2026/2027 league phase

Champions League

Club page

Champions League · Club page

Bodø/Glimt

Head coach: Kjetil Knutsen · 4-3-3

Rank

24th

Pts

3

P

2

Form

🟡

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

2/10

Attack

4/10

Defence

5/10

Form

5/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:—

24th with 3 pts from 2 matches: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 defeat.

1 goals scored, 5 conceded.

Bodo/Glimt starred in one of the surprises of the second round of the Champions League league round, winning the Borussia Dortmund by 1-0 this Wednesday.

zerozero · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Bodo/Glimt bounce back from their thrashing at Bayern with a fine 1-0 win in the Champions League over Borussia Dortmund.

BBC Sport · 14 Oct 2026

At Bodø/Glimt there was a deserved defeat.

Sportschau · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Veerman had a base spot against FK Bodø/Glimt, but got a lot of criticism of his performance.

Voetbal International · 15 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Wvs Borussia Dortmund (H) · 1-0

Lvs FC Bayern München (A) · 0-5

WL

1 scored / 5 conceded over 2 matches played

Rest: 4 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days

Home form

1W - 0D - 0L

Away form

0W - 0D - 1L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

0.5

Goals conceded per match

2.5

At home

1 scored · 0 conceded in 1 match

Away

0 scored · 5 conceded in 1 match

Over 2.5 goals

1 of 2

Both teams score

0 of 2

Clean sheets

1 of 2

Failed to score

1 of 2

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Bodø/Glimt play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity

Preferred system

4-3-3

Philosophy

Attacking strengths

Defensive solidity

Pressing

Transitions

Strength

Weakness

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Absences

No absence recorded in the editorial content.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Napoli — Bodø/Glimt

AwayTuesday 20 October at 21:00Matchday 3

In 2 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

EstimateNapoli — Bodø/Glimt

51 %

1 · Napoli

21 %

X · draw

28 %

2 · Bodø/Glimt

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 2 matches played by Napoli, 2 matches by Bodø/Glimt. Confidence: low

The calculation rests on only 2 matches per team. Shrinkage deliberately pulls the estimate close to a neutral split: it barely tells the two teams apart.

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 141 goals scored over 68 team-matches played (34 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 2.07 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
Napoli — attack1 in 2 matches0.240.81
Napoli — defence4 in 2 matches0.960.99
Bodø/Glimt — attack1 in 2 matches0.240.81
Bodø/Glimt — defence5 in 2 matches1.211.05
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.25 for Napoli and 0.25 for Bodø/Glimt. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.47 goal scored on average by the host against 1.68 by the visitor, over the 34 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.47; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.36, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.15. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
Napoli at home: 0.00 pts/match versus 0.00 overall over 1 match → ×1.000
Bodø/Glimt away: 0.00 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 1 match → ×0.889
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_Napoli = 2.07 × 0.81 × 1.05 × 1.15 × 1.000 = 2.03
λ_Bodø/Glimt = 2.07 × 0.81 × 0.99 × 0.889 = 1.48
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 50.5%, draw 21.4%, away win 28.1% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 9.1%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Squad not documented for this team yet.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss14 Oct 2026

Champions League: Borussia Dortmund patzt at Bodø/Glimt

Source: Sportschau

rss14 Oct 2026

Bodo/Glimt impress in win over Dortmund

Source: BBC Sport

rss15 Oct 2026

German press sees Veerman wrestling against Bodø/Glimt: "Many steps too late"

Source: Voetbalprimeur

rss14 Oct 2026

One goal, three points and a surprise: Bodo/Glimt takes the best on Dortmund

Source: zerozero

rss14 Oct 2026

Bodø/Glimt defeats Dortmund, Porto loses in final phase against Feyenoord-opponent

Source: Voetbalprimeur

rss14 Oct 2026

Aston Villa pulvérise Fenerbahçe, Bodö/Glimt offers Borussia Dortmund

Source: L'Équipe

Result3 Sep 2026

Bodø/Glimt sit top of the Eliteserien with 44 points from 18 matchdays.

Source: Glimt.no

Institutional3 Sep 2026

The club has called a members' meeting for Saturday 19 September at 19:00 at the Huset Pub in Bergen, with chief executive Frode Thomassen and chairman Inge Henning Anderson present; football matters and the new arena are on the agenda, with questions to be submitted before midday on 15 September. The meeting will not be streamed online.

Source: Glimt.no

Transfers3 Sep 2026

Danish forward Mikkel Bro Hansen, 17, is leaving Bodø/Glimt for PSV Eindhoven. Signed from AGF Aarhus in January 2025 at the age of 16, he had become the youngest scorer in Eliteserien history in the autumn of 2025: “I stand here today a completely different man,” he said, judging that his time in Bodø had been “100% the right choice”.

Source: Glimt.no

Supporters30 Aug 2026

For the opener at the Allianz Arena, Bodø/Glimt have 3,779 away places, on sale at 340 kroner each. Members received a code on 31 August and could buy from 12:00 on 1 September, with general sale opening on 2 September at 15:00; orders close on 8 September at 14:00 and the tickets will be distributed by Bayern.

Source: Glimt.no

Club30 Aug 2026

Kjetil Knutsen ruled out any signing before the Norwegian window closed on 2 September, despite injuries in his squad: “there is nothing to suggest that at the moment,” he said, when captain Patrick Berg had been certain the club would strengthen after qualification.

Source: VG

Result30 Aug 2026

Bodø/Glimt beat Rosenborg 4-2 with a brace from Andreas Helmersen, described by Patrick Berg as “a perfect striker for Glimt” and now the club's most reliable scorer since Kasper Høgh left.

Source: VG

European competition29 Aug 2026

The league-phase schedule is known: Bayern Munich away on 10 September (21:00), Borussia Dortmund at home on 14 October, Napoli away on 20 October, Lille at home on 3 November, LASK at home on 24 November (18:45), Lens away on 9 December, Atlético Madrid at home on 19 January (18:45) and Club Brugge away on 27 January.

Source: Glimt.no

European competition27 Aug 2026

The league-phase draw sends Atlético Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, Lille and LASK to Aspmyra, and Bodø/Glimt away to Bayern Munich, Club Brugge, Napoli and Lens.

Source: Aftenposten

Club25 Aug 2026

Bodø/Glimt qualified for the 2026-27 Champions League league phase by beating NEC Nijmegen 3-0 (6-1 on aggregate) on 25 August 2026.

Source: beIN Sports

News last verified on 15 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.