2026/2027 league phase

Champions League

Club page
Champions League · Club page
Real Madrid
Head coach: José Mourinho · 4-2-3-1
Rank
8th
Pts
6
P
2
Form
🔥 Excellent

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
9/10
Attack
7/10
Defence
10/10
Form
10/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:—

8th with 6 pts from 2 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats.

6 goals scored, 4 conceded.

José Bordalás, coach of the Getafe, said on Sunday that Dani Carvajal "is ready" to play on Monday against the Vallecano Ray, although he did not want to confirm whether the former player of the Real Madrid will debute with his new team and stated that he will make a final decision on the same day of the meeting.

Mundo Deportivo · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Live continues the game for the fourth day of the ACB

ABC Deportes · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Check all the duel dekl numbers corresponding to the fourth day of the ACB basketball league

ABC Deportes · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Juan Iglesias, as a player of the Seville, and Vinicius, of the Real & nbsp; Madrid, will not be seen again this Sunday in the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium as the Brazilian is sanctioned, but the newspaper 'As' has remembered a tense confrontation that became viral a year ago, on 19 October 2025, when the current football player of the Hispanics was in the Getafe.

Mundo Deportivo · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Wvs AS Roma (A) · 4-3
Wvs FC Internazionale Milano (H) · 2-1
WW
6 scored / 4 conceded over 2 matches played
Rest: 4 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
1W - 0D - 0L
Away form
1W - 0D - 0L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
3.0
Goals conceded per match
2.0
At home
2 scored · 1 conceded in 1 match
Away
4 scored · 3 conceded in 1 match
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 2
Both teams score
2 of 2
Clean sheets
0 of 2
Failed to score
0 of 2
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Real Madrid play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
4-2-3-1
Philosophy
Attacking strengths
Defensive solidity
Pressing
Transitions
Strength
Weakness

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Maximum in points terms: nine from nine, ten goals scored, two conceded, the best attack and the best defence in the league after three matchdays. José Mourinho has closed his first window with six arrivals and seven departures and is preparing for Betis “away” from the deadline-day rumours, in the phrase used by the EFE agency. The message remains deliberately taut, though: the Portuguese warned that they would have to be “at their maximum level” to win at La Cartuja. The treatment room, for its part, is not emptying: seven absentees at the 1 September restart, none of them in Friday's squad. The real test comes quickly, with Inter Milan at the Bernabéu on 8 September.
Coach / players / board relationship
Cloudless between Mourinho, appointed unanimously by the board on 11 June 2026 for three seasons, and a board that gave him the means he asked for. The club publicly announced the head coach's satisfaction at the end of a window with six signings and seven departures, and refused to reopen any deals in the final hours. Squad management nonetheless remains the latent friction point: with twenty-six players for twenty-five places, Thiago Pitarch had to be registered with Castilla. The club also had to deal with an off-pitch matter, Raúl Asencio's conviction for drink-driving, without commenting publicly. The official line remains institutional silence.
Mood with the supporters
Madridismo is savouring a return it had stopped expecting: nine points from three matchdays in Mourinho's first month, thirteen years after he left. On 1 September the club announced the date of Barcelona v Real Madrid, set for Sunday 25 October at 21:00, the first big fixture marked in the diary. The Champions League opener against Inter Milan, on 8 September at the Bernabéu, will be the first great European night of the Mourinho II era. The blot is judicial: Raúl Asencio's conviction for a road-safety offence, with a reading nearly four times the limit, went round the Spanish press on 2 September. The supporters, meanwhile, are mainly waiting to see whether Mourinho keeps his promise of a team rebuilt “from the back”.
Pressure on the head coach
Moderate, but of a particular kind: it is not about results, already perfect, but about man management. Twenty-six players for twenty-five registration places, around ten unused every weekend, four major forwards to accommodate: that is the task the Madrid press identifies as central. The treatment room, with seven absentees, paradoxically eases that problem in the short term and opens the door to four Castilla players as soon as Friday. The demand for the title is immediate given the investment made. Nothing, at this stage, weakens the head coach's position.
Club objectives
Winning back LaLiga and going all the way in the Champions League, after a window with a negative balance of more than €155m. September's schedule runs Betis at La Cartuja, Inter Milan at the Bernabéu on the 8th, then Rayo on the 12th and Elche on the 15th: four matches in eleven days that will force rotation. The club has already planned further ahead by announcing the date of the Clásico, 25 October at 21:00 at the Camp Nou. Mourinho, for his part, publicly emphasises defensive and attacking organisation rather than numerical targets. The rise of the Castilla youngsters, forced by the injury list, is also part of the de facto roadmap.
Recent internal tensions
Three flashpoints, none explosive at this stage. The first is managing playing time in a bloated squad, with the case of Endrick, who stayed despite substitute status, as its symbol. The second is administrative: Thiago Pitarch was registered with Castilla for lack of a place in the list of twenty-five. The third is off-pitch and judicial, with Raúl Asencio's conviction handed down on 19 August and revealed on 2 September, on which neither the player nor the club has commented publicly. The treatment room, finally, remains the most discussed subject: seven absentees at the restart, including Rodrygo, not expected until the start of 2027.
Absences
InjuredRodrygo — Cruciate ligament rupture: a long-term absence, the published bulletins diverging sharply on when he will return.
InjuredFerland Mendy — Tendon and ligament injury: unavailable, with widely diverging return estimates depending on the source.
InjuredÉder Militão — Thigh muscle injury, return hoped for around mid-September 2026.
InjuredRaúl Asencio — Muscle injury, return expected around the end of September 2026.
InjuredThiago Pitarch — Knee ligament sprain, return envisaged around mid-September 2026.
DoubtfulAurélien Tchouaméni — Muscle discomfort: his availability against Betis is not assured.
DoubtfulEndrick — Muscle discomfort; the Brazilian, back from a loan at Lyon, is doubtful for the restart.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Real Madrid — RB Leipzig

