2026/2027 season

Ligue 1

Team page
Ligue 1 · Team page
ES Troyes AC
Head coach: Stéphane Dumont · Non confirmé précisément
Rank
17th
Pts
4
P
7
Form
🔴 Very poor

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
2/10
Attack
2/10
Defence
1/10
Form
3/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:Low

17th with 4 pts from 7 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 5 defeats.

5 goals scored, 16 conceded.

Best runner of the Championship, Florian Thauvin added two new offerings to his score against Troyes this Saturday (3-1), on the second and third goals in Lens.

L'Équipe · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

In the Champions League on Tuesday, Lens continued its positive momentum in Ligue 1 by winning it in Troyes (3-1), Saturday night. Florian Thauvin made the difference when his team, temporarily 7th, was put in trouble by the Aubois, still the penultimate of the standings.

L'Équipe · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

L'Estac announces Friday night the departure of its sports director Jocelyn Blanchard "with immediate effect". The former midfielder, who was already at the heart of an internal investigation after several reports of her behaviour towards female employees of the club, is also concerned by the courts after an investigation was opened by the public prosecutor, as revealed in the eastern flash.

RMC Sport — Ligue 1 · 16 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs Racing Club de Lens (H) · 1-3
Lvs Olympique de Marseille (H) · 0-2
Lvs Angers SCO (A) · 0-2
Lvs Lille OSC (A) · 0-2
Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace (H) · 2-6
WDLLLLL
5 scored / 16 conceded over 7 matches played
Rest: 1 day since the last match · 2 matches played in the last 15 days
Home form
0W - 1D - 3L
Away form
1W - 0D - 2L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
0.6
Goals conceded per match
3.0
At home
3 scored · 11 conceded in 3 matches
Away
0 scored · 4 conceded in 2 matches
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 5
Both teams score
2 of 5
Clean sheets
0 of 5
Failed to score
3 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How ES Troyes AC play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
Non confirmé précisément
Philosophy
A message of continuity delivered by a coach in place since August 2024, architect of the Ligue 2 title.
Attacking strengths
No goals scored in the 1st match, a warning sign to monitor.
Defensive solidity
Clean sheet in this first test in Ligue 1.
Pressing
Not precisely documented.
Transitions
Not precisely documented.
StrengthContinuity of the staff and the experience of promotion with the same head coach.
WeaknessA complete lack of goals in the 1st match, attacking capacity to be confirmed against Ligue 1 opposition.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Four points from two matchdays, a win at Le Moustoir and a place in the top half: ESTAC go into Strasbourg's visit with a stock of confidence rare for a promoted side. The board has not eased off in attack, adding Timothé Nkada on deadline day after Jérémy Le Douaron, which sends a clear signal to the dressing room. The academy is following the same trend, with the U17s winning at Auxerre and the U19s at Dijon the same weekend. The one false note comes from the reserves, beaten 3-0 at Rumilly in National 1, where Gharib Amzine acknowledged a drop in intensity after the break. Nothing, at this stage, is checking the Aube club's momentum.
Coach / players / board relationship
Stéphane Dumont retains control of a project the board has not sought to disturb despite a summer of heavy sales. The staff obtained two late attacking additions, proof that its requests were heard right up to the deadline. No public disagreement has emerged between the head coach and his executives since promotion. In parallel the recruitment department continues to get value from its academy graduates, such as Arthylio Nadé, who left for Dunkerque, which remains consistent with the stated business model.
Mood with the supporters
The return to the top flight is translating into sustained activity around the Stade de l'Aube. On 2 September the club set out extended store and box-office hours, with a Friday morning opening during the training session open to the public and a push on the new shirts. Hosting Strasbourg on Sunday at 15:00 is the season's first big home occasion for supporters. No tension between the stands and the board has been reported since the campaign began.
Pressure on the head coach
It remains virtually non-existent. Stéphane Dumont won promotion, was kept on, and his team have already taken four points where many expected none. The context gives him time to establish his patterns with signings who arrived very late. A slip on Sunday against a Racing side in the middle of rebuilding would change nothing in the short term.
Club objectives
Survival remains the stated objective, but the club is giving itself the means to secure it quickly: two forwards seasoned in French professional football arrived in the last forty-eight hours of the window. In parallel, the academy is presented as a structural axis, with youngsters sold to Ligue 2 clubs and youth teams performing from the opening matchdays. Hosting Strasbourg and then September's schedule will say whether ESTAC can aim higher than mere survival.
Recent internal tensions
No internal tension reported. The only point to watch concerns the reserves, struggling in National 1, and the quick integration of attacking signings who arrived after the season began.
Absences
DoubtfulNon documenté précisément — No reliable information on any injured or suspended players could be confirmed at this stage.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Toulouse FC — ES Troyes AC

