2026/2027 league phase

Champions League

Club page
Champions League · Club page
PSV Eindhoven
Head coach: Peter Bosz · 4-2-3-1
Rank
26th
Pts
1
P
2
Form
🟠 Poor

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
2/10
Attack
9/10
Defence
2/10
Form
2/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:—

26th with 1 pts from 2 matches: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat.

1 goals scored, 2 conceded.

FC Porto continues to prepare the duel of the third round of the Champions League in front of the PSV and again trained on Sunday morning.

zerozero · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The match between FC Porto and PSV, counting on the Champions League, will be directed by Daniel Siebert. The German referee has already whistled several European matches of Portuguese teams.

zerozero · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Peter Bosz is enthusiastic about the young talents at PSV. During the match against ADO Den Haag, Mikkel Bro Hansen, Amir Bouhamdi and Shuryjano Cornecion got playing time from the practice master. Bosz predicts a bright future for the three teenagers, despite the 2-1 defeat against ADO.

Voetbalprimeur · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Feyenoord entered Telstar's field on Saturday night in the knowledge that competitor PSV had spilled expensive points in The Hague. Givairo Read acknowledges: That was a nice feeling.

Voetbal International · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs RB Leipzig (A) · 0-1
Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk (H) · 1-1
DL
1 scored / 2 conceded over 2 matches played
Rest: 5 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
0W - 1D - 0L
Away form
0W - 0D - 1L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
0.5
Goals conceded per match
1.0
At home
1 scored · 1 conceded in 1 match
Away
0 scored · 1 conceded in 1 match
Over 2.5 goals
0 of 2
Both teams score
1 of 2
Clean sheets
0 of 2
Failed to score
1 of 2
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How PSV Eindhoven play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
4-2-3-1
Philosophy
Attacking strengths
Defensive solidity
Pressing
Transitions
Strength
Weakness

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Very high: PSV have scored fifteen goals in four matchdays and have just put six past Utrecht.
Coach / players / board relationship
The board was aggressive to the last minute, with four further signings completed on deadline day and a contract extension offered to an eighteen-year-old.
Mood with the supporters
PSV have the most expensive season ticket in the league, €347.50 for the cheapest option, a price set in consultation with a panel bringing together different supporter factions (NLTimes, 7 Aug 2026).
Pressure on the head coach
Bosz is targeting a fourth consecutive title, a feat only Ajax and PSV have achieved in the league's history, while needing to cut the number of goals conceded sharply. He begins his Champions League campaign on 10 September against Shakhtar Donetsk, with the knockout phase as the stated target.
Club objectives
A fourth Eredivisie title in a row — Opta gives them a 48.6% chance — a sharp reduction in goals conceded and qualification for the Champions League knockout phase.
Recent internal tensions
No internal tension reported at this stage.
Absences
InjuredAlassane Pléa — Seriously injured in training in mid-August, he is announced as out at least until the international break on 21 September; Peter Bosz had stopped the session on the spot, overcome by emotion.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

FC Porto — PSV Eindhoven

AwayTuesday 20 October at 21:00Matchday 3
In 2 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says
Prediction
EstimateFC Porto — PSV Eindhoven
44 %
1 · FC Porto
22 %
X · draw
34 %
2 · PSV Eindhoven
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 2 matches played by FC Porto, 2 matches by PSV Eindhoven. Confidence: low
The calculation rests on only 2 matches per team. Shrinkage deliberately pulls the estimate close to a neutral split: it barely tells the two teams apart.
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 141 goals scored over 68 team-matches played (34 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 2.07 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    FC Porto — attack2 in 2 matches0.480.87
    FC Porto — defence5 in 2 matches1.211.05
    PSV Eindhoven — attack1 in 2 matches0.240.81
    PSV Eindhoven — defence2 in 2 matches0.480.87
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.25 for FC Porto and 0.25 for PSV Eindhoven. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.47 goal scored on average by the host against 1.68 by the visitor, over the 34 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.47; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.36, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.15. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    FC Porto at home: 0.00 pts/match versus 0.00 overall over 1 match → ×1.000
    PSV Eindhoven away: 0.00 pts/match versus 0.50 overall over 1 match → ×0.889
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λFC Porto = 2.07 × 0.87 × 0.87 × 1.15 × 1.000 = 1.81
    λPSV Eindhoven = 2.07 × 0.81 × 1.05 × 0.889 = 1.57
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 43.7%, draw 22.6%, away win 33.8% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 1-1 (only 9.7%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Squad not documented for this team yet.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
UEFA appoints good memory referee in the Dragon for the Porto-PSV FC
Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto
rss18 Oct 2026
FC Porto prepares duel with the PSV with two absences
Source: zerozero
rss18 Oct 2026
German referee directs duel between FC Porto and PSV in the Champions League
Source: zerozero
rss18 Oct 2026
Bosz predicts a bright future: 'This is going to be very good players for PSV'
Source: Voetbalprimeur
rss18 Oct 2026
PSV in trouble? They're missing that extra quality
Source: Soccernews
rss18 Oct 2026
FC Twente knokt voor punten: 'Alleen PSV succesvoller na achterstand'
Source: Voetbal International
Transfers1 Sep 2026
The reigning champions have completed the signing of winger Sami Ouaissa, prised from NEC Nijmegen for €9m and signed for five seasons, and that of attacking midfielder Ayoni Santos, bought for €5m from Sparta Rotterdam.
Source: NOS
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Sam Lammers has returned to Eindhoven from FC Twente in the very last hours of the window.
Source: Voetbal International
Result30 Aug 2026
PSV thrashed FC Utrecht 6-1 at the Galgenwaard and remain unbeaten, two points behind AZ Alkmaar.
Source: Wanneerspeelt
Club27 Aug 2026
In the draw for the 2026-27 Champions League league phase, PSV Eindhoven will face Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid among their eight opponents.
Source: NL Times
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.