2026/2027 season

Primeira Liga

Team page
Primeira Liga · Team page
CF Estrela da Amadora
Head coach: Pepa
Rank
10th
Pts
10
P
8
Form
🟡 Average

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
8/10
Attack
3/10
Defence
3/10
Form
5/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:High

10th with 10 pts from 8 matches: 2 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats.

14 goals scored, 15 conceded.

The Estrela da Amadora won today Fazendense, from the quarto echelão, by 2-1, with goals only in the complementary stage, and guaranteed the ‘passport’ for the fourth elimination of the Cup of Portugal football.

RTP Desporto · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The Estrela da Amadora won today Fazendense, from the quarto echelão, by 2-1, with goals only in the complementary stage, and guaranteed the ‘passport’ for the fourth elimination of the Cup of Portugal football.

RTP Desporto · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs FC Arouca (A) · 0-1
Lvs Académico de Viseu FC (H) · 0-2
Dvs Rio Ave FC (A) · 3-3
Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga (H) · 2-1
Dvs FC Famalicão (H) · 2-2
WWDDDDLL
14 scored / 15 conceded over 8 matches played
Rest: 7 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
1W - 2D - 1L
Away form
1W - 2D - 1L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
1.4
Goals conceded per match
1.8
At home
4 scored · 5 conceded in 3 matches
Away
3 scored · 4 conceded in 2 matches
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 5
Both teams score
3 of 5
Clean sheets
0 of 5
Failed to score
2 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How CF Estrela da Amadora play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing style not documented for this team.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
The 3-2 win snatched at the Choupana, with a Leandro Antonetti goal in the 90th minute having gone behind as early as the 3rd, says a great deal about this team's resilience: it cost João Gião his job and lifted Estrela to 7th on 5 points, with a game in hand. The attack is working well (7 goals in three matches) and Pepa had warned as early as mid-August that he rejected the euphoria born of the draw with Sporting (“it could have got out of hand, but it did not, physically or emotionally”). His request at the time — “we need players with experience” — was partly heard, with the arrivals of Joan Jordán and Lovro Zvonarek. The club did, however, lighten its attack to the last day, loaning Sydney van Hooijdonk to PEC Zwolle. No source consulted reports internal tension.
Coach / players / board relationship
Pepa maintains a candid relationship with his squad and his board: after the opener against Sporting, he publicly called for experienced additions to guide his young players (“é preciso ter jogadores com experiência”), while refusing to let enthusiasm take hold. His guiding phrase is repeated from one press conference to the next: “we focus on ourselves, we know we will draw, lose and win, but we stick to our process with a great deal of courage”. The board responded with a very high-turnover window — seven arrivals for fifteen departures — with established profiles such as Joan Jordán, formerly of Sevilla, and Lovro Zvonarek, on loan from Bayern Munich. The last adjustments, Sydney van Hooijdonk's loan to PEC Zwolle and Rodrigo Dudok's arrival, came on 2 September.
Mood with the supporters
The stadium is a subject in its own right at Reboleira: on 8 August 2026 Liga Portugal had to explain publicly why it had authorised Estrela v Sporting to be played on the degraded surface of the Estádio José Gomes, citing “premência organizativa” and promising “a much more rigorous position” on inspections for the rest of the season — a matter that bears directly on the ground's future use. On atmosphere, the only attendance figure found remains that of the Troféu Cidade da Amadora played on 1 August 2026 against Al Nassr (a 4-2 win), with 4,183 spectators. The team are back in front of their own crowd on matchday 5 against Famalicão, under Vítor Ferreira. No league attendance data and no supporters' group statement was found for the 2026-27 season.
Pressure on the head coach
No public questioning reported: Pepa has been in the role since 12/06/2026 (announcement confirmed by several Portuguese outlets and by the season's Wikipedia page). Contract length not confirmed at this stage.
Club objectives
No numerical league-position objective has been announced by the club. The line Pepa has set is methodological rather than about points: staying focused on their own process, accepting that results will alternate and keeping courage in executing the game plan. He did, however, make one clear demand during the window — “we need players with experience” to guide a young squad — which the board answered with the arrivals of Joan Jordán (Sevilla) and Lovro Zvonarek (Bayern Munich). On 5 points with a game in hand, the implicit objective for the first third of the season is to stay in touch with mid-table.
Recent internal tensions
No internal tension reported at this stage (search carried out in the Portuguese and general press, with no reports found).
Absences
DoubtfulKevin Hoog Jansson — Midfielder a doubt, out for the previous two matches; status to be assessed ahead of the away trip to Nacional (MD4, 30-31/08/2026). Single source: Sports Mole, 28/08/2026 (to be confirmed elsewhere).

