2026/2027 season

Primeira Liga

Team page

Primeira Liga · Team page

GD Estoril Praia

Head coach: Vasco Matos · 4-3-3

Rank

18th

Pts

2

P

8

Form

🟠

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings

2/10

Attack

5/10

Defence

1/10

Form

3/10

Confidence / mood

Current risk:Low

18th with 2 pts from 8 matches: 0 wins, 2 draws, 6 defeats.

4 goals scored, 12 conceded.

Coach Vasco Matos today starred in the third ‘psychological whipping’ in the Portuguese Football League, being removed from the technical command of Estoril Praia, which left in the last place of the race, after the eighth day.

RTP Desporto · 15 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The middle of the Academic was one of the protagonists of the fourth consecutive victory of the Viratos, shooting from outside the area to beat Joel Robles, goalkeeper of Estoril Praia.

zerozero · 16 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Estoril Praia resorted to its official means, on the afternoon of Thursday, to announce the departure of Coach Vasco Matos. By means of a communiqué, the Canarinho emblem was shown to be in ‘trade’ with the Portuguese for ‘access to the sports contract’.

zerozero · 15 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches

Lvs Académico de Viseu FC (A) · 1-2

Lvs Casa Pia AC (H) · 1-2

Lvs Sporting Clube de Braga (A) · 0-1

Dvs FC Arouca (H) · 0-0

Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica (A) · 1-2

DDLLLLLL

4 scored / 12 conceded over 8 matches played

Rest: 8 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days

Home form

0W - 2D - 2L

Away form

0W - 0D - 4L

Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match

0.6

Goals conceded per match

1.4

At home

1 scored · 2 conceded in 2 matches

Away

2 scored · 5 conceded in 3 matches

Over 2.5 goals

3 of 5

Both teams score

3 of 5

Clean sheets

1 of 5

Failed to score

2 of 5

Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How GD Estoril Praia play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity

Preferred system

4-3-3

Philosophy

Vasco Matos, who arrived as a replacement for Ian Cathro, set out his project ahead of matchday 1 (06/08/2026): “Queremos uma mentalidade vencedora e consistência”, a team that must first look at itself (“Vamos olhar para dentro, para a nossa organização”) in order to become competitive, with the ambition of making the stadium “uma fortaleza”; he claims a project of his own, distinct from the previous staff: “As ideias são nossas e vamos trabalhar o nosso processo” (source: Notícias ao Minuto, 06/08/2026, article accessed and verified).

Attacking strengths

Worst attack in the league, level with Casa Pia: only 2 goals scored in 4 matchdays (17th place), both scored by Yanis Begraoui according to BeSoccer (not cross-checked with a second source). The shortfall does not stem from a lack of chances: in the 0-2 home defeat to Rio Ave (22/08/2026), Estoril had 18 shots to the opposition's 3, without managing to score (Vasco Matos, quoted by Maisfutebol, 22/08/2026).

Defensive solidity

7 goals conceded in 4 matchdays. Defeats: 0-2 at home to Rio Ave (22/08/2026) and 1-2 away to Benfica (31/08/2026, confirmed by the official standings). On the match against Rio Ave, Vasco Matos noted that the team concedes on the opposition's rare attempts despite dominating the volume of play (Maisfutebol, 22/08/2026).

Pressing

Transitions

StrengthAbility to create numerous chances and dominate the attacking play (18 shots to 3 against Rio Ave, according to Vasco Matos).

WeaknessLack of clinical finishing and, according to the coach himself, of “aggressiveness” in the final third; the team concedes on the opposition's rare chances (Vasco Matos, Maisfutebol/O Jogo, 22/08/2026).

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood

Squad confidence

One point from four matchdays, 17th place and two goals scored: the sporting situation is the worst at the top of the bottom half, but the content of the defeat at Benfica (2-1) offered a first encouraging signal. The club's report stresses the “belief to the end” of a team that came back to 2-1 through Yanis Begraoui in the 82nd minute and was carried by a decisive Joel Robles in goal. Vasco Matos had already noted, after the defeat to Rio Ave, that his team was creating plenty (18 shots to 3) without converting: the problem is finishing, not creation. Hosting Arouca on Monday 7 September at 20:15 looks like the season's first real test at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. No source consulted reports internal tension or any questioning of the bench at this stage.

