2026/2027 league phase

Champions League

Club page

Champions League · Club page

Sabah FK

Head coach: Valdas Dambrauskas

Rank

22nd

Pts

3

P

2

Form

🟡

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

4/10

Attack

7/10

Defence

5/10

Form

5/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:—

22nd with 3 pts from 2 matches: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 defeat.

2 goals scored, 4 conceded.

Azerbaijan champions Sabah FK make history in Baku as they beat Slavia Prague 2-0 to secure their first Champions League win in the club's history.

BBC Sport · 14 Oct 2026

Sabah FK from Azerbaijan booked the first Champions League victory ever against Slavia Prague on Tuesday, and that achievement has brought much to bear in the country. Sabah trainer Valdas Dambrauskas and goalkeeper Joy-Lance Mickels (former MVV) had a special evening in Baku.

Voetbal International · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Sabah FK from Azerbaijan booked the first Champions League victory ever against Slavia Prague on Tuesday, and that achievement has brought much to bear in the country. Sabah trainer Valdas Dambrauskas and goalkeeper Joy-Lance Mickels (former MVV) had a special evening in Baku.

Voetbal International · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The Baku Sabah won the Prague Slavia for 2-0 on Tuesday in the second round of the Champions League thanks to the goals of Jamaican Kaheem Parris and German Joy-Lance Mickels, who gave the first European victory to the Azerbaijani team.

Mundo Deportivo · 13 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Wvs SK Slavia Praha (H) · 2-0

Lvs Manchester United FC (A) · 0-4

WL

2 scored / 4 conceded over 2 matches played

Rest: 5 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days

Home form

1W - 0D - 0L

Away form

0W - 0D - 1L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

1.0

Goals conceded per match

2.0

At home

2 scored · 0 conceded in 1 match

Away

0 scored · 4 conceded in 1 match

Over 2.5 goals

1 of 2

Both teams score

0 of 2

Clean sheets

1 of 2

Failed to score

1 of 2

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Sabah FK play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing style not documented for this team.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Absences

No absence recorded in the editorial content.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Sabah FK — Borussia Dortmund

At homeTuesday 20 October at 18:45Matchday 3

In 2 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

EstimateSabah FK — Borussia Dortmund

48 %

1 · Sabah FK

21 %

X · draw

31 %

2 · Borussia Dortmund

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 2 matches played by Sabah FK, 2 matches by Borussia Dortmund. Confidence: low

The calculation rests on only 2 matches per team. Shrinkage deliberately pulls the estimate close to a neutral split: it barely tells the two teams apart.

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 141 goals scored over 68 team-matches played (34 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 2.07 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
Sabah FK — attack2 in 2 matches0.480.87
Sabah FK — defence4 in 2 matches0.960.99
Borussia Dortmund — attack3 in 2 matches0.720.93
Borussia Dortmund — defence3 in 2 matches0.720.93
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.25 for Sabah FK and 0.25 for Borussia Dortmund. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.47 goal scored on average by the host against 1.68 by the visitor, over the 34 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.47; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.36, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.15. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
Sabah FK at home: 3.00 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 1 match → ×1.111
Borussia Dortmund away: 0.00 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 1 match → ×0.889
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_{Sabah FK} = 2.07 × 0.87 × 0.93 × 1.15 × 1.111 = 2.15
λ_{Borussia Dortmund} = 2.07 × 0.93 × 0.99 × 0.889 = 1.70
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 48.4%, draw 20.7%, away win 30.9% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 8.4%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Squad not documented for this team yet.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss13 Oct 2026

History with a goal. The thing that drove Sabah crazy in Champions

Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto

rss14 Oct 2026

Sabah beat Slavia Prague to secure historic Champions League win

Source: BBC Sport

rss14 Oct 2026

Historical evening for CL debutante Sabah: "These players are real heroes."

Source: Voetbal International

rss14 Oct 2026

Historical evening for CL debutante Sabah: 'These players are real members'

Source: Voetbal International

rss13 Oct 2026

Sabah's slownesque goal to win his first Champions League game

Source: Foot Mercato

rss13 Oct 2026

Sabah shines in Baku and guarantees first historical points in Champions

Source: zerozero

European competition3 Sep 2026

The Azerbaijani press noted that Viking, one of Sabah's league-phase opponents, had strengthened on deadline day with three players tied down until 2030: Dutch defender Essiën Bassey, forward Erik Botheim and midfielder Henrik Bjørdal. Sabah travel to Norway on 4 November.

Source: Qol.az

Transfers3 Sep 2026

Defender Hamzali Mikayilov, 21 and an Azerbaijan youth international, has been loaned until the end of the season to second-division Shahdagh Qusar.

Source: Qol.az

European competition2 Sep 2026

Sabah have submitted their league-phase list with 26 players: four goalkeepers, seven defenders, nine midfielders and four forwards; the club will host Barcelona, Borussia Dortmund, Napoli and Slavia Prague, and begin on 10 September at Manchester United.

Source: Qol.az

Transfers1 Sep 2026

Sabah have registered Brazilian midfielder Du Keyros, 26, on loan from Zenit St Petersburg until the end of the season with a purchase option. Having played for Corinthians, Grêmio, Sport Recife and Orenburg, he is the club's last signing before Europe.

Source: Sabah FK

Other1 Sep 2026

According to Hungarian sources, Sabah made enquiries about Guinea midfielder Naby Keïta, 31, under contract at Ferencváros, but at this stage it is no more than interest: no agreement has been reached between the parties.

Source: Qol.az

Result31 Aug 2026

Sabah won 1-0 away at Araz-Naxçıvan, at the municipal stadium in Qəbələ, on matchday 3 of the Misli Premyer Liqası, in heavy rain.

Source: Sabah FK

Club25 Aug 2026

Sabah FK caused a surprise by qualifying for the Champions League league phase for the first time in their history, beating Hapoel Beer Sheva 5-2 after extra time (6-4 on aggregate) on 25 August 2026, just nine years after the club was founded.

Source: Goal.com

News last verified on 15 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.