2026/2027 season

Primeira Liga

Team page
Primeira Liga · Team page
Casa Pia AC
Head coach: Filipe Coelho · 4-3-3
Rank
17th
Pts
4
P
8
Form
🟠 Poor

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
1/10
Attack
2/10
Defence
3/10
Form
3/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:High

17th with 4 pts from 8 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 6 defeats.

3 goals scored, 17 conceded.

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs CD Santa Clara (H) · 0-1
Wvs GD Estoril Praia (A) · 2-1
Lvs FC Porto (H) · 1-4
Dvs Vitória SC (A) · 0-0
Lvs Moreirense FC (H) · 0-1
WDLLLLLL
3 scored / 17 conceded over 8 matches played
Rest: 8 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
0W - 0D - 4L
Away form
1W - 1D - 2L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
0.6
Goals conceded per match
1.4
At home
1 scored · 6 conceded in 3 matches
Away
2 scored · 1 conceded in 2 matches
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 5
Both teams score
2 of 5
Clean sheets
1 of 5
Failed to score
3 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Casa Pia AC play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
4-3-3
Philosophy
Filipe Coelho, in his first job as a number one after being an assistant at Strasbourg, presents his first season as an openly acknowledged work in progress: after the heavy 0-7 defeat to Benfica (17/08/2026), he admitted that “há um processo que está a ser construído”, going through painful but formative setbacks, and stressed the need to “crescer e melhorar índices físicos” for a squad not yet at the level required for the division (source: A Bola, 17/08/2026, article accessed and verified).
Attacking strengths
Worst attack in the league: 0 goals scored in 4 matchdays, bottom of the table. Against Moreirense (0-1 defeat, 30/08/2026), the team nonetheless generated 50 attacking sequences to the opposition's 13 and 34 crosses to 5, without managing to convert (A Bola, 30/08/2026). Coach Filipe Coelho himself described his attacking squad as “too large” and is expecting departures before the window closes (A Bola, 29/08/2026).
Defensive solidity
Worst defence in the league: 11 goals conceded in 4 matchdays, 7 of them alone against Benfica (0-7 home defeat in Rio Maior on 17/08/2026, marked by a Vangelis Pavlidis hat-trick scored in just 7 minutes at the start of the second half). The coach described the result as “demasiado pesado” (too heavy) and judged the start to the second half “disastrous” (Record, headline picked up via aggregator, fact cross-checked by several outlets — beIN Sports, OneFootball, A Bola).
Pressing
Transitions
StrengthVolume of play and territorial dominance in terms of sequences (50 attacks to 13 against Moreirense), without it showing on the scoreboard.
WeaknessWorst attack (0 goals) and worst defence (11 conceded) in the league after 4 matchdays; recurring finishing problems and defensive fragility proven by the 0-7 rout against Benfica.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Casa Pia remain bottom with 0 points, 0 goals scored and 11 conceded in four matchdays, but their own report on the defeat to Moreirense stresses a team that “never stopped looking for a different result”: Rochinha missed a big chance in the 14th minute, Alassana Jatta hit the bar in the 59th and Ofori shot wide in stoppage time. Filipe Coelho continues to take a line of construction, with no stated “urgency”, while waiting for his squad — which he himself judges “too large” — to settle. The institutional context has, by contrast, changed in scale with the Krause Group, owners of Parma, taking a majority stake in the club. No source consulted reports an explicit threat from the board to the head coach's position or a rift in the dressing room.
Coach / players / board relationship
On 08/08/2026, after the 0-1 defeat to Marítimo (matchday 1), Filipe Coelho explained the absence of Frenchman Livolant from the matchday squad by an internal disciplinary procedure, with the player having asked to leave the club without following the correct process: “O Livolant pediu para sair. Tem outros objetivos na sua carreira. Não o fez da forma mais correta e está sob a alçada disciplinar do clube” (source: Maisfutebol, 08/08/2026, article accessed and verified).
Mood with the supporters
Casa Pia play their home matches at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (capacity of around 7,000 spectators without restriction), rather than in Lisbon; the sources consulted do not specify the exact reason for this relocation (compliance status of the usual stadium not confirmed by an open source). For the home game against Benfica (17/08/2026), a central stand was closed by the FPF's Disciplinary Council following a pyrotechnics incident that injured a spectator at an earlier match the previous season (16/05); the socios had to be reallocated to another section (A Bola, 10/08/2026).
Pressure on the head coach
No public statement of support for or questioning of the coaching staff has been found in the sources consulted (search as of 01/09/2026). The length of Filipe Coelho's contract, having arrived in early July 2026 from Racing Strasbourg for his first spell as a first-team number one, is not confirmed by open sources. The club is bottom with 0 points after 4 matchdays, an objectively risky situation, but no outlet consulted reports any explicit threat from the board to the coach's position.
Club objectives
According to Filipe Coelho after the defeat to Moreirense (A Bola, 29/08/2026), the coach states that there is “no urgency” and favours fundamental work with the squad available; no numerical target (survival, a specific league position) has been publicly communicated by the club's board at this stage.
Recent internal tensions
The club is internally managing a disciplinary procedure targeting forward Jéremy Livolant, open since pre-season; Filipe Coelho indicated that “the club is managing its process” without giving details, saying he is focusing on the players available (A Bola, 29/08/2026). No other internal tension (dressing room, board) has been reported by the sources consulted.
Absences
DoubtfulJéremy Livolant — Subject to an internal club disciplinary procedure since pre-season; unavailable, exact reason not detailed publicly (Filipe Coelho, quoted by A Bola, 29/08/2026).
DoubtfulEvans Maurin — French signing confirmed on 29/08/2026, not yet used in an official match as of 29/08/2026 according to the coach (A Bola).