Coach / players / board relationship

Vasco Matos continues to take a demanding line without singling individuals out: after Rio Ave, he pointed to a lack of “aggression” and clinical edge rather than naming names, and at Benfica his team followed the plan to the end, coming back to 2-1 in the 82nd minute through Begraoui. The club itself relayed that reading, leading its report on “belief to the end” and praising Joel Robles's saves. The link to the academy remains active: Sérgio Raimundo's Sub-23s, who are among the Liga Next Gen's leading lights, beat Moreirense 2-1 and then snatched a 2-2 draw at Felgueiras in the closing seconds, an attitude the staff highlights. No public disagreement between the head coach, the players or the board was found in the sources consulted.

Mood with the supporters

The club has made its ground the heart of its project: Vasco Matos had announced that he wanted to make the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota “uma fortaleza”, a place where “opponents do not feel comfortable”. The facts do not yet follow, with a 0-2 home defeat to Rio Ave on 22 August. The next fixture is set for Monday 7 September at 20:15 against FC Arouca, closing matchday 5 — a late start-of-week slot that does not help mobilisation. No attendance data, and no supporters' group statement, was found in the sources consulted for the 2026-27 season.

Pressure on the head coach

No public questioning found: Vasco Matos has been in the role since 8 July 2026 (succeeding Ian Cathro, who left for Saint-Étienne) and is under contract for two seasons, until 2028 (A Bola, 08/07/2026).

Club objectives

The objective Vasco Matos has stated since his presentation is unchanged: instilling a “winning mentality” and consistency, and making the stadium a fortress, with no numerical league-position objective announced. The window reflects cautious management rather than stated ambition: only three arrivals (Fernando Medrano, Stelios Andreou and Samuel Amissah, the last two on loan) against five departures, including the sales of Felix Bacher to Lyon and Kevin Boma to RB Salzburg. In the short term, the urgency is arithmetical: a single point from four matchdays and two goals scored make winning at home essential, starting with Arouca's visit on 7 September.

Recent internal tensions

No internal tension reported at this stage (search carried out on 01/09/2026).

Absences

InjuredJordan Holsgrove — Midfielder, a muscle injury having kept him out of the last three matches, including the defeat to Rio Ave; still out ahead of the home game against Benfica (MD4, 29/08/2026). Source: Sports Mole, 29/08/2026.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

GD Estoril Praia — Moreirense FC

At homeSunday 25 October at 16:30Matchday 9

In 7 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction

EstimateGD Estoril Praia — Moreirense FC

35 %

1 · GD Estoril Praia

28 %

X · draw

37 %

2 · Moreirense FC

In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 8 matches played by GD Estoril Praia, 8 matches by Moreirense FC. Confidence: fair

The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures

League average. 195 goals scored over 142 team-matches played (18 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.37 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
TeamGoalsRawKept
GD Estoril Praia — attack4 in 8 matches0.360.64
GD Estoril Praia — defence12 in 8 matches1.091.05
Moreirense FC — attack8 in 8 matches0.730.84
Moreirense FC — defence15 in 8 matches1.371.21
The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.57 for GD Estoril Praia and 0.57 for Moreirense FC. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.20 goal scored on average by the host against 1.49 by the visitor, over the 45 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 0.81; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.43, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.00. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
GD Estoril Praia at home: 0.50 pts/match versus 0.25 overall over 4 matches → ×1.120
Moreirense FC away: 1.00 pts/match versus 1.00 overall over 4 matches → ×1.000
Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
λ_{GD Estoril Praia} = 1.37 × 0.64 × 1.21 × 1.00 × 1.120 = 1.18
λ_{Moreirense FC} = 1.37 × 0.84 × 1.05 × 1.000 = 1.22
Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 35.3%, draw 27.6%, away win 37.1% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 1-1 (only 13.0%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).

Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.

It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.

What other sources say

No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.

