses describe a team seeking possession with aggressive counter-pressing and a deep midfield positioned high up the pitch.

Attacking strengths

Only one goal on matchday 1, scored by Dariusz Stalmach (76th minute) in Freiburg. The department has been reshaped around the return of Niclas Füllkrug (on loan from West Ham, 49 goals in 124 matches in this shirt) and the arrival of Cedric Itten.

Defensive solidity

Very worrying from the outset: 4 goals conceded in Freiburg, including a hat-trick by Yuito Suzuki, with a defence deprived of Mitchell Weiser and Felix Agu and three Bundesliga debutants in the starting eleven.

Pressing

No verified figures in the Bundesliga. Pre-season analyses credit Bremen with good counter-pressing intensity against lower-level opponents, but Thioune had publicly complained about a lack of defensive willingness in transition after the friendly against Auxerre.

Transitions

Identified weakness: the team came to Freiburg to play on the counter according to buten un binnen, but became increasingly passive and had no answer after the 1-0 (29th minute). Pre-season analyses had already pointed to spaces left open in defensive transition.

StrengthThe return of a benchmark goalscorer in Füllkrug, broader attacking depth (Itten, Dinkçi, Njinmah, Grüll), the integration of youngsters from the academy and reorganised sporting planning; stable leadership with Marco Friedl reappointed captain for a 5th season.

WeaknessA porous defence, a heavy injury list (Stage, Topp, Weiser, Agu), non-existent understanding with many new arrivals, and a lack of cohesion acknowledged by Füllkrug himself after the match (“we have quality but the connections are still missing”).

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood

Squad confidence

Confidence is low after a 4-1 hiding at Freiburg, which extends a run of fourteen consecutive seasons without a win on matchday 1. Daniel Thioune acknowledged that the patterns were not in place, and Niclas Füllkrug himself spoke of individual quality without “connections”. The week brought an emergency addition, Youri Regeer, but also another serious injury, to Justin Njinmah. Hosting RB Leipzig on Saturday 5 September at 15:30 therefore looks like a high-risk fixture.

Coach / players / board relationship

Daniel Thioune, who arrived in February 2026 with the backing of sporting director Clemens Fritz, retains control of the squad rebuild after securing survival. The board reacted very quickly to Jens Stage's absence by going to get Youri Regeer from Ajax on the Sunday after the diagnosis, a sign of a short chain of decision. In parallel it has kept trimming, with Julian Malatini's expected loan to the United States. No public tension has been reported between staff, board and dressing room.

Mood with the supporters

The mood remains cautious: the 2025-26 season was described by local media as “a season to forget” and the failed opener at Freiburg did not help. No organised protest has been reported, however, and the club continues to invest in its immediate surroundings by buying the Hansewasser-Bad swimming pool next to the Weserstadion. That building is to become the women's team's headquarters, extending the modernisation of the stadium district. Hosting Leipzig is the season's first home fixture.

Pressure on the head coach

Pressure on Daniel Thioune is moderate. He fulfilled his survival brief last season and has just rebuilt the squad, which gives him credit. But a start to the season against Freiburg, Leipzig and then Cologne would very quickly put him under scrutiny in the event of a poor run. The pile-up of attacking injuries, with Stage, Njinmah, Agu and Topp unavailable, does give him objective mitigating circumstances.

Club objectives

The objective Daniel Thioune states is to “reach 40 points as quickly as possible” to secure survival, before considering anything better. Bundesliga.com's preview refers to the ambition of climbing back towards the top half after a 15th-place finish. Institutionally, the club is continuing to professionalise its facilities with the purchase of the Hansewasser-Bad, intended for the women's team. In the short term, it is above all about establishing patterns the head coach considers still non-existent.

Recent internal tensions

No open conflict, but Clemens Fritz's words about a lack of courage on the ball after Freiburg's opening goal sound like a warning. The Justin Njinmah situation, whose move to Hull City fell through before he suffered a serious injury, remains the dressing room's most sensitive. Replacing the traditional players' council with a “leadership group” around Marco Friedl has, by contrast, prompted no public objection. The club also chose not to sign another winger despite Njinmah's injury, which could become an issue.

Absences

InjuredJens Stage — Operated on for a serious thigh muscle injury; the club announces he will not play again this calendar year.

InjuredJustin Njinmah — Serious injury sustained at the end of August, nature not specified by the club; an announced absence of several weeks, possibly several months.

InjuredFelix Agu — Muscle injury; more than a month already missed.

InjuredKeke Topp — Cruciate ligament rupture suffered in May 2026; still unavailable.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen

AwaySaturday 24 October at 15:30Matchday 7

In 6 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

Estimate1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen

53 %

1 · 1. FSV Mainz 05

20 %

X · draw

27 %

2 · SV Werder Bremen

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by 1. FSV Mainz 05, 6 matches by SV Werder Bremen. Confidence: medium

