2026/2027 league phase

Champions League

Club page

Champions League · Club page

Fenerbahçe

Head coach: İsmail Kartal · 4-2-3-1

Rank

28th

Pts

1

P

2

Form

🟠

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

2/10

Attack

2/10

Defence

2/10

Form

2/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:—

28th with 1 pts from 2 matches: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat.

1 goals scored, 7 conceded.

Romelu Lukaku has made his first goal for Fenerbahçe, but with that the discussion about him is not over. The 33-year-old Belgian was definitely in the win against Alanyaspor on Saturday.

Voetbal International · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Bad time for Fenerbahçe stars! Enriched on the lawn of Aston Villa Wednesday night (6-0), the players of the Stambouliote club take very expensive after this humiliation. Starting with Mason (...)

Foot Mercato · 16 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Johan Manzambi celebrated his 21st birthday by opening the scoring on his first Champions League appearance, before Nicolas Jackson took the game beyond Fenerbahce’s reach with two more goals before half-time to help banish any fears about playing in front of the demolished North Stand. Continue reading...

The Guardian — Football · 14 Oct 2026

It was a European night full of goals in the Champions League, to the point that the Aston Villa even achieved its greatest victory in history in European races, after winning the Fenerbahçe Turks by 6-0.

zerozero · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Lvs Aston Villa FC (A) · 0-6

Dvs AS Roma (H) · 1-1

DL

1 scored / 7 conceded over 2 matches played

Rest: 4 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days

Home form

0W - 1D - 0L

Away form

0W - 0D - 1L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

0.5

Goals conceded per match

3.5

At home

1 scored · 1 conceded in 1 match

Away

0 scored · 6 conceded in 1 match

Over 2.5 goals

1 of 2

Both teams score

1 of 2

Clean sheets

0 of 2

Failed to score

1 of 2

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Fenerbahçe play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity

Preferred system

4-2-3-1

Philosophy

Attacking strengths

Defensive solidity

Pressing

Transitions

Strength

Weakness

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Absences

InjuredJayden Oosterwolde — Operated on in Finland on the hamstring tendon of his left leg on 1 September; no return date has been given by the club.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Fenerbahçe — Slavia Praha

At homeTuesday 20 October at 18:45Matchday 3

In 2 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

EstimateFenerbahçe — Slavia Praha

43 %

1 · Fenerbahçe

20 %

X · draw

37 %

2 · Slavia Praha

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 2 matches played by Fenerbahçe, 2 matches by Slavia Praha. Confidence: low

The calculation rests on only 2 matches per team. Shrinkage deliberately pulls the estimate close to a neutral split: it barely tells the two teams apart.

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 141 goals scored over 68 team-matches played (34 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 2.07 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
Fenerbahçe — attack1 in 2 matches0.240.81
Fenerbahçe — defence7 in 2 matches1.691.17
Slavia Praha — attack2 in 2 matches0.480.87
Slavia Praha — defence5 in 2 matches1.211.05
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.25 for Fenerbahçe and 0.25 for Slavia Praha. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.47 goal scored on average by the host against 1.68 by the visitor, over the 34 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.47; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.36, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.15. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
Fenerbahçe at home: 1.00 pts/match versus 0.50 overall over 1 match → ×1.111
Slavia Praha away: 0.00 pts/match versus 0.00 overall over 1 match → ×1.000
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_Fenerbahçe = 2.07 × 0.81 × 1.05 × 1.15 × 1.111 = 2.26
λ_{Slavia Praha} = 2.07 × 0.87 × 1.17 × 1.000 = 2.12
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 42.8%, draw 19.7%, away win 37.5% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-2 (only 7.2%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Squad not documented for this team yet.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss17 Oct 2026

Fenerbahçe: Marco Asensio in torment

Source: Foot Mercato

rss15 Oct 2026

Aston Villa : Unai Emery savors cardboard against Fenerbahçe

Source: Foot Mercato

rss14 Oct 2026

Villa rewrite the record books as they hit Fenerbahce for six

Source: BBC Sport

rss14 Oct 2026

Aston Villa run riot in record-breaking win over Fenerbahce as Mason Greenwood taunted on UK return

Source: The Independent — Football

rss15 Oct 2026

Emery: "Fenerbahçe didn't deserve a 6-0"

Source: L'Équipe

rss14 Oct 2026

Aston Villa rocks Fenerbahçe and achieves the greatest victory ever in Europe

Source: zerozero

Suspension3 Sep 2026

Fenerbahçe have announced that UEFA opened disciplinary proceedings against Matteo Guendouzi, Mason Greenwood and the club itself after the play-off second leg against Olympique Lyonnais; the statement specifies that the players' and the club's defence will be presented to the relevant bodies.

Source: Fanatik

Result3 Sep 2026

The season's first derby will be played on Saturday 5 September at 20:00 at the Şükrü Saracoğlu complex, on matchday 4 of the Süper Lig, against Beşiktaş. İsmail Kartal goes into it with a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 10 league derbies across his three spells, and remains unbeaten in nine derbies.

Source: Fanatik

Head coach3 Sep 2026

İsmail Kartal's plan for the derby comes down to one formula: load the left, finish on the right. The left flank is to exploit the spaces left by Murillo's forward runs, with Vedat Muriqi acting as a focal point to free Mason Greenwood; Guendouzi is charged with marking Orkun Kökçü and Škriniar with marking Vlahović, under instructions to avoid any risky pass in their own half.

Source: Fanatik

Institutional3 Sep 2026

Fanatik put at €45.5m the total fees paid in recent seasons for Cengiz Ünder (€15m), Sofyan Amrabat (€14m), Diego Carlos (€11.5m) and Anthony Musaba (€5m), all of whom left this summer for free or on loan with no fee, the club having had to make room in its foreign-player quota and its wage bill.

Source: Fanatik

Club2 Sep 2026

Before the session of 2 September at the Can Bartu centre, international referee Anthony Taylor, invited by the Turkish federation's refereeing committee, led a UEFA refereeing seminar for Fenerbahçe's coaching staff and players, who then went on to core work, sprints, coordination and passing drills.

Source: Fanatik

Transfers2 Sep 2026

On İsmail Kartal's recommendation, Fenerbahçe directed their final searches towards Argentina and Boca Juniors midfielder Milton Delgado, 21, who has a release clause of $15m and 34 competitive appearances for the Argentine club.

Source: Fanatik

Injury1 Sep 2026

The club has announced that Dutch defender Jayden Oosterwolde was successfully operated on in Finland for a hamstring tendon injury in his left leg, with no length of absence given.

Source: Anadolu Ajansı

Club1 Sep 2026

Sporting director Cihan Kamer confirmed four departures at the end of the window: Becao, Diego Carlos, Çağlar Söyüncü and Anderson Talisca, while indicating that Oosterwolde would stay at the club to be treated there.

Source: Takvim

Other1 Sep 2026

Fenerbahçe made Turkey international Can Uzun their priority for the playmaker role: Eintracht Frankfurt are asking around €40m and the Istanbul club prepared a loan-with-option formula, the Turkish window remaining open until 4 September.

Source: A Haber

Transfers31 Aug 2026

On 31 August Fenerbahçe confirmed that Diego Carlos had been given permission to undergo a medical and negotiate his transfer with Parma, in Italy; the club specified that what followed would be announced once the tests and discussions were complete.

Source: Sözcü

News last verified on 17 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.