2026/2027 season

Premier League

Team page
Premier League · Team page
Nottingham Forest
Head coach: Oliver Glasner · Conflit de sources à signaler : Glasner déclare travailler un 3-4-2-1 depuis la préparation (Sky Sports, 20/08/2026), mais la feuille de match Sky Sports d'Anfield (29/08) étiquette l'équipe en 4-2-3-1. Le onze aligné (Sels ; Jair Cunha, Milenković, Murillo ; Aina, Schlager, McAtee, N. Williams ; Gibbs-White, Ndoye ; Igor Jesus) se lit indifféremment dans les deux grilles ; aucune source consultée ne tranche.
Rank
17th
Pts
5
P
6
Form
🟡 Average

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
2/10
Attack
6/10
Defence
3/10
Form
5/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:High

17th with 5 pts from 6 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 defeats.

5 goals scored, 8 conceded.

Nottingham Forest hosts Sunday. Where are you watching this game live? SN TV Guide: Where are you watching Nottingham Forest . Arsenal in the Premier League live? The rights of the Premier League are again at Viaplay this season. So you can use the streaming service [...] Read on... On which channel are you watching Nottingham Forest "Arsenal" live? appeared first on Soccernews.nl .

Soccernews · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

After ruling Leeds, Arsenal moved on the Nottingham Forest lawn with the goal of staying in touch with the Premier League leader. Here's all the information to follow this live shock.

RMC Sport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Follow our football betting tips as Nottingham Forest host Arsenal on Sunday

The Independent — Football · 17 Oct 2026

There is one more party left, "he said after the Jódar party. If impressive is the Jódar trajectory, which began the year at the 168 ATP and is a step away from entering the Top 10, the Asian tour of Davidovich.At the end of September he won the title in Chendgu (his second ATP title after the one achieved in Mallorca in June), and this Saturday was classified for his second..

