The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.
Editors' ratings
3/10
Attack
3/10
Defence
1/10
Form
2/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:Low
12th with 9 pts from 9 matches: 2 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats.
8 goals scored, 18 conceded.
Osasuna is measured to the Racing of Santander (14: 00 hours) with the return of Jagoba Arrasate to the Navarro bench as the main novelty and the objective of ending the bad streak in the face of cantabros that did not play in Pamplona since 2014 and that accumulate a bad streak at home
The Olot continues undefeated out of the house, though he lost his first points at home, after he tied up a Promise Osasuna that chained his second 0-0 in a row and still found no solution to Aier Bonel's absence at the point of attack.
After premiering with the first red team at the age of 18, but leaving football at the age of 23 for the injuries, Javier Martínez Tabernero has become a ruling judge
Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.
Latest matches
⚠ This team's latest match may not be reflected below yet (football-data.org can lag slightly between the table and the match details) — the table's points/goals are up to date, but momentum, rest and the home/away split may be one match behind. Run a refresh again in a few minutes if needed.
Lvs Real Betis Balompié (A) · 2-5
Dvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (H) · 1-1
Lvs Club Atlético de Madrid (A) · 0-4
Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (H) · 0-2
Lvs Deportivo Alavés (A) · 2-5
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8 scored / 18 conceded over 9 matches played
Rest: 7 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
1W - 2D - 1L
Away form
1W - 0D - 3L
Statistics
Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.
Goals scored per match
1.0
Goals conceded per match
3.4
At home
1 scored · 3 conceded in 2 matches
Away
4 scored · 14 conceded in 3 matches
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 5
Both teams score
3 of 5
Clean sheets
0 of 5
Failed to score
2 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average
Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.
How CA Osasuna play
System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.
Playing identity
Preferred system
4-2-3-1
Philosophy
Ramis, who arrived from Burgos CF, claims a team that is “recognisable, intense and balanced in every phase of play”, built first on defensive solidity and collective intensity rather than on possession.
Attacking strengths
Offensive output still very low: 3 goals scored in 3 matchdays (1-2 away to Celta, 0-0 against Levante, 1-0 against Getafe), the decisive goal on 31/08 being a Budimir penalty in the 45th minute.
Defensive solidity
Best defence in the league at this stage with just 1 goal conceded in 3 matches and 2 clean sheets, according to LaLiga's official table after matchday 3.
Pressing
No verified numerical data (PPDA, recovery height); Ramis publicly emphasises “intensity” as a basic principle, but no source consulted quantifies the height of the pressing.
Transitions
Not reliably documented in the sources consulted; against Getafe, the local press describes a cautious team in the first half and tempo management rather than a clear direct style of play.
StrengthUnbeaten after 3 matchdays (7 points), only one goal conceded, a block largely kept from the previous season and a proven goalscorer in Ante Budimir.
WeaknessLack of offensive output (3 goals in 3 matches), the loss of Víctor Muñoz, who left for Liverpool (width and pace out wide), and a treatment room that is growing heavier in defence (Rosier, then Herrando).
The mood around the club, and who is missing
Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.
Mood
Squad confidence
Very high, and for once grounded in numbers rather than intentions. Seven points from three matchdays, two clean sheets, a single goal conceded: it is the best possible start for a head coach appointed in June. After the win against Getafe, Luis Miguel Ramis stressed his squad's “soul” and “character”, while refusing to get carried away and calling for “small, sure steps”. The record sale of Víctor Muñoz to Liverpool has also put the club on a safe financial footing, which removes any urgency from the project. Sunday's trip to Mendizorroza is the first real away test against a direct rival for the top half.
Coach / players / board relationship
Solid and cloudless between Ramis, the sporting directors and the dressing room. The club closed its window by confirming Romain Del Castillo on 1 September, the fourth and last addition of a summer whose priority was to reinvest part of the €40m banked for Víctor Muñoz intelligently. The squad numbers published on 2 September confirm the continuity: Herrera keeps 1, Oroz 10, Rubén García 14, Budimir 17. No public divergence between the head coach and his board has been reported. Ramis, for his part, speaks as a manager of progress rather than as someone asking for signings.
Mood with the supporters
El Sadar has become an asset the head coach mentions spontaneously: Ramis explicitly thanked the crowd after the win against Getafe, making them one of the factors in the result. The club opened ticket sales for hosting RCD Espanyol very early, a sign of sustained demand after a start of seven points. The sale of Víctor Muñoz, an academy player, could have caused concern, but integrating home-grown youngsters and bringing in four targeted additions has defused the debate. Publishing the squad numbers, with the usual reference points kept, adds to the same feeling of continuity. The Navarre mood is currently one of the healthiest in LaLiga.
Pressure on the head coach
Almost non-existent. Luis Miguel Ramis was appointed on 10 June 2026 on a contract until 30 June 2028 and is making the best possible start on his debut in the Spanish top flight. His public message — soul, character, small steps — is that of a coach installing a method rather than one who has to save himself. The board gave him the additions it had promised, right up to Romain Del Castillo on the last day. Nothing in the sources consulted suggests the slightest fragility in his position.
