2026/2027 season

Serie A

Team page
Serie A · Team page
AC Monza
Head coach: Ivan Jurić · 3-4-2-1
Rank
15th
Pts
4
P
6
Form
🟠 Poor

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
7/10
Attack
1/10
Defence
3/10
Form
3/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:High

15th with 4 pts from 6 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 4 defeats.

9 goals scored, 15 conceded.

"You're playing in a championship is nothing, for us usually approach"

ANSA Sport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

It is the seventh and penultimate test of the 2026 championship, the summit moment where strategies are dyed of urgency before the great final in Monza. Today is the day of the Hyperpole.

ABC Deportes · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Padoin's team looking for ransom: after 6 days the first win in the championship is still missing

Tuttosport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Juric's brianzols host Sardinian training at the U-Power Stadium in the 7ª place; Serie A day

Tuttosport · 17 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs SS Lazio (A) · 1-3
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio (H) · 2-1
Lvs US Lecce (A) · 2-3
Dvs Parma Calcio 1913 (A) · 1-1
Lvs Udinese Calcio (H) · 2-3
WDLLLL
9 scored / 15 conceded over 6 matches played
Rest: 7 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
1W - 0D - 1L
Away form
0W - 1D - 3L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
1.6
Goals conceded per match
2.2
At home
4 scored · 4 conceded in 2 matches
Away
4 scored · 7 conceded in 3 matches
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 5
Both teams score
5 of 5
Clean sheets
0 of 5
Failed to score
0 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How AC Monza play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
3-4-2-1
Philosophy
Jurić advocates an attacking identity and intense pressing, relying on a blend of young talents and experienced players, in a context of sporting urgency linked to numerous absences.
Attacking strengths
Attack led by Gustavo Varela and Patrick Cutrone, supported by Andrea Colpani; the latter and Varela scored both Monegasque goals against Udinese.
Defensive solidity
Back three (Lucchesi, Carboni, Ziółkowski) still bedding in, weakened by an avalanche of absences in defence and midfield.
Pressing
Style claimed as intense and aggressive by Jurić, in line with his previous experiences (Torino, Atalanta, Hellas Verona).
Transitions
Play seeking to exploit width via the wing-backs (Birindelli, Mangas) to support the front three.
StrengthQuick buy-in from supporters despite the results, a committed approach to developing young players, a clear playing identity imposed from Jurić's arrival.
WeaknessSquad missing several injured key players (Pessina, Akinsanmiro, Colombo, Touré), a transfer window judged late by the coach himself, 0 points after 2 matchdays.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Monza have finally won a match: the 0-1 snatched in Turin in the Coppa Italia, with a heavily rejuvenated team, has given some breathing space after a catastrophic start to the league season. The match statistics confirmed the Brianza side's superiority, with 1.95 expected goals against 1.05 for a Granata side who did not manage a single shot on target. Ivan Jurić stressed that his young players stood up to theoretically superior opponents. The fact remains that the league still shows no points and seven goals conceded in two matchdays.
Coach / players / board relationship
Ivan Jurić publicly cleared his board after the cup qualification: “The club did what it promised me when they took me on,” he said on 2 September, ending the “total emergency” message he was still using on the eve of the match against Udinese. He praised the mix between the young players and the experienced ones who came from Napoli, Ngonge and Folorunsho, and personally claimed credit for spotting Robinson in Southampton's reserve side. The club, by contrast, chose not to replace captain Pessina in the market, a decision the head coach has not publicly disputed.
Mood with the supporters
The Brianza public, still without a single satisfaction in the league, has seen its team take a first away win in the cup and qualify for a prestigious last-16 tie at San Siro against Milan. That fixture is, in the short term, the club's main commercial and popular argument. Institutionally, the Berlusconi chapter is definitively closed: Fininvest has sold its last 20% to Beckett Layne Ventures, and the tifosi's historic identification with the former ownership gives way to American governance led by Lauren Crampsie and Mauro Baldissoni. The trip to Parma, against opponents also on no points, will be scrutinised as a test of credibility.
Pressure on the head coach
The Coppa Italia win momentarily eases the pressure on Ivan Jurić, whose defence remained the most discussed subject after seven goals conceded in two league matchdays. The Croatian framed expectations himself by publicly setting survival as “a great result”, a way of recalling the real level of a squad rebuilt with thirteen signings. He must, however, find a balance without captain Pessina, operated on his knee, with Ciurria unavailable and Varela doubtful. The trip to Parma, between two sides without a point, is the first match in which a result is expected.
Club objectives
Survival remains the sole objective and Jurić stated it bluntly: “If we stay up, it will be a great result.” The club, which closed a window of thirteen signings, chose not to replace Pessina, preferring to rely on squad depth and on integrating young players. The Coppa Italia has become a secondary but real objective, with a last-16 tie at San Siro against Milan at stake. In the league, the immediate priority is to take a first point against opponents from the bottom half.
Recent internal tensions
No open tension is reported between the head coach, the dressing room and the new ownership. The most sensitive subject remains captain Matteo Pessina's long absence, operated on his right knee and expected back between late October and early November, in a group short of reference points and leaders. The pile-up of muscle problems, with Varela suffering an adductor injury and Ciurria unavailable, also complicates the stabilisation of an already heavily rebuilt team. Fininvest's definitive exit closes an era without causing any apparent rift.
Absences
InjuredMatteo Pessina — Dislocated right kneecap, operated on in Turin; around two months out, with a return expected between late October and early November.
InjuredPatrick Ciurria — Announced as unavailable for the trip to Parma in the probable line-ups; nature of the injury not specified.
DoubtfulGustavo Varela — Adductor problem sustained against Udinese, absent in the Coppa Italia; still being assessed before Parma.
DoubtfulCyril Ngonge — Under assessment before the trip to Parma according to the probable line-ups.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