ABC Deportes · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs Crystal Palace FC (A) · 1-3
Lvs Coventry City FC (H) · 0-1
Wvs Aston Villa FC (A) · 2-1
Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC (H) · 0-0
Dvs Liverpool FC (A) · 2-2
WDDLLL
5 scored / 8 conceded over 6 matches played
Rest: 7 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
0W - 1D - 2L
Away form
1W - 1D - 1L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
1.0
Goals conceded per match
1.4
At home
0 scored · 1 conceded in 2 matches
Away
5 scored · 6 conceded in 3 matches
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 5
Both teams score
3 of 5
Clean sheets
1 of 5
Failed to score
2 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Nottingham Forest play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
Conflit de sources à signaler : Glasner déclare travailler un 3-4-2-1 depuis la préparation (Sky Sports, 20/08/2026), mais la feuille de match Sky Sports d'Anfield (29/08) étiquette l'équipe en 4-2-3-1. Le onze aligné (Sels ; Jair Cunha, Milenković, Murillo ; Aina, Schlager, McAtee, N. Williams ; Gibbs-White, Ndoye ; Igor Jesus) se lit indifféremment dans les deux grilles ; aucune source consultée ne tranche.
Philosophy
Verified fact: Glasner announces an approach based on structure and detail rather than possession, with the stated priority of “installing stability in the club” after four changes of head coach in twelve months (Sky Sports, 20/08/2026).
Attacking strengths
2 goals in 2 matchdays (Ndoye 24th and Gibbs-White from the penalty spot 70th at Anfield; no goal against Leeds). The club has invested massively up front with Liam Delap, signed from Chelsea for a club-record fee that could reach £50m (Sky Sports, 27/08/2026), who has already come on as a substitute at Liverpool.
Defensive solidity
3 goals conceded in 2 matchdays. Heavy recruitment in this area with Ousmane Diomande (Sporting, £34.3m, four-year contract, 11/08/2026). Sample too small to draw conclusions: no advanced data (xGA, PPDA) could be verified.
Pressing
Not verified. None of the sources consulted provides any figures on the height or intensity of Forest's pressing in 2026-27. Glasner claims a game that is “well drilled, combative and attentive to detail” (Sky Sports, 20/08/2026), without this having been objectively substantiated.
Transitions
Not measurable after two matchdays. Factual observation from the 2-2 at Anfield: the opening goal came from a long ball from Sels flicked on by Igor Jesus for Ndoye (24th), which suggests a deliberately direct game, but a single match does not make it an established characteristic.
StrengthFinancial power and top-level recruitment (Delap, Diomande), the retention of Morgan Gibbs-White despite outside interest, and a response praised by the head coach at Anfield: “the performance was excellent”, “I loved the reaction after the equaliser” (Sky Sports, 29/08/2026).
WeaknessNo win in two matchdays, two defeats against Leeds in three days (0-1 in the league on 22/08, a 0-2 Carabao Cup exit on 26/08), the departure of Elliot Anderson not yet replaced in midfield, and a squad still a work in progress by the head coach's own admission.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Ambivalent and under pressure in points terms. The point taken at Anfield was reassuring, but Forest remain without a win and Oliver Glasner is still waiting for his first victory in charge of the club. The City Ground is no longer a refuge: one win in the last twelve home league matches, against Burnley in April, and two defeats to Leeds in three days at the end of August, including elimination from the League Cup. The match against Tottenham is nonetheless the ideal opportunity, Forest having won the last four league meetings with Spurs. Morgan Gibbs-White remains the main attacking reference point, with seventeen goal involvements in the Premier League in the calendar year, a total only Bruno Fernandes exceeds.
Coach / players / board relationship
Owner Evangelos Marinakis expects Glasner to achieve success comparable to that obtained at Crystal Palace (three trophies in two years); Glasner says he is aligned with that ambition while arguing for realistic, step-by-step progress (Sky Sports, 20/08/2026). No public friction reported at this stage.
Mood with the supporters
No protest movement reported by the sources consulted. A context of high expectations after the summer's investments, tempered by two home defeats against Leeds in three days.
Pressure on the head coach
Still low but beginning to build. Oliver Glasner has not won in three competitive matches, went out of the cup at the first hurdle and manages a club whose owner explicitly expects a return comparable to the one he achieved at Crystal Palace. His transfer window is praised, 7.5 out of 10 according to Sky Sports, with the “physical number 9 with high potential” he asked for in Liam Delap and a full-back he already knows, Daniel Muñoz, for a fee that could reach £22m. In other words, he got what he asked for: the credit he has will now be measured in results, starting with the visit of a pointless Tottenham.
Club objectives
Objective stated by the head coach: first consistency and stability, then a place in the top half of the table (Sky Sports, 20/08/2026). The owner explicitly aims higher, something Glasner is seeking to reframe.
Recent internal tensions
No internal tension reported in the sense of conflict, but Glasner has publicly pointed to a mindset problem: “the atmosphere is perhaps a little too relaxed... we have to find the balance” (Sky Sports, 20/08/2026).
Absences
InjuredNicolò Savona — Knee injury, still unavailable for the visit of Tottenham.
DoubtfulIbrahim Sangaré — Calf discomfort, to be assessed before the visit of Tottenham.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Nottingham Forest — Arsenal