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

CF Estrela da Amadora — Casa Pia AC

At homeSaturday 24 October at 16:30Matchday 9
In 6 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.
What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
EstimateCF Estrela da Amadora — Casa Pia AC
60 %
1 · CF Estrela da Amadora
21 %
X · draw
19 %
2 · Casa Pia AC
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 8 matches played by CF Estrela da Amadora, 8 matches by Casa Pia AC. Confidence: fair
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 195 goals scored over 142 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.37 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    CF Estrela da Amadora — attack14 in 8 matches1.271.16
    CF Estrela da Amadora — defence15 in 8 matches1.371.21
    Casa Pia AC — attack3 in 8 matches0.270.58
    Casa Pia AC — defence17 in 8 matches1.551.31
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.57 for CF Estrela da Amadora and 0.57 for Casa Pia AC. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.20 goal scored on average by the host against 1.49 by the visitor, over the 45 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 0.81; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.43, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.00. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    CF Estrela da Amadora at home: 1.25 pts/match versus 1.25 overall over 4 matches → ×1.000
    Casa Pia AC away: 1.00 pts/match versus 0.50 overall over 4 matches → ×1.120
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λCF Estrela da Amadora = 1.37 × 1.16 × 1.31 × 1.00 × 1.000 = 2.09
    λCasa Pia AC = 1.37 × 0.58 × 1.21 × 1.120 = 1.09
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 60.3%, draw 20.6%, away win 19.1% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 9.9%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Filipe Mendes
  • André Marques
  • Nélson
Defenders
  • Hugo Gomes
  • Nuno André Coelho
  • D. Mustafa
  • Nelson Pedroso
  • Vítor Vinha
  • Ney Santos
  • Vítor Moreno
  • Hugo Carreira
  • Daniel
  • Lito Vidigal
  • Lucas Mincarelli
Midfielders
  • Celestino
  • Fernando Alexandre
  • Têti
  • Luís Vidigal
  • Tengarrinha
  • Jardel
  • Marco Paulo
  • Marcelo
  • Celsinho
  • N Diaye
Forwards
  • Anselmo
  • Jorge Monteiro
  • Rui Varela
  • D. Ndiaye
  • G. Garavano
  • S. Varela
  • Pedro Pereira
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 1 Sep 2026 — source: BeSoccer (squad page accessed on 01/09/2026, https://www.besoccer.com/team/squad/estrela-amadora), supplemented by A Bola for the arrival of Lucas Mincarelli.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss17 Oct 2026
Amadora's Star Overtakes Fazendense with Tom Moustier 'bis'
Source: RTP Desporto
rss17 Oct 2026
Amadora's Star Overtakes Fazendense with Tom Moustier's Bis
rss17 Oct 2026
Amadora's Star Overtakes Fazendense with Tom Moustier 'bis'
Source: RTP Desporto
rss7 Oct 2026
FPF confirms shareholder changes in Amadora Star
rss10 Oct 2026
Pepa points out difficulty of the Amadora Star in visiting Arouca
rss12 Oct 2026
Arouca beats Amadora Star at the premiere of Vítor Severino
Club3 Sep 2026
On 5 points, CF Estrela da Amadora hold a place in the top half of the table after four matchdays.
Source: Maisfutebol
Transfers2 Sep 2026
Estrela da Amadora have loaned Dutch forward Sydney van Hooijdonk, 26, to PEC Zwolle, with a purchase option for the Dutch club at the end of the season. Signed from NAC Breda in January 2026, he had scored only one goal and provided one assist in 12 first-team appearances in Amadora colours.
Source: Maisfutebol
Other2 Sep 2026
Vítor Ferreira has been appointed to referee Estrela da Amadora v Famalicão, in matchday 5 of the Liga Portugal Betclic.
Source: A Bola
Transfers2 Sep 2026
The official summary of the Portuguese window illustrates the scale of turnover at Reboleira: seven arrivals, including Spaniard Joan Jordán from Sevilla, Croatian Lovro Zvonarek from Bayern Munich, goalkeeper Léo Linck from Botafogo, Rafa Soares from Famalicão and Lucas Mincarelli from Montpellier, against fifteen departures, among them Jovane Cabral (Grêmio), Rodrigo Pinho and Jorge Meireles (AVS), Alex Sola (Kiryat Shmona) and Matthew Gbomadu (Dinamo Tbilisi).
Source: Maisfutebol
Transfers2 Sep 2026
CF Estrela da Amadora have completed the loan of 19-year-old forward Rodrigo Dudok, from Racing Club de Montevideo.
Source: Maisfutebol
Result30 Aug 2026
The detail of the 3-2 win at the Choupana: behind as early as the 3rd minute to a Wesley Gasolina header, Estrela equalised through Stoica from the penalty spot just before the break (45), took the lead through Marcus Abraham (52) after a Matchói Djaló turnover, conceded Pablo Ruan's equaliser (66), then snatched the three points through Leandro Antonetti in the 90th minute, from a Doué pass. The club thereby climbed to 7th on 5 points, with a game in hand.
Result30 Aug 2026
CF Estrela da Amadora won 3-2 away at CD Nacional on matchday 4, a victory that cost João Gião his job.
Club14 Aug 2026
Pepa ruled out any euphoria after the 2-2 draw with Sporting on the opening day: “It could have got out of hand, but it did not, physically or emotionally.” The head coach called for experienced additions to support his young players — “we need players with experience” — and restated his guiding line: “We focus on ourselves. We know we will draw, lose and win, but we stick to our process with a great deal of courage.”
Source: Maisfutebol
Institutional8 Aug 2026
Liga Portugal explained why it had authorised Estrela v Sporting (2-2) to be played on the degraded surface of the Estádio José Gomes: the pitch had met the requirements at the inspection of 24 July, before deteriorating under the effect of extreme heat. Citing “premência organizativa”, the body judged that “the pitch's firmness allowed the physical integrity of players and referees to be guaranteed and its evenness a normal roll of the ball”, while reserving its decision on the pitch's future use and promising “a much more rigorous position” on inspections for the rest of the season.
Source: Maisfutebol
Club1 Aug 2026
In a pre-season friendly, Estrela da Amadora beat Al Nassr 4-2 on 1 August 2026, as part of the Troféu Cidade da Amadora. Cristiano Ronaldo was absent (rest following the 2026 World Cup); João Félix watched the match from the stands. Scorers for Estrela: Leandro Antonetti, Abraham Marcus, van Hooijdonk and Beni Souza (90+8).
News last verified on 17 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.