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

CF Estrela da Amadora — Casa Pia AC

AwaySaturday 24 October at 16:30Matchday 9
In 6 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
EstimateCF Estrela da Amadora — Casa Pia AC
60 %
1 · CF Estrela da Amadora
21 %
X · draw
19 %
2 · Casa Pia AC
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 8 matches played by CF Estrela da Amadora, 8 matches by Casa Pia AC. Confidence: fair
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 195 goals scored over 142 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.37 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    CF Estrela da Amadora — attack14 in 8 matches1.271.16
    CF Estrela da Amadora — defence15 in 8 matches1.371.21
    Casa Pia AC — attack3 in 8 matches0.270.58
    Casa Pia AC — defence17 in 8 matches1.551.31
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.57 for CF Estrela da Amadora and 0.57 for Casa Pia AC. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.20 goal scored on average by the host against 1.49 by the visitor, over the 45 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 0.81; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.43, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.00. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    CF Estrela da Amadora at home: 1.25 pts/match versus 1.25 overall over 4 matches → ×1.000
    Casa Pia AC away: 1.00 pts/match versus 0.50 overall over 4 matches → ×1.120
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λCF Estrela da Amadora = 1.37 × 1.16 × 1.31 × 1.00 × 1.000 = 2.09
    λCasa Pia AC = 1.37 × 0.58 × 1.21 × 1.120 = 1.09
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 60.3%, draw 20.6%, away win 19.1% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 9.9%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • André Gomes
  • Patrick Sequeira
  • Daniel Azevedo
  • Ivan Mandić
Defenders
  • David Sousa
  • João Goulart
  • Abdu Conté
  • André Geraldes
  • Kaique Rocha
  • Kaly
Midfielders
  • Selvi
  • S. Pérez
  • Lawrence Ofori
  • João Rêgo
  • João Pedro
Forwards
  • Rochinha
  • Henrique Araújo
  • Korede Osundina
  • Jéremy Livolant
  • Cassiano
  • Benjamin Pauwels
  • Aymen Zouin
  • Alassana Jatta
  • Evans Maurin
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 1 Sep 2026 — source: BeSoccer (besoccer.com/team/casa-pia) cross-checked with worldfootball.net; the positions of certain recent signings (Evans Maurin, Aymen Zouin, João Pedro) not confirmed in detail by an official club profile.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss9 Oct 2026
Pia House gives guarantees of "very large homogeneity"
Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto
rss10 Oct 2026
The Pia AC x Santa Clara House was like this...
Source: zerozero
rss10 Oct 2026
Santa Clara marks the discounts and wins the Pia House
Source: RTP Desporto
rss10 Oct 2026
Home Pia AC x Santa Clara: Forecast, absences and eleven probable
Source: zerozero
rss9 Oct 2026
Complications on Santa Clara flight postpone game against the Pia House
Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto
rss10 Oct 2026
Home Pia AC 0-1 Santa Clara by minute
Source: zerozero
Other2 Sep 2026
Gustavo Correia has been appointed to referee Vitória de Guimarães v Casa Pia, in matchday 5 of the Liga Portugal Betclic.
Source: A Bola
Transfers2 Sep 2026
The official summary of the window records nine arrivals at Casa Pia this summer: Rochinha (Famalicão), André Gomes (Benfica), Alassana Jatta (Notts County), JP (Vasco da Gama), Gabi Pereira (Felgueiras), Benjamin Pauwels (Leganés), Evans Maurin (Grenoble), as well as two loans, João Rego (Benfica) and Aymen Zouin, from Parma — a club owned by the same Krause Group, now the Gansos' majority shareholder. Five departures are recorded, including Fahem Benaissa to Mantova and Miguel Sousa to Leixões.
Source: Maisfutebol
Result31 Aug 2026
In its report on the 1-0 defeat to Moreirense, the club details the chances missed: Rochinha wasted the first big opportunity in the 14th minute from a Pedro Rosas cross, Francisco Domingues opened the scoring for the visitors with a quality strike from outside the box in the 24th, Alassana Jatta hit the crossbar in the 59th and Ofori shot wide in stoppage time. The club takes away a team that “never stopped looking for a different result”.
Source: Casa Pia AC (site officiel)
Result30 Aug 2026
Casa Pia AC lost 1-0 at home to Moreirense on matchday 4, after a 2-0 defeat at Gil Vicente on 24 August.
Source: Casa Pia AC (site officiel)
Club30 Aug 2026
Casa Pia AC are bottom of the league with no points after four matchdays, without a single goal scored and eleven conceded.
Source: Campeonatos Internacionais
Club30 Aug 2026
Match report on the 0-1 defeat to Moreirense: Casa Pia dominate heavily in terms of volume (50 attacking sequences to 13, 34 crosses to 5) but go down to an exceptional goal from Francisco Domingues, despite chances for Rochinha, Jatta and Henrique Araújo (post).
Source: A Bola
Club29 Aug 2026
After the 0-1 defeat to Moreirense, Filipe Coelho wants to “react” and admits that Casa Pia's squad is currently “too large”, hoping for targeted departures and arrivals before the window closes; he confirms the unavailability of Jéremy Livolant (internal disciplinary procedure) and Evans Maurin (new signing not yet used).
Source: A Bola
Club17 Aug 2026
Casa Pia go down 0-7 at home (Rio Maior) to Benfica, with a Vangelis Pavlidis hat-trick scored in just seven minutes at the start of the second half.
Source: A Bola
Club10 Aug 2026
A stand at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior is closed to spectators for the home game against Benfica, a sanction from the FPF's Disciplinary Council after a supporter was injured by pyrotechnics at a previous match; the socios' seats are reallocated to another section.
Source: A Bola
News last verified on 11 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.