At homeSunday 18 October at 17:30Matchday 7
It's today. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says
Prediction
EstimateNottingham Forest — Arsenal
21 %
1 · Nottingham Forest
27 %
X · draw
52 %
2 · Arsenal
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by Nottingham Forest, 6 matches by Arsenal. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 189 goals scored over 130 team-matches played (20 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.45 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    Nottingham Forest — attack5 in 6 matches0.570.79
    Nottingham Forest — defence8 in 6 matches0.920.96
    Arsenal — attack10 in 6 matches1.151.07
    Arsenal — defence5 in 6 matches0.570.79
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for Nottingham Forest and 0.50 for Arsenal. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.42 goal scored on average by the host against 1.42 by the visitor, over the 52 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.00; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.44, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.00. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    Nottingham Forest at home: 0.33 pts/match versus 0.83 overall over 3 matches → ×0.880
    Arsenal away: 2.00 pts/match versus 2.50 overall over 3 matches → ×0.945
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λNottingham Forest = 1.45 × 0.79 × 0.79 × 1.00 × 0.880 = 0.79
    λArsenal = 1.45 × 1.07 × 0.96 × 0.945 = 1.41
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 21.0%, draw 27.3%, away win 51.7% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 0-1 (only 15.6%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Matz Sels
  • John Victor
  • Steven Benda
  • Aaron Bott
Defenders
  • Ola Aina
  • Nikola Milenković
  • Murillo
  • Jair Cunha
  • Ousmane Diomande
  • Neco Williams
  • Zach Abbott
  • Tyler Bindon
  • Luca Netz
Midfielders
  • Morgan Gibbs-WhiteC
  • Xaver Schlager
  • James McAtee
  • Nicolás Domínguez
Forwards
  • Liam Delap
  • Igor Jesus
  • Dan Ndoye
  • Chris Wood
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi
  • Omari Hutchinson
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: Reconstructed from the verified Sky Sports team sheets (Nottingham Forest - Leeds on 22/08/2026 and Liverpool - Nottingham Forest on 29/08/2026) and the worldfootball.net squad page. NON-EXHAUSTIVE LIST: the squad pages consulted were truncated and no complete source could be opened. The armband was verified in only one match (Gibbs-White at Anfield)..

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
Nottingham Forest - Arsenal: What time and on what channel watch the Premier League game live?
Source: RMC Sport
rss17 Oct 2026
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction: Premier League betting tips and line-ups
Source: The Independent — Football
rss16 Oct 2026
On which channel are you watching Nottingham Forest?
Source: Soccernews
rss16 Oct 2026
Nottingham Forest sweating over Morgan Gibbs-White fitness ahead of Arsenal visit
Source: The Independent — Football
rss14 Oct 2026
Forest Green without coach, a triumvirate guides the vegan club
Source: ANSA Sport
rss11 Oct 2026
Glasner suffers loss on Selhurst return as Palace beat Forest
Source: BBC Sport
Club3 Sep 2026
Forest host Tottenham on Saturday 5 September at 15:00 at the City Ground, in a meeting between two sides still without a win.
Source: Sports Mole
Injury3 Sep 2026
Midfielder Ibrahim Sangaré, with a calf problem, missed the last matchday and defender Nicolò Savona is unavailable until mid-October with a knee injury.
Source: SportsGambler
Institutional2 Sep 2026
Sky Sports mark Forest's window 7.5 out of 10. Anton Toloui speaks of “a solid first window” under Oliver Glasner, the head coach having got the “physical number 9 with high potential” he asked for in Liam Delap.
Source: Sky Sports
Club1 Sep 2026
Academy-trained defender Zach Abbott is reported to have reached an agreement in principle with two Championship clubs over a loan.
Source: Sports Mole
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Over a window that closed on 1 September, the club invested in forward Liam Delap, signed from Chelsea for £50m, and full-back Daniel Muñoz, who arrived from Crystal Palace for £22m.
Source: Sky Sports
Transfers31 Aug 2026
Daniel Muñoz's transfer from Crystal Palace could reach £22m. The Colombian full-back is reunited with Oliver Glasner, with whom he worked at Selhurst Park, and the club has confirmed the fee as well as his shirt number.
Source: Sky Sports
Result29 Aug 2026
Forest took a point from Anfield on 29 August by holding Liverpool to a 2-2 draw, a first point of the season after the 0-1 home defeat to Leeds.
Source: worldfootball.net
Other28 Aug 2026
Glasner confirms the arrival of Delap and announces “at least one more signing” before the transfer window closes; Forest are mentioned as a contender for Crystal Palace full-back Daniel Muñoz, with an offer cited at £22m.
Source: Sky Sports
Result26 Aug 2026
Forest were knocked out of the League Cup at the City Ground by Leeds, who won there for the second time in three days after their league victory.
Source: Sky Sports
Head coach20 Aug 2026
Oliver Glasner sets out his plan for Forest: priority on stability after four changes of head coach in twelve months, work on a 3-4-2-1, and a public warning about an atmosphere that is “perhaps a little too relaxed” within the group.
Source: Sky Sports (Laura Hunter)
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.