At homeWednesday 21 October at 21:00Matchday 3
In 3 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
EstimateReal Madrid — RB Leipzig
60 %
1 · Real Madrid
18 %
X · draw
22 %
2 · RB Leipzig
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 2 matches played by Real Madrid, 2 matches by RB Leipzig. Confidence: low
The calculation rests on only 2 matches per team. Shrinkage deliberately pulls the estimate close to a neutral split: it barely tells the two teams apart.
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 141 goals scored over 68 team-matches played (34 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 2.07 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    Real Madrid — attack6 in 2 matches1.451.11
    Real Madrid — defence4 in 2 matches0.960.99
    RB Leipzig — attack2 in 2 matches0.480.87
    RB Leipzig — defence4 in 2 matches0.960.99
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.25 for Real Madrid and 0.25 for RB Leipzig. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.47 goal scored on average by the host against 1.68 by the visitor, over the 34 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.47; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.36, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.15. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    Real Madrid at home: 3.00 pts/match versus 3.00 overall over 1 match → ×1.000
    RB Leipzig away: 0.00 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 1 match → ×0.889
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λReal Madrid = 2.07 × 1.11 × 0.99 × 1.15 × 1.000 = 2.63
    λRB Leipzig = 2.07 × 0.87 × 0.99 × 0.889 = 1.59
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 59.9%, draw 18.0%, away win 22.1% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 8.1%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Squad not documented for this team yet.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
Real Madrid - Sevilla FC: Against the history, the casualties and all the cats of Mourinho
Source: ABC Deportes
rss18 Oct 2026
Real Madrid - Sevilla FC: schedule, where to watch on TV and the LaLiga EA Sports party channel
Source: Marca
rss18 Oct 2026
Probable Alineations of Real Madrid - Sevilla de Liga EA Sports 2026-2027: ounces and bench of alternates
Source: ABC Deportes
rss18 Oct 2026
Where to see Real Madrid-Siviglia on TV? Sky or Dazn, schedule
Source: Corriere dello Sport
rss18 Oct 2026
On which channel do you watch Real Madrid Sevilla live?
Source: Soccernews
rss18 Oct 2026
The David of Madrid: the athlete gongola, Jonathan as well, all happy while the Juve waits
Source: Tuttosport
Club3 Sep 2026
Squad published for matchday 4, on Friday at 21:00 away at La Cartuja against Betis: twenty-three players named, including goalkeepers Courtois, Lunin and Javi Navarro, defenders Huijsen, Trent, Konaté, Cucurella, Álvaro Carreras, Rüdiger, Dumfries and Mario Rivas, and up front Vinícius, Mbappé, Carlos Espí, Brahim and Yan Diomande.
Source: Real Madrid CF (site officiel)
Head coach3 Sep 2026
José Mourinho held his pre-match press conference on 3 September, summed up by the club under the headline “to beat Betis, you have to be at your maximum level” — the Portuguese's first public appearance since the window closed.
Source: Real Madrid CF (site officiel)
Other2 Sep 2026
Raúl Asencio was convicted on 19 August at an expedited hearing in San Bartolomé de Tirajana, Gran Canaria, of a road-safety offence: his driving licence was withdrawn and he was fined €14,400. At a routine check on 16 August, the defender had recorded 0.90 mg/l of alcohol in exhaled air, against a permitted maximum of 0.25.
Source: El Desmarque
European competition1 Sep 2026
Real Madrid will begin their Champions League league phase on 8 September at the Santiago Bernabéu against Inter Milan; if Endrick is not available in Seville, it is that European fixture that is targeted for his return.
Source: Infobae (dépêche EFE)
Club1 Sep 2026
The club has announced that the first-half-of-season Barcelona v Real Madrid will be played on Sunday 25 October at 21:00.
Source: Real Madrid CF (site officiel)
Club1 Sep 2026
José Mourinho closed the window with a squad of 26 players, one more than the LaLiga registration limit: Thiago Pitarch will therefore be registered with Castilla. Asencio and Camavinga, expected to leave, ultimately stayed, the head coach having said he was counting on everyone.
Source: El Debate
Result31 Aug 2026
A 4-0 win against Málaga on matchday 3: Real Madrid have 9 points, level with Barça, but remain second on goal difference.
Source: El Debate
Injury29 Aug 2026
At his press conference, Mourinho gave an injury update: Endrick is closest to returning, Militão, Rodrygo and Asencio are on “more complex” programmes, and Tchouaméni is being handled cautiously to avoid a relapse.
Source: Real Madrid CF (site officiel)
Injury16 Aug 2026
Update on Rodrygo: a rupture of the anterior cruciate ligament and the lateral meniscus in his right knee sustained in early March 2026 against Getafe, with a return estimated for the start of 2027, i.e. the second half of the season.
Source: Sports Illustrated Fútbol
Institutional10 Aug 2026
The club has published the official first-team squad numbers for 2026-27: Konaté (16), Cucurella (17), Dumfries (24), Bernardo Silva (20), Carlos Espí (19) and Yan Diomande (25) are among the new additions; Carvajal, Alaba and Ceballos no longer feature on the list.
Source: Real Madrid CF (site officiel)
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.