2026/2027 season

Ligue 1

Team page
Ligue 1 · Team page
Paris FC
Head coach: Liam Rosenior · Non confirmé précisément
Rank
6th
Pts
11
P
6
Form
🟢 Good

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
4/10
Attack
10/10
Defence
7/10
Form
8/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:High

6th with 11 pts from 6 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.

8 goals scored, 4 conceded.

As against Auxerre last Sunday, the Rennes left side Quentin Merlin did not appear in the Rennes group for the game on the Paris FC lawn this Sunday (17:15). He asked to play with the N2 reserve team.

L'Équipe · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Barcelona will find in France a country literally in flames, with several hotspots of protests, led by the so-called 'yellow vests', which have made Paris particularly a city taken by the riots throughout the weekend. Even so, Barcelona is preparing to travel relatively normally, without any possible suspension.

Mundo Deportivo · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The king lives in Paris and is called the PSG of Louis Henry.

Mundo Deportivo · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Most of the spectators come mainly from Paris and the nearby crown. Their average age is below 40.

L'Équipe · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs FC Lorient (A) · 0-1
Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace (H) · 2-1
Dvs Olympique Lyonnais (H) · 0-0
Wvs Olympique de Marseille (A) · 3-2
Wvs OGC Nice (H) · 3-0
WWWDDL
8 scored / 4 conceded over 6 matches played
Rest: 8 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
2W - 1D - 0L
Away form
1W - 1D - 1L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
1.6
Goals conceded per match
0.8
At home
5 scored · 1 conceded in 3 matches
Away
3 scored · 3 conceded in 2 matches
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 5
Both teams score
2 of 5
Clean sheets
2 of 5
Failed to score
2 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Paris FC play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
Non confirmé précisément
Philosophy
A new medium-term project led by Rosenior, under contract until 2028.
Attacking strengths
No goals scored in the 1st match.
Defensive solidity
Clean sheet in this first test.
Pressing
Not precisely documented.
Transitions
Not precisely documented.
StrengthStability of the project with a long contract, stated ambitions over the medium term.
WeaknessTactical transition under way after a change of coach marked by tensions.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
The 3-0 inflicted on Nice gave the Rosenior project its first legible statement, after a flat start at Troyes. The club therefore comes to the Vélodrome with a new standing, that of an openly stated top-half contender rather than a consolidating promoted side. The board had in fact locked down its key players over the summer, Liam Rosenior publicly closing the door on departures for Ilan Kebbal and Adama Camara. The summer's investment, the heaviest in the club's history, nonetheless turns every slip into a talking point.
Coach / players / board relationship
Liam Rosenior, under contract until 2028, speaks from a position of strength: he got the players he considered indispensable to stay, and pointed out that Paris FC “do not need to sell”. That balance of power contrasts with the context of rupture that surrounded Antoine Kombouaré's departure. The ownership, backed by the Arnault family, is already projecting the club to a 2029 horizon with a stadium of 30,000 to 35,000 seats. The staff therefore has visibility rare for a club newly established in the top flight.
Mood with the supporters
The club is actively structuring its relationship with the public: launching an official resale platform to limit empty seats at Jean-Bouin, with a resale cap set at 300% of the face value and no commission at face price. The Cinéfoot, which brings season-ticket holders together at the Grand Rex for away matches, was revived as early as matchday 1 at Troyes. For the trip to Marseille, Paris supporters will be allowed and supervised, with the risk level possibly even lowered after a previous visit without incident. Together, that describes a loyalty policy consistent with the stated ambition.
Pressure on the head coach
Moderate but real. The win against Nice has bought time, but the scale of the budget spent this summer creates immediate expectation. Rosenior himself raised the level of expectation by saying that the club chooses who leaves and who stays. A trip to the Vélodrome remains a match where defeat is not damning, however.
Club objectives
The club wants to establish itself lastingly in the top half, with a European projection mentioned for after 2029. That ambition also shows off the pitch: the search for a stadium of 30,000 to 35,000 seats, professionalising ticketing and developing the women's section, whose U17s went to face Arsenal, Real Sociedad and Manchester City in Shanghai. In the short term, it is about confirming against OM that the demolition of Nice was not an accident.
Recent internal tensions
The internal mood has calmed since Rosenior's appointment, but the circumstances of Antoine Kombouaré's departure are still remembered. The window's only sensitive matter, foreign interest in Ilan Kebbal, was settled publicly by the head coach.
Absences
DoubtfulNon documenté précisément — No reliable information on any injured or suspended players could be confirmed at this stage.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Paris FC — Stade Rennais

