2026/2027 season

Eredivisie

Team page

Eredivisie · Team page

Telstar

Head coach: Henk Brugge · 4-3-3

Rank

16th

Pts

6

P

9

Form

🟠

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

2/10

Attack

5/10

Defence

1/10

Form

3/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:Low

16th with 6 pts from 9 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 5 defeats.

10 goals scored, 18 conceded.

Feyenoord received a penalty in the game against Telstar (3-4) on Saturday night. That's the conclusion a day later at Good Morning Eredivisie. Judge Jeroen Manschot saw a handball, but that opinion was not widely held. Lots of annoyance over given penalty kick from Jeroen Manschot to Feyenoord I thought at first that he gave him, [...] Continue reading..

Soccernews · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Thesis 1: 'Without the penalty, Feyenoord would have lost points against Telstar' Proposition 2: Following... Follows...

Voetbalprimeur · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

In the new episode of VI ZSM Sjoerd Keizer and Jarno Verweij look back at the game of Saturday evening between Telstar and Feyenoord, with special attention for Givairo Read.

Voetbal International · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The game between Telstar and Feyenoord got an unexpected and ominous sequel on Saturday night. About an hour after the last whistle, the BUKO Stadium in Velsen-Zuid had to be completely evacuated. The result was a report in which the police had to investigate the stadium and the immediate surroundings thoroughly.

Soccernews · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam (H) · 3-4

Dvs ADO Den Haag (H) · 2-2

Lvs AZ (A) · 0-1

Dvs SC Heerenveen (A) · 0-0

Lvs FC Twente '65 (A) · 0-1

WDDDLLLLL

10 scored / 18 conceded over 9 matches played

Rest: 1 day since the last match · 2 matches played in the last 15 days

Home form

0W - 2D - 3L

Away form

1W - 1D - 2L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

1.0

Goals conceded per match

1.6

At home

5 scored · 6 conceded in 2 matches

Away

0 scored · 2 conceded in 3 matches

Over 2.5 goals

2 of 5

Both teams score

2 of 5

Clean sheets

1 of 5

Failed to score

3 of 5

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Telstar play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity

Preferred system

4-3-3

Philosophy

The Velsen-Zuid club embraces a family-oriented, artisanal identity: technical director Peter Hofstede sums it up as “developing players and coaches while entertaining the public with attractive football” (NOS, 26/05/2026). Henk Brugge, 48, a former assistant at SC Heerenveen, is in his first experience as a number one in the Eredivisie.

Attacking strengths

Three goals scored in three matches played. At NEC (2-1, 08/08/2026), Patrick Brouwer opened the scoring after 27 seconds from a throw-in and Rui Mendes doubled the lead in the 24th; clinical finishing made the difference that day (FCUpdate).

Defensive solidity

Eight goals conceded in three matches, including a 1-3 at home against Sparta Rotterdam (12-13/08/2026) and a 0-4 against Ajax on 30/08/2026.

Pressing

Transitions

Strength

WeaknessTwo heavy defeats in three matchdays after the opening win, with eight goals conceded: defensive solidity remains the main problem.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood

Squad confidence

After a dream start for Henk Brugge (a 2-1 win at NEC on the very first matchday, which briefly put Telstar top), the team lost against Sparta and then 0-4 against Ajax. The head coach remains assertive: he says he is “one hundred per cent certain that Telstar will stay in the Eredivisie” (Voetbal International, 30/08/2026).

Coach / players / board relationship

Henk Brugge publicly backs his goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. after the 0-4 against Ajax, on 31/08/2026: “Ronald is fantastisch voor ons als groep” and “ik heb het volste vertrouwen in Ronald en ik ben superblij dat hij er is” (VoetbalPrimeur).

Mood with the supporters

Telstar remain a small-scale neighbourhood club in Velsen-Zuid, whose identity rests on entertaining the public rather than on resources (NOS, 26/05/2026).

Pressure on the head coach

Club objectives

Survival. Henk Brugge stated on 30/08/2026 that he was “one hundred per cent certain that Telstar will stay in the Eredivisie” (Voetbal International), and from his appointment NOS presented his task as securing survival after the previous season's escape by a single point.