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 193 goals scored over 104 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.86 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
1. FSV Mainz 05 — attack14 in 6 matches1.261.13
1. FSV Mainz 05 — defence10 in 6 matches0.900.95
SV Werder Bremen — attack12 in 6 matches1.081.04
SV Werder Bremen — defence12 in 6 matches1.081.04
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 0.50 for SV Werder Bremen. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.23 goal scored on average by the host against 1.48 by the visitor, over the 44 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.51; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.42, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.19. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
1. FSV Mainz 05 at home: 0.33 pts/match versus 1.67 overall over 3 matches → ×0.880
SV Werder Bremen away: 0.67 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 3 matches → ×0.880
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_{1. FSV Mainz 05} = 1.86 × 1.13 × 1.04 × 1.19 × 0.880 = 2.28
λ_{SV Werder Bremen} = 1.86 × 1.04 × 0.95 × 0.880 = 1.61
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 52.8%, draw 20.0%, away win 27.2% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 8.6%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers

Karl Hein
Markus Kolke
Alexander Schlager
Stefan Smarkalev

Defenders

Olivier Deman
Oskar Wójcik
Niklas Stark
Amos Pieper
Mitchell Weiser
Julián Malatini
Felix Agu
Marco FriedlC
Mick Schmetgens

Midfielders

Jens Stage
Samuel Mbangula
Senne Lynen
Ludovit Reis
Chuki
Dariusz Stalmach
Patrice Čović
Skelly Alvero
Darwin Soylu

Forwards

Keke Topp
Niclas Füllkrug
Justin Njinmah
Marco Grüll
Eren Dinkçi
Kenny Quetant
Dawid Kownacki
Cedric Itten
Salim Musah
Paul Erevbenagie

Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: Official “Kader des Bundesliga-Teams” page of werder.de (consulted on 31/08/2026), cross-checked against sport.de's squad page and bundesliga.com's list of 2026/27 captains. Discrepancy in positional classification between werder.de and sport.de for Olivier Deman (defender for the club, midfielder for sport.de); the club's version was retained..

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss17 Oct 2026

The return to Werder DNA: "Here the spectacle is at home"

Source: kicker

rss17 Oct 2026

Bundesliga, slows down Dortmund: only equal with the Berlin Union. Fullkrug saves the Werder

Source: Corriere dello Sport

rss17 Oct 2026

Dortmund spills points, Reis and Regeer take point with Werder Bremen

Source: Voetbalprimeur

rss17 Oct 2026

Werder Bremen - Paderborn, live - 124; Bundesliga

Source: Mundo Deportivo

rss17 Oct 2026

100 years of Weserstadion: An anniversary for Werder Bremen

Source: Sportschau

rss14 Oct 2026

"We wanted a change": Fritz explains the new Werder mindset

Source: kicker

Injury3 Sep 2026

Bremen's injury list remains very heavy before Leipzig's visit: Keke Topp has been out since May after a cruciate ligament rupture, Felix Agu is missing more than a month with a muscle injury, Jens Stage has had thigh surgery and Justin Njinmah has just been added to the list.

Source: LigaInsider

Transfers2 Sep 2026

Youri Regeer, 23, has been loaned for a year by Ajax Amsterdam with a €5m purchase option and will wear number 44. Presented on Wednesday, he describes a lightning transfer triggered by Jens Stage's diagnosis: “On Sunday morning there was a call, and by Sunday evening I was already driving to Bremen.” He refuses comparisons: “Jens is Jens and Youri is Youri,” and says he is ready for Leipzig's visit.

Source: DeichStube

Transfers2 Sep 2026

Defender Julian Malatini is expected to be loaned to the United States, a deal made possible by the later closing of the North American market.

Source: DeichStube

Injury1 Sep 2026

Another attacking blow: Justin Njinmah has been seriously injured, the club not having specified the exact nature of the problem. The local press refers to an absence of several weeks, possibly several months. The 25-year-old winger, whose move to Hull City fell through during the summer, had already missed part of last season because of muscle problems and persistent ankle pain.

Source: Weser-Kurier

Institutional1 Sep 2026

Werder have bought the Hansewasser-Bad swimming pool next to the Weserstadion from the city for €500,000 gross, of which €378,000 for the building and the land and €50,000 for ten years of exclusive rights to use the outdoor pool from September to April. Bremer Bäder will remain tenants of the ground floor for around €29,000 a year, close to €290,000 over ten years. The building is to become the women's team's new headquarters.

Source: DeichStube

Injury1 Sep 2026

Jens Stage had to undergo surgery on a thigh injury. The club has announced that he will not play again this calendar year.

Source: Comunio

Transfers1 Sep 2026

Deadline day brought two loans: Moussa Ndiaye, from Anderlecht for a year with a purchase option, and full-back Arthur, on loan from Bayer Leverkusen.

Source: Fussballdaten

Result30 Aug 2026

Werder made a poor start with a 4-1 defeat at Freiburg. Daniel Thioune acknowledged the shortcomings: “We let ourselves be pushed back by a set-piece goal and we lost the thread before the break. The patterns are not yet working as they are at Freiburg.”

Source: Site officiel du SV Werder Bremen

Injury30 Aug 2026

Jens Stage is suffering from a serious thigh muscle injury sustained in the final training session before the trip to Freiburg; the club announces an absence of several months and is no longer counting on him in 2026.

Source: SV Werder Bremen (site officiel)

Institutional20 Aug 2026

Marco Friedl is confirmed as captain for a fifth consecutive season; Daniel Thioune is doing away with the traditional players' council and announces the appointment of two vice-captains by 31 August, within a “leadership group”.

Source: SV Werder Bremen (site officiel)

News last verified on 17 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.