Club objectives
Consolidating survival and then aiming for the top half, after a 2025-26 season spent fighting to stay up. The club has set no public numerical target, but its finances, cleaned up by the sale of Víctor Muñoz, allow it to approach the season without constraint. Ramis has set an explicit footballing objective: improving the possession phase, asking his midfielders to combine more and control the tempo. The league's best defence after three matchdays is the base he wants to build on. September, with Alavés, Espanyol, Atlético and Rayo, will say whether the momentum is solid.
Recent internal tensions
No tension reported, sporting or institutional. The only point to watch is medical: on 31 August Ramis referred to a demanding week that had cost his squad two injuries, without naming them, when Jorge Herrando had just been stretchered off against Getafe and Valentin Rosier remained absent. The club did not release a public diagnosis afterwards. Fundamentally, the strategy of selling high to sign selectively has prompted no protest, the team being unbeaten. The mood is the calmest in this half of the alphabetical table.
Absences
DoubtfulJorge Herrando — Taken off on a stretcher in the 38th minute against Getafe on 31/08/2026, replaced by Enzo Boyomo. The exact nature of the injury and the length of time out have not been disclosed as of this date.
InjuredValentin Rosier — Hamstring injury reported since late July 2026; Ramis said on 23/08 that he was continuing his recovery. Absent from the starting eleven on 31/08.
DoubtfulRockson Yeboah — New signing (IFK Göteborg) who, according to Ramis on 23/08/2026, was still waiting for his registration to be finalised. Administrative status as of 31/08 not verified.
Before kick-off
What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.
Next match
Sevilla FC — CA Osasuna
AwayMonday 26 October at 21:00Matchday 10
In 8 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.
No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.
Prediction
EstimateSevilla FC — CA Osasuna
60 %
1 · Sevilla FC
21 %
X · draw
19 %
2 · CA Osasuna
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 8 matches played by Sevilla FC, 9 matches by CA Osasuna. Confidence: fair
The match details of at least one of the two teams may be one match behind at football-data.org — the home/away split and the home advantage may depend on it.
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
League average. 238 goals scored over 159 team-matches played (19 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.50 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
Sevilla FC — attack13 in 8 matches1.091.05
Sevilla FC — defence12 in 8 matches1.001.00
CA Osasuna — attack8 in 9 matches0.590.76
CA Osasuna — defence18 in 9 matches1.341.20
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.57 for Sevilla FC and 0.60 for CA Osasuna. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.76 goal scored on average by the host against 1.38 by the visitor, over the 45 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.27; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.43, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.11. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
Sevilla FC at home: 1.50 pts/match versus 1.75 overall over 4 matches → ×0.952 CA Osasuna away: 0.75 pts/match versus 1.00 overall over 4 matches → ×0.917
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 59.5%, draw 21.3%, away win 19.2% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 1-1 (only 10.0%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.
The full squad
The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.
Goalkeepers
Sergio Herrera
Aitor Fernández
Rafa Fernández
Defenders
Rockson Yeboah
Jorge Herrando
Alejandro Catena
Enzo Boyomo
Abel Bretones
Diego Rico
Valentin Rosier
Íñigo Arguibide
Midfielders
Lucas Torró
Jon Moncayola
Iker Muñoz
Aimar Oroz
Moi Gómez
Rubén García
Mauro Echegoyen
A. Osambela
Forwards
Ante Budimir
Raúl García de Haro
Kike Barja
Raúl Moro
Jonathan Dubasin
Asier Bonel
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: Squad page of the official website osasuna.es cross-checked with the BeSoccer squad page (es.besoccer.com/equipo/plantilla/osasuna), accessed on 31/08/2026.
What has been said recently
Chronological feed of verified information about the club.
Matchday 4 sends Osasuna to Mendizorroza to face Deportivo Alavés on Sunday 6 September at 18:30, hoping to extend a start of seven points, two clean sheets and a single goal conceded.
The club has published its numbers for 2026-27: twenty-four squad numbers allocated, with Sergio Herrera keeping 1, Aimar Oroz 10, Rubén García 14 and Ante Budimir 17, and new signing Rockson Yeboah inheriting 48.
Away from the first team, the women's side has strengthened with the arrival of Nora Sarriegi, at a club that emphasises its continuity and its Navarre pathway.
Four signings for around €8m: Jonathan Dubasin (€4m from Sporting Gijón, contract until 2030 and a €40m release clause), Rockson Yeboah (€3m from IFK Göteborg), Diego Rico, who arrived on a free from Getafe, and Romain Del Castillo (€1m from Stade Brestois).
Tickets for hosting RCD Espanyol at El Sadar went on sale from Wednesday, the club opening sales for its home matches well in advance after a start to the season that has filled the stadium.
Osasuna have confirmed the arrival of French winger Romain Del Castillo; his registration was validated by LaLiga on the evening of 1 September, along with the league's last deals.
After the 1-0 win against Getafe, Luis Miguel Ramis praised a squad that “has a lot of soul, a lot of character” and highlighted the role of the El Sadar crowd, while asking his midfielders to “get closer to the play, combine more, control the match more”. He insisted on “small, sure steps” rather than radical changes.
Osasuna beat Getafe 1-0 at El Sadar on matchday 3 thanks to an Ante Budimir penalty in the 45th minute, and remain unbeaten with 7 points and only one goal conceded.
Centre-back Jorge Herrando left the pitch on a stretcher during Osasuna-Getafe, replaced by Enzo Boyomo; the club did not release a diagnosis in the immediate aftermath of the match.
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.
