2026/2027 season

Premier League

Team page

Premier League · Team page

Newcastle United

Head coach: Matthias Jaissle · 4-2-3-1

Rank

11th

Pts

8

P

7

Form

🟠

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

6/10

Attack

3/10

Defence

3/10

Form

5/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:High

11th with 8 pts from 7 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats.

10 goals scored, 14 conceded.

Aston Villa are a side back in form, with Johan Manzambi scoring the winner against a Newcastle team he turned down to move to Villa Park.

BBC Sport · 17 Oct 2026

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery reacts to his 100th Premier League win after victory against Newcastle at St James Park.

BBC Sport · 17 Oct 2026

Johan Manzambi heads the winner for Aston Villa against Newcastle, marking manager Unai Emery's 100th Premier League victory.

BBC Sport · 17 Oct 2026

Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa: Victory at St. James’ Park lifts Villa into 12th in the table while the Tynesiders suffer back-to-back league defeats

The Independent — Football · 17 Oct 2026

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Lvs Aston Villa FC (H) · 0-1

Lvs Coventry City FC (A) · 1-4

Wvs Hull City AFC (H) · 2-1

Lvs Leeds United FC (A) · 1-4

Dvs AFC Bournemouth (H) · 2-2

WWDDLLL

10 scored / 14 conceded over 7 matches played

Rest: 1 day since the last match · 2 matches played in the last 15 days

Home form

1W - 2D - 1L

Away form

1W - 0D - 2L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

1.2

Goals conceded per match

2.4

At home

4 scored · 4 conceded in 3 matches

Away

2 scored · 8 conceded in 2 matches

Over 2.5 goals

4 of 5

Both teams score

4 of 5

Clean sheets

0 of 5

Failed to score

1 of 5

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Newcastle United play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity

Preferred system

4-2-3-1

Philosophy

Not directly documented: none of the sources consulted details the game plan of Matthias Jaissle, who arrived from Al Ahli in August 2026 (worldfootball.net). The two line-ups published by the club (v Liverpool on 23/08, at Tottenham on 29/08) outline a stable 4-2-3-1, with two deep-lying midfielders and three attacking players behind a centre-forward; this is a reading of the team sheets published by the club, not a tactical statement.

Attacking strengths

4 goals in 2 Premier League matchdays (7 goals scored in all competitions including the Carabao Cup): GF 4, GA 2, 4 points, 5th in the table as of 31/08. Anthony Elanga scored in both matches (4th minute against Liverpool, 62nd at Tottenham) and Yoane Wissa added the 2-0 in London (72nd).

Defensive solidity

2 goals conceded in 2 matches, including a Dominik Szoboszlai penalty at 90+5 against Liverpool that cost the win on 23/08; clean sheet at Tottenham on 29/08. The goalkeeper signed this summer, Lukáš Horníček (ex-SC Braga), started both matches ahead of Nick Pope.

Pressing

The high press championed by Matthias Jaissle, a product of his coaching education in the Red Bull ecosystem, translates on the pitch into pronounced man-marking of the opposition's central midfielders: against Liverpool on 23/08/2026, Wissa marked Gravenberch, Sean Steur tracked Wirtz and Miley covered Szoboszlai (Coaches' Voice, 24/08/2026); at Tottenham on 29/08/2026, Miley applied aggressive marking to Bentancur while Hall anticipated the long balls towards Porro (The Boy Hotspur, 29/08/2026). Jaissle himself describes his philosophy thus: “I want stress on the opponent as soon as possible” and a recovery followed by “very vertical” play (Yahoo Sports, August 2026). No PPDA figure specific to the 2026-27 season could be verified for this team.

Transitions

In attacking transition, Newcastle exploited the pace of Elanga and Osula in behind on long balls from Wissa to punish an unsettled Liverpool defence (Coaches' Voice, match of 23/08/2026); at Tottenham on 29/08/2026, the preferred pattern ran through Nico González finding Dedic, a headed lay-off to Elanga and then a run down the flank from the right-back (The Boy Hotspur, 29/08/2026). In defensive transition, the team organised itself in a 4-4-2 mirrored directly on Tottenham's attacking set-up in order to keep numerical cover (The Boy Hotspur, 29/08/2026).

StrengthA solid start to the season under a new head coach (1 win, 1 draw, no league defeats) despite the absence of three key players at Tottenham; the immediate integration of Nico González, signed from Manchester City and given a start straight away in London; depth in the attacking department with Elanga, Wissa, Barnes, Woltemade, Osula, Murphy and Ramsey.

