2026/2027 league phase

Champions League

Club page

Champions League · Club page

Viking FK

Head coach: Bjarte Lunde Aarsheim et Morten Jensen (co-entraîneurs) · 4-3-3

Rank

27th

Pts

1

P

2

Form

🟠

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

7/10

Attack

3/10

Defence

2/10

Form

2/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:—

27th with 1 pts from 2 matches: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat.

4 goals scored, 6 conceded.

Michael Olise has raised debates in Germany since his red card received in front of Viking Stavanger. His bad gesture, which he apologized for, earned him the reproaches of his coach, and the (...)

Foot Mercato · 16 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

FC Bayern must be satisfied in the Champions League at Viking Stavanger with a 3:3. Although the team of coach Vincent Kompany turns the game after 0-2 behind, but cashes shortly before the end in outnumber the compensation. At the press conference after the game coach Vincent Kompany criticizes his team.

Welt Sport · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

FC Bayern does not get beyond a draw at Viking Stavanger in a wild game. The Munich shoot in the second half of the game, but concede in the shooting phase but still the compensation goal to 3:3.

Welt Sport · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The place reference of Michael Olise has significantly influenced the game at Viking Stavanger. They agree on this at FC Bayern. But that was obviously anything but coincidence.

Welt Sport · 14 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Dvs FC Bayern München (H) · 3-3

Lvs VfB Stuttgart (A) · 1-3

DL

4 scored / 6 conceded over 2 matches played

Rest: 5 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days

Home form

0W - 1D - 0L

Away form

0W - 0D - 1L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

2.0

Goals conceded per match

3.0

At home

3 scored · 3 conceded in 1 match

Away

1 scored · 3 conceded in 1 match

Over 2.5 goals

2 of 2

Both teams score

2 of 2

Clean sheets

0 of 2

Failed to score

0 of 2

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Viking FK play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity

Preferred system

4-3-3

Philosophy

Attacking strengths

Defensive solidity

Pressing

Transitions

Strength

Weakness

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Absences

No absence recorded in the editorial content.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Aston Villa — Viking FK

AwayWednesday 21 October at 21:00Matchday 3

In 3 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

EstimateAston Villa — Viking FK

72 %

1 · Aston Villa

14 %

X · draw

14 %

2 · Viking FK

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 2 matches played by Aston Villa, 2 matches by Viking FK. Confidence: low

The calculation rests on only 2 matches per team. Shrinkage deliberately pulls the estimate close to a neutral split: it barely tells the two teams apart.

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 141 goals scored over 68 team-matches played (34 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 2.07 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
Aston Villa — attack9 in 2 matches2.171.29
Aston Villa — defence2 in 2 matches0.480.87
Viking FK — attack4 in 2 matches0.960.99
Viking FK — defence6 in 2 matches1.451.11
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.25 for Aston Villa and 0.25 for Viking FK. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.47 goal scored on average by the host against 1.68 by the visitor, over the 34 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.47; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.36, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.15. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
Aston Villa at home: 3.00 pts/match versus 3.00 overall over 1 match → ×1.000
Viking FK away: 0.00 pts/match versus 0.50 overall over 1 match → ×0.889
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_{Aston Villa} = 2.07 × 1.29 × 1.11 × 1.15 × 1.000 = 3.43
λ_{Viking FK} = 2.07 × 0.99 × 0.87 × 0.889 = 1.59
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 72.2%, draw 13.6%, away win 14.2% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 3-1 (only 7.1%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Squad not documented for this team yet.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss13 Oct 2026

Club Bruges and Viking stuns against Inter and Bayern, handsome goal Timber

Source: NOS Voetbal

rss14 Oct 2026

Viking snatch draw against Bayern Munich in six-goal thriller

Source: BBC Sport

rss15 Oct 2026

Champions League review: PSG’s benchmark, Viking uprising and an Italian-German dilemma

Source: The Guardian — Football

rss13 Oct 2026

Surprise: Viking stops Bayern in the Champions League

Source: zerozero

rss14 Oct 2026

Total shock. The goal that surprised Bayern and gave Viking a point

Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto

rss13 Oct 2026

Viking’s two head coaches on Champions League adventure: ‘For us, it’s the best team in the world’

Source: The Guardian — Football

Transfers3 Sep 2026

The third deadline-day addition is Norwegian midfielder Henrik Bjørdal, 29, signed from Vålerenga and, like his two new team-mates, tied down until the end of 2030; the Azerbaijani press notes that Viking will host Sabah FK on 4 November.

Source: Qol.az

Transfers2 Sep 2026

Dutch defender Essiën Bassey, 19, a PSV academy player since 2022 who recently appeared in the Johan Cruijff Schaal, has signed until the end of the 2030 season. “I have a very good first impression, it is a fine stadium and it seems a pleasant city,” he said, with Erik Nevland praising “a young player with interesting qualities”.

Source: Viking FK

Transfers2 Sep 2026

Erik Botheim returns to Norway from Malmö, after spells at Krasnodar, Salernitana and Bodø/Glimt, on a contract until the end of the 2030 season. “What is happening at Viking is incredibly exciting, the club has undergone enormous development in recent years,” he explained.

Source: Viking FK

Transfers1 Sep 2026

Ruben Alte is on loan at Viborg until summer 2027.

Source: Viking FK

Supporters1 Sep 2026

Ticket sales for the trip to Stuttgart on Wednesday 9 September opened on 1 September at 15:00 for Viking+ and Europa Pass holders, then to everyone at 18:00. The club points out that buying on TicketCo is only a confirmation: tickets are collected at the Lyse Arena, gate 4, on 3 September from 13:00 to 16:00 and on 4 September from 12:00 to 14:00, with a collection point planned in Stuttgart for latecomers.

Source: Viking FK

Transfers31 Aug 2026

Edvin Austbø, 21 and a pure academy product, joins West Ham United in what the club bills as the biggest sale in the history of Norwegian football. “Viking has been a huge part of my life for as long as I can remember, I grew up in this club,” said the player; sporting director Erik Nevland said he was “incredibly proud” of a player who has come through every stage of the club.

Source: Viking FK

European competition27 Aug 2026

The league-phase draw gives Viking home fixtures against Bayern Munich, PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord, with trips to Atlético Madrid, Aston Villa, Napoli and Stuttgart; co-head coach Morten Jensen was delighted to have “some of the best teams” at home.

Source: Aftenposten

Club26 Aug 2026

Viking FK qualified for the Champions League league phase for the first time in their history by beating Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 (5-3 on aggregate) on 26 August 2026, with a penalty goal from captain Zlatko Tripic.

Source: Flashscore

News last verified on 15 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.