This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers

Joel Robles
Martin Turk
Diogo Dias
Fletcher Lowe

Defenders

Ricard Sánchez
Fernando Medrano
Ferro
Antef Tsoungui
Xavi Sintes
Ismael Sierra
Gonçalo Costa
Tiago Parente
Diogo Brasido
Pedro Carvalho
Jan Montes
Stelios Andreou
Samuel Amissah
Jordan Arnolin

Midfielders

Xeka
Jordan Holsgrove
João Carvalho
Luís Gomes
Tiago Brito

Forwards

André Lacximicant
Khayon Edwards
Yanis Begraoui
Peixinho
Fabricio Garcia
Rafik Guitane

This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.

Squad last verified on 1 Sep 2026 — source: Official website estorilpraia.pt (squad/first-team page).

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss11 Oct 2026

Académico sinks Estoril. Santa Clara surpasses Benfica

Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto

rss9 Oct 2026

Vasco Matos promises Estoril's "good response" to the Académico Viseu

Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto

rss15 Oct 2026

Vasco Matos leaves Estoril and stars third ‘psychological whipping’

Source: RTP Desporto

rss8 Oct 2026

"We are conscious and have already put ourselves in the place of Estoril"

Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto

rss15 Oct 2026

Official: Vasco Matos leaves Estoril after eight games

Source: Notícias ao Minuto — Desporto

rss15 Oct 2026

New whipping in the I League: Estoril announces departure of Vasco Matos

Source: zerozero

Other2 Sep 2026

Fábio Veríssimo has been appointed to referee Estoril v Arouca, in matchday 5 of the Liga Portugal Betclic.

Source: A Bola

Transfers2 Sep 2026

The official summary of the Portuguese window confirms a tighter summer for Estoril than for their rivals: only three arrivals (defender Fernando Medrano from Mirandés, Stelios Andreou on loan from Widzew Łódź and Samuel Amissah on loan from Fulham) for five departures, including Felix Bacher to Lyon, Kevin Boma to RB Salzburg and Nodari Lominadze to Torpedo Kutaisi.

Source: Maisfutebol

Result1 Sep 2026

The club's official report on the 2-1 defeat at Benfica details an evening of resistance: Vangelis Pavlidis opening the scoring with a half-volley in the 40th minute, the lead doubled by a powerful Clément Lenglet strike in the 51st, then the deficit reduced by Yanis Begraoui in the 82nd. Goalkeeper Joel Robles made several decisive saves and Estoril pushed without managing to equalise.

Source: GD Estoril Praia (site officiel)

Club1 Sep 2026

Estoril's Sub-23s, coached by Sérgio Raimundo, snatched a 2-2 draw away at FC Felgueiras on matchday 4 of the Liga Next Gen, at the Lousada municipal stadium. Two down after goals from Samu (15) and Tiago Machado (34), the Canarinhos pulled one back through Jaime Costa (57) before Kélian Baruti equalised in the very last seconds; goalkeeper Fletcher Lowe had stood out in the first half.

Source: GD Estoril Praia (site officiel)

Club1 Sep 2026

The club sit 17th in the Liga Betclic table with a single point after four matchdays.

Source: GD Estoril Praia (site officiel)

Club31 Aug 2026

At his press conference, Sub-23 head coach Sérgio Raimundo looked back on the 2-1 win against Moreirense, achieved “in a match that was very intense until the last minute”, and set out his intentions before Felgueiras: “we are not going to waste a single minute of play”. He described the opposition as “a very combative team, with plenty of collective and individual quality”.

Source: GD Estoril Praia (site officiel)

Club31 Aug 2026

Analysis of the refereeing in Estoril's 2-1 defeat in Lisbon against Benfica in matchday 4, notably including a foul flagged by Fernando Medrano on Alexander Bah.

Source: A Bola

Result30 Aug 2026

GD Estoril Praia lost 2-1 away at Benfica on matchday 4.

Source: Campeonatos Internacionais

Club22 Aug 2026

After the 0-2 home defeat to Rio Ave, Vasco Matos points to a lack of aggressiveness and attacking end product from his team, while stressing that it produced 18 shots to the opposition's 3.

Source: Maisfutebol

News last verified on 15 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.

Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.