WeaknessA heavily reshaped squad after the departures of Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal), Sandro Tonali (Tottenham), Anthony Gordon (FC Barcelona), Kieran Trippier (Wolverhampton) and Aaron Ramsdale (Southampton) according to worldfootball.net: the midfield loses both of last season's organisers. Game management in the closing stages remains to be proven after the penalty conceded at 90+5 against Liverpool.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood

Squad confidence

Good and well grounded. Unbeaten on four points, Newcastle are coming off Matthias Jaissle's first Premier League win, secured at Tottenham, and their winger Anthony Elanga has become the first player at the club to score in a season's opening two matchdays since Alan Shearer in 2003-04. Yoane Wissa, nominated for the August player of the month award, completes an attacking pair who took the spotlight immediately despite the squad overhaul. Two caveats: the injury list remains heavy, with Burn, Joelinton, Osula and Livramento all out, and the head-to-head is poor, Newcastle not having beaten Bournemouth at home in the league since November 2019.

Coach / players / board relationship

Visible coherence between sporting director Ross Wilson and Matthias Jaissle, both associated with the club's communications on the window. Wilson claims a strategy of a “refreshed” squad, geared towards youth and development, which the average age of the eight signings confirms, from Sean Steur (18, Ajax) to Amar Dedić (24), a deliberate reunion with the head coach. Sky Sports endorse the exercise with an 8 out of 10 and Keith Downie's verdict: “the summer transformation is complete”, for £262m. Note a discrepancy between that figure and the £275m reported earlier. The strongest symbol remains the number 8 given to Aladji Bamba, the shirt of Sandro Tonali, who left for Tottenham.

Mood with the supporters

No reliable measure of the fan climate could be verified. The only content found on the atmosphere at St James' Park is an opinion piece by NUFC The Mag (18/08/2026) judging the stadium less noisy than before and suggesting more local music be played there before matches: this is an editorial view, not a measure of the climate. On the reaction to the transfer window (the departures of Bruno Guimarães to Arsenal for around £75m and Sandro Tonali to Tottenham for around £100m, more than £240m received in total according to The Boar, 17/08/2026), the two articles consulted (Yahoo Sports, 13/08/2026; The Boar, 17/08/2026) are journalistic analyses that express an author's concern but report no directly gathered supporter reaction.

Pressure on the head coach

Low at this stage: Jaissle has only just been appointed (August 2026) and his team is unbeaten in the league. None of the sources consulted reports any dissent.

Club objectives

Neither the club nor Matthias Jaissle has communicated a numerical league-position target: the head coach has only stated that he wants to “build on what we are building”, accepting highs and lows given the youth of the squad, and claims a playing identity that “will not change” (VAVEL, 28/08/2026). External expectations differ depending on the source: the Sky Sports supercomputer (21/08/2026) predicts 13th place, whereas the bookmakers' odds relayed by Squawka (BOYLESports data from February 2026) had Newcastle at 4/1 for a top-6 finish and 11/10 for a place in the top half of the table. Both estimates predate or coincide with the first two league matchdays and have not been cross-checked against a more recent update.

Recent internal tensions

No tension reported at this stage by the sources consulted.

Absences

InjuredDan Burn — Ankle; return targeted for 14 September against Leeds.

InjuredJoelinton — Muscle injury; return targeted for 14 September against Leeds.

InjuredWilliam Osula — Foot injury; a return may not be possible until 12 October against Coventry.

InjuredValentino Livramento — Calf, discomfort that appeared on England duty; training individually, ruled out against Bournemouth.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Crystal Palace — Newcastle United

AwaySunday 25 October at 15:00Matchday 8

In 7 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

EstimateCrystal Palace — Newcastle United

40 %

1 · Crystal Palace

23 %

X · draw

37 %

2 · Newcastle United

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by Crystal Palace, 7 matches by Newcastle United. Confidence: medium

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 189 goals scored over 130 team-matches played (20 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.45 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
Crystal Palace — attack9 in 6 matches1.031.02
Crystal Palace — defence12 in 6 matches1.381.19
Newcastle United — attack10 in 7 matches0.980.99
Newcastle United — defence14 in 7 matches1.381.20
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for Crystal Palace and 0.54 for Newcastle United. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.42 goal scored on average by the host against 1.42 by the visitor, over the 52 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.00; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.44, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.00. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
Crystal Palace at home: 1.00 pts/match versus 1.17 overall over 3 matches → ×0.961
Newcastle United away: 1.00 pts/match versus 1.14 overall over 3 matches → ×0.966
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_{Crystal Palace} = 1.45 × 1.02 × 1.20 × 1.00 × 0.961 = 1.71
λ_{Newcastle United} = 1.45 × 0.99 × 1.19 × 0.966 = 1.65
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 39.8%, draw 22.8%, away win 37.4% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 1-1 (only 9.8%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers

1 Nick Pope
21 Lukáš Horníček
24 Ewen Jabouen
29 Mark Gillespie
31 Aidan Harris

Defenders

2 Tino Livramento
3 Lewis Hall
4 Sven Botman
5 Fabian Schär
12 Malick Thiaw
33 Dan Burn
37 Amar Dedić
51 Leo Shahar

Midfielders

6 Nico González
7 Joelinton
8 Aladji Bamba
14 Sean Steur
23 Jacob Murphy
28 Joe Willock
41 Jacob Ramsey
67 Lewis Miley

Forwards

9 Yoane Wissa
10 William Osula
11 Harvey Barnes
17 Bazoumana Touré
19 Anthony Elanga
27 Nick Woltemade
62 Sean Neave

This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.

Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: Official men's squad page (newcastleunited.com/en/teams/mens-team), consulted on 31/08/2026. The captaincy is not indicated there: Malick Thiaw wore the armband in the official report of Tottenham - Newcastle on 29/08, which does not prove that he is the designated captain for the season..

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss17 Oct 2026

Manzambi heads Villa to victory at Newcastle

Source: BBC Sport

rss17 Oct 2026

Aston Villa’s rebuild bears fruits after Johan Manzambi winner against Newcastle

Source: The Independent — Football

rss17 Oct 2026

Villa's Manzambi shows Newcastle what they missed out on

Source: BBC Sport

rss13 Oct 2026

Boiling in Coventry results in a shot at Newcastle with Lampard smiling

Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto

rss17 Oct 2026

Manzambi maintains Aston Villa progress with win to seal dismal week for Newcastle

Source: The Guardian — Football

rss17 Oct 2026

Thanks to Johan Manzambi, Aston Villa runs against Newcastle in the Premier League

Source: L'Équipe

Club3 Sep 2026

Newcastle open the Saturday of matchday 3 by hosting Bournemouth on 5 September at 12:30, still unbeaten on four points.

Source: Football Web Pages

Other3 Sep 2026

Matías Fernández-Pardo joined the group in training on Wednesday, alongside Amar Dedić, Nico González, Yoane Wissa and Anthony Elanga. The 21-year-old Belgian winger, the summer's eighth signing, said on his arrival: “I am really very happy to be here and very proud to join such a big club.”

Source: Newcastle United (site officiel)

Other3 Sep 2026

Yoane Wissa is among the eight nominees for the Premier League player of the month award for August, alongside Rayan Cherki, Bruno Fernandes and Konstantinos Tzolakis among others; voting closes on 11 September. The club has also opened voting for its own player of the month award.

Source: Manchester City (site officiel)

Result2 Sep 2026

Anthony Elanga has become the first Newcastle player to score in the opening two matchdays of a Premier League season since Alan Shearer in 2003-04. The head-to-head record is unfavourable, however: Newcastle have not beaten Bournemouth at St James' Park in the league since November 2019, and the Cherries are unbeaten in their last four trips to Tyneside since September 2022.

Source: Goal

Injury2 Sep 2026

Injury update before Bournemouth: Dan Burn (ankle) and Joelinton (muscle injury) are targeting a return on 14 September against Leeds; William Osula, with a foot injury, may not play again before 12 October against Coventry; Tino Livramento, back from England duty with calf discomfort, is training separately and will miss Saturday. No suspensions.

Source: Sports Mole

Institutional2 Sep 2026

The club has detailed its eight summer signings: Ewen Jaouen (Reims), Bazoumana Touré (Hoffenheim), Sean Steur (Ajax), Aladji Bamba (Monaco), Lukáš Horníček (Braga), Amar Dedić (Benfica), Nico González (Manchester City) and Matías Fernández-Pardo (Lille). Sporting director Ross Wilson sees in this a strategy of a “refreshed” squad, geared towards youth and development. Aladji Bamba inherits the number 8 left vacant by Sandro Tonali's move to Tottenham, with Anthony Gordon's departure to Barcelona completing the wave of exits.

Source: Newcastle United (site officiel)

Institutional2 Sep 2026

Sky Sports mark Newcastle's window 8 out of 10. Keith Downie believes “the summer transformation is complete” with eight signings for £262m spent, and judges the window's last moves “the most ambitious”.

Source: Sky Sports

Supporters2 Sep 2026

The club has completed the allocation process for the League Cup third-round trip to Millwall, on Tuesday 8 September at 20:00: 2,072 tickets allocated, from £11 for under-14s to £26 for adults, all strictly in the holder's name and entirely digital, distributed in loyalty-point tiers.

Source: Newcastle United (site officiel)

Club2 Sep 2026

On the academy front, young Sean Neave has been loaned to Wolverhampton, while the club has announced the postponement of several Premier League Cup fixtures for its U21s.

Source: Newcastle United (site officiel)

Transfers1 Sep 2026

The club has signed Belgian forward Matías Fernández-Pardo from Lille for £51m on a long-term contract; he is the summer's eighth signing, taking summer spending to £275m.

Source: beIN Sports

News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.