At homeSunday 18 October at 17:15Matchday 7
It's today. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says
Prediction
EstimateParis FC — Stade Rennais
51 %
1 · Paris FC
23 %
X · draw
26 %
2 · Stade Rennais
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by Paris FC, 6 matches by Stade Rennais. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 170 goals scored over 116 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.47 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    Paris FC — attack8 in 6 matches0.910.95
    Paris FC — defence4 in 6 matches0.450.73
    Stade Rennais — attack12 in 6 matches1.361.18
    Stade Rennais — defence10 in 6 matches1.141.07
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for Paris FC and 0.50 for Stade Rennais. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.61 goal scored on average by the host against 1.30 by the visitor, over the 46 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.24; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.42, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.10. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    Paris FC at home: 2.33 pts/match versus 1.83 overall over 3 matches → ×1.074
    Stade Rennais away: 1.50 pts/match versus 2.17 overall over 2 matches → ×0.938
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λParis FC = 1.47 × 0.95 × 1.07 × 1.10 × 1.074 = 1.76
    λStade Rennais = 1.47 × 1.18 × 0.73 × 0.938 = 1.18
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 50.9%, draw 23.5%, away win 25.6% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 1-1 (only 11.0%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Kevin Trapp
  • Obed Nkambadio
Defenders
  • Tuomas Ollila
  • Thibault De Smet
  • Otávio
  • Nhoa Sangui
  • Moustapha MbowC
  • Yoan Koré
  • Samir Chergui
  • Hamari Traoré
  • Diego Coppola
  • Emmanuel Mbemba
Midfielders
  • Vincent Marchetti
  • Adama Camara
  • Pierre Lees-Melou
  • Maxime Lopez
  • Ilan Kebbal
  • Rudy Matondo
  • Patrick Zabi
Forwards
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso
  • Omar Sissoko
  • Jonathan Ikoné
  • Moses Simon
  • Luca Koleosho
  • Lassine Sinayoko
  • Pablo Pagis
Squad last verified on 30 Aug 2026 — source: parisfc.fr (official website); captain confirmed by wiwsport.com.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
DIRECT. Paris FC-Rennes: Follow the 7th day of Ligue 1 live match
Source: RMC Sport
rss18 Oct 2026
The Paris FC, an alternative to PSG that makes eyes soft to young Parisian fans
Source: L'Équipe
rss18 Oct 2026
A victory in Lens and a success against Paris FC before Monaco: with Alexandre Dujeux, Lorient prolongs his good habits against the big teams
Source: L'Équipe
rss18 Oct 2026
Quentin Merlin, out of the group for the trip from Rennes to Paris FC, will be aligned in N2 at his request
Source: L'Équipe
rss17 Oct 2026
Omar Da Fonseca seen in the demonstrations in Paris
Source: Foot Mercato
rss17 Oct 2026
PSG no longer succeeds on penalty: Dembélé's failure against Strasbourg, the bad series continues for Paris
Source: RMC Sport — Ligue 1
Institutional2 Sep 2026
The matchday 9 schedule has been announced: Paris FC will host AS Monaco on Sunday 1 November at 17:15, on Ligue 1+.
Source: Alsa'Sports
Supporters1 Sep 2026
Paris FC supporters will be allowed to travel to the Vélodrome for the match against OM, on Sunday 6 September at 20:45, in a supervised trip; the risk level, set at 4 out of 5 for the visit in August 2025, could be revised downwards after the absence of incidents on the last Paris visit.
Source: Foot Marseille
Club1 Sep 2026
The club are among the best placed after two matchdays with 4 points, and closed the biggest-spending window in their history, with a net spend of around €72.2m on eight arrivals, including Patrick Zabi for €25m and Diego Coppola for €17.5m.
Source: Foot Mercato
Result30 Aug 2026
Paris FC outclassed OGC Nice 3-0 at the Stade Sébastien-Charléty, with a Sinayoko penalty in the 21st minute, a Chergui goal on 51 and a last from Marchetti on 89.
Source: Eurofootnews
Institutional26 Aug 2026
The club has launched its official ticket resale platform: season-ticket holders can resell their seats at between the face value of the equivalent category and 300% of that price, with no commission if they resell at face value, and payment within ten working days; the stated aim is to limit empty seats at Jean-Bouin.
Source: Site officiel du Paris FC
Transfers26 Aug 2026
Finnish full-back Tuomas Ollila has left the club for En Avant Guingamp; youngster El Hadary Raheriniaina has been loaned to AS Nancy Lorraine.
Source: Le Parisien
Transfers25 Aug 2026
Unconfirmed rumour: Olympiakos are said to have made a move for Algerian international winger Ilan Kebbal (valued at around €15m), but the club's board is reported to have declared him not for sale.
Source: Les Transferts (citant la Gazzetta dello Sport)
Head coach23 Aug 2026
After a frustrating 0-0 draw at Troyes to open the season, Liam Rosenior had to justify himself at a press conference, explaining that the club is “at the start of the process” and asking for patience.
Source: Maxifoot
Supporters21 Aug 2026
The Cinéfoot is back for the 2026-2027 season: the club showed the matchday 1 trip to Troyes on the screen of the Infinite auditorium at the Grand Rex in Paris, billed as the largest screen in Europe, so that season-ticket holders can watch away matches together.
Source: Site officiel du Paris FC
Head coach21 Aug 2026
Asked during the window about the interest in Ilan Kebbal and Adama Camara, Liam Rosenior had been decisive: “Those players will not leave. They will stay with us, that is clear enough,” pointing out that the club “do not need to sell” and can “choose who arrives and who has to go”.
Source: Foot Mercato
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.