Recent internal tensions

No internal tension reported at this stage.

Absences

InjuredGerald Alders — The player is among the unavailable in the Velsen squad.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Go Ahead Eagles — Telstar

AwayFriday 23 October at 20:00Matchday 10

In 5 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

EstimateGo Ahead Eagles — Telstar

54 %

1 · Go Ahead Eagles

19 %

X · draw

27 %

2 · Telstar

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 9 matches played by Go Ahead Eagles, 9 matches by Telstar. Confidence: fair

The match details of at least one of the two teams may be one match behind at football-data.org — the home/away split and the home advantage may depend on it.

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 292 goals scored over 154 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.90 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
Go Ahead Eagles — attack20 in 9 matches1.171.10
Go Ahead Eagles — defence20 in 9 matches1.171.10
Telstar — attack10 in 9 matches0.590.75
Telstar — defence18 in 9 matches1.051.03
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.60 for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.60 for Telstar. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.89 goal scored on average by the host against 1.77 by the visitor, over the 46 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.07; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.42, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.03. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
Go Ahead Eagles at home: 2.00 pts/match versus 1.38 overall over 4 matches → ×1.120
Telstar away: 1.00 pts/match versus 0.67 overall over 4 matches → ×1.120
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_{Go Ahead Eagles} = 1.90 × 1.10 × 1.03 × 1.03 × 1.120 = 2.49
λ_Telstar = 1.90 × 0.75 × 1.10 × 1.120 = 1.76
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 53.9%, draw 19.0%, away win 27.1% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 7.8%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers

Ronald Koeman jr. (1)
Finn Mulder (13)
Daan Reiziger (20)

Defenders

Jeff Hardeveld (2)
Gerald Alders (3)
Prince Aning (5)
Tyrone Owusu (10)
N. Ogidi-Nwankwo (15)
Abdelraffie Benzzine (24)
Olfers (25)
Marvin Peersman (43)
Abdelnour Soualhia

Midfielders

Isaiah Ahmed (6)
Jelani Seedorf (9)
Harrie Kuster (14)
Sem Valk (16)
Nils Rossen (17)
Gabi Caschili (18)
Noach Shenkman (23)
Patrick Brouwer (27)
Rojendro Oudsten (28)

Forwards

Rui Mendes (7)
Emirhan Demircan (8, prêté par le FC Utrecht)
Soufiane Hetli (11)
Fabiano Rust (19)
Fofin Turay (21)
Nökkvi Þórisson (prêté par le Sparta Rotterdam)

This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.

Squad last verified on 1 Sep 2026 — source: voetbalzone.nl (2026/27 squad), first names cross-checked with sctelstarnieuws.nl; the official website sctelstar.nl was inaccessible.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026

Cause known of evacuation after Telstar-Feyenoord

Source: Soccernews

rss18 Oct 2026

Telstar-Feyenoord gets tail at the KNVB

Source: Soccernews

rss17 Oct 2026

Feyenoord breathes relievedly after goalfest at Telstar: 3-4

Source: NOS Voetbal

rss18 Oct 2026

KNVB causes scandal at Telstar-Feyenoordoordoe

Source: Soccernews

rss17 Oct 2026

Feyenoord with Sem Steijn versus Telstar

Source: Soccernews

rss17 Oct 2026

Presumably Feyenoord against Telstar: Van Bronckhorst rotates

Source: Soccernews

Transfers1 Sep 2026

The promoted side has secured a one-year loan, with a purchase option, for Curaçao winger Ar'Jany Martha, from Rotherham United and a graduate of the Sparta and Ajax academies.

Source: NOS

Result30 Aug 2026

Telstar lost 0-4 to Ajax on matchday 4, having held out for a draw throughout the first half.

Source: Wanneerspeelt

Result8 Aug 2026

Telstar had caused a sensation on the opening day by beating NEC Nijmegen, giving new head coach Henk Brugge an ideal start.

Source: FC Update

News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.