AwaySaturday 24 October at 17:15Matchday 8
In 6 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
EstimateToulouse FC — ES Troyes AC
58 %
1 · Toulouse FC
21 %
X · draw
21 %
2 · ES Troyes AC
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 7 matches played by Toulouse FC, 7 matches by ES Troyes AC. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 170 goals scored over 116 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.47 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    Toulouse FC — attack12 in 7 matches1.171.09
    Toulouse FC — defence11 in 7 matches1.071.04
    ES Troyes AC — attack5 in 7 matches0.490.72
    ES Troyes AC — defence16 in 7 matches1.561.30
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.54 for Toulouse FC and 0.54 for ES Troyes AC. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.61 goal scored on average by the host against 1.30 by the visitor, over the 46 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.24; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.42, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.10. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    Toulouse FC at home: 1.00 pts/match versus 1.29 overall over 3 matches → ×0.939
    ES Troyes AC away: 1.00 pts/match versus 0.57 overall over 3 matches → ×1.120
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λToulouse FC = 1.47 × 1.09 × 1.30 × 1.10 × 0.939 = 2.14
    λES Troyes AC = 1.47 × 0.72 × 1.04 × 1.120 = 1.23
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 58.1%, draw 20.5%, away win 21.4% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 9.7%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Zacharie Boucher
  • Patrick Beach
  • Hillel Konaté
Defenders
  • Lucas Maronnier
  • Anis Ouzenadji
  • Michel Junior Diaz
  • Paolo Gozzi
  • Adrien Monfray
  • Ismaël Boura
  • Noah Donkor
  • Yvann Titi
Midfielders
  • Mouhamed Diop
  • Iron Gomis
  • Antoine Mille
  • Hugo Picard
  • Alexandre Phliponeau
  • Dermane Karim
  • Roman Murcy
  • Idrissa Soukouna
Forwards
  • Kandet Diawara
  • Merwan Ifnaoui
  • Ibrahim Traoré
  • Renaud Ripart
  • Christ Batola
  • Yacouba Kone
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 30 Aug 2026 — source: estac.fr (official website).

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss17 Oct 2026
The notes of Troyes-Lens : Thauvin no longer stops
Source: L'Équipe
rss16 Oct 2026
Troyes separates from sports director Jocelyn Blanchard, in the sights of justice after reports of sexist behaviour
Source: RMC Sport — Ligue 1
rss17 Oct 2026
Winner in Troyes, Lens has a second win in Ligue 1 thanks to a great Florian Thauvin
Source: L'Équipe
rss17 Oct 2026
Ligue 1: LOSC misses the opportunity to take the 1st place, Lens continues in Troyes
Source: Foot Mercato
rss17 Oct 2026
Troyes - Lens, live - 124; Ligue 1
Source: Mundo Deportivo
rss17 Oct 2026
Troyes-Lens: led by a great Thauvin, the Lenses chain and plunge the Trojans into the crisis
Source: RMC Sport
Institutional2 Sep 2026
The club has announced its store and box-office hours for the week, with an opening on Friday 4 September from 10:00 to 12:00 during the training session open to the public, then on Saturday from 14:00 to 19:00, before Strasbourg's visit on Sunday 6 September at 15:00 at the Stade de l'Aube.
Source: Site officiel de l'ESTAC
Transfers1 Sep 2026
ESTAC have confirmed the arrival of centre-forward Timothé Nkada, 27, on a season-long loan with a purchase option from Standard Liège; he had scored 17 goals in 31 matches with Rodez in Ligue 2 in 2024-2025.
Source: Site officiel de l'ESTAC
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Arthylio Nadé, developed at the club and a graduate of the national U19s and then the National 3 squad, has been transferred to USL Dunkerque after two seasons at ESTAC.
Source: Site officiel de l'ESTAC
Club1 Sep 2026
The national U17s won 1-0 at Auxerre thanks to Eliot Ahibo; their head coach Steve Poveda praised “patience and maturity” against solid opponents, with a very young group staying disciplined defensively.
Source: Site officiel de l'ESTAC
Club1 Sep 2026
The national U19s won 2-0 at Dijon with goals from Themis Louis and Yves Laffet; Nicolas Munda spoke of “a very good match against a Dijon side that caused us problems” and impeccable attitude.
Source: Site officiel de l'ESTAC
Club1 Sep 2026
The Troyes reserves, by contrast, lost 3-0 at Rumilly in National 1; Gharib Amzine judged the score “harsh given the run of play”, regretting a lack of finishing in the first half and then a drop in intensity after the break.
Source: Site officiel de l'ESTAC
Transfers1 Sep 2026
The club closed a very profitable summer with a positive transfer balance of around €30.7m, marked by the sales of Mathys Detourbet to Manchester City and Amar Fatah to Lecce.
Source: Foot Mercato
Result31 Aug 2026
Before matchday 3, ESTAC are described as 6th in the table by the Alsace press, which presents Strasbourg's trip to the Stade de l'Aube (Sunday 15:00) as the most manageable fixture of a very demanding September for Racing.
Source: Alsa'Sports
Transfers31 Aug 2026
Jérémy Le Douaron, a 28-year-old French forward formerly of Brest, has joined ESTAC on a season-long loan from Palermo.
Source: ESTAC
Result29 Aug 2026
ESTAC won 2-1 at Lorient on matchday 2 and have 4 points.
Source: Foot01
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.