AC Monza — Cagliari

At homeMonday 19 October at 18:30Matchday 7
It's tomorrow. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.
What the press says

No preview found for this fixture. The press mostly covers the big games, and usually the day before.

Prediction
EstimateAC Monza — Cagliari
25 %
1 · AC Monza
23 %
X · draw
52 %
2 · Cagliari
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by AC Monza, 6 matches by Cagliari. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 187 goals scored over 130 team-matches played (20 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.44 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    AC Monza — attack9 in 6 matches1.041.02
    AC Monza — defence15 in 6 matches1.741.37
    Cagliari — attack6 in 6 matches0.700.85
    Cagliari — defence3 in 6 matches0.350.67
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for AC Monza and 0.50 for Cagliari. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.65 goal scored on average by the host against 1.33 by the visitor, over the 52 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.24; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.44, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.10. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    AC Monza at home: 1.50 pts/match versus 0.67 overall over 2 matches → ×1.120
    Cagliari away: 3.00 pts/match versus 2.17 overall over 3 matches → ×1.105
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λAC Monza = 1.44 × 1.02 × 0.67 × 1.10 × 1.120 = 1.22
    λCagliari = 1.44 × 0.85 × 1.37 × 1.105 = 1.84
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 25.2%, draw 22.8%, away win 52.0% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 1-1 (only 10.5%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Demba Thiam
  • Aljaz Strajnar
  • Aleksandr Ballabio
Defenders
  • Jan Ziółkowski
  • Lorenzo Lucchesi
  • Yvan Maye
  • Valentin Antov
  • Ricardo Mangas
  • Filippo Delli Carri
  • Samuele Birindelli
  • Adam Bakoune
  • Andrea Carboni
  • Eddy Kouadio
Midfielders
  • Idrissa Touré
  • Manga Foe Ondoa
  • Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
  • Leonardo Colombo
  • Nicolas Galazzi
  • Andrea Colpani
  • Matteo PessinaC
  • Mathis Mout
  • Michael Folorunsho
Forwards
  • Cyril Ngonge
  • Gustavo Varela
  • Patrick Cutrone
  • Omari Forson
  • Keita Baldé
  • Solomon Loubao
  • Patrick Ciurria
  • Jay Robinson
  • Dany Mota
  • Kevin Martins
This team's current captain could not be confirmed with certainty at the last check — no armband is shown above until the information is reliable.
Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: corrieredellosport.it (rosa) / tuttosport.com.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
Calcio, Pisacane 'attenti al Monza, do not look at the ranking'
Source: ANSA Sport
rss18 Oct 2026
Football: Monza; Juric, 'we can improve the ranking, are optimistic'
Source: ANSA Sport
rss18 Oct 2026
Primavera Juve, direct: challenge at Monza, formations and result in real time
Source: Tuttosport
rss11 Oct 2026
Lazio beats Monza with Nuno Tavares in highlight and sticks to the Inter at the top
rss17 Oct 2026
Monza-Cagliari: likely formations and direct. Where to see on TV and streaming
Source: Tuttosport
rss13 Oct 2026
F1: Autodromo Nazionale Monza confirms Tre Stelle Fia for environmental sustainability
Source: ANSA Sport
Club3 Sep 2026
For the trip to Parma, Jurić will have to manage without Pessina or Ciurria, while Ngonge and Varela are still to be assessed; recently signed goalkeeper Törnqvist is reported to be in direct competition with Thiam, in a 3-4-2-1 with Colpani and Mota behind Cutrone.
Source: Monza News
Head coach2 Sep 2026
Ivan Jurić was satisfied after the cup tie: “The club did what it promised me when they took me on,” he said, before adding that “if we stay up, it will be a great result”. He praised the mix of young players and experienced ones such as Ngonge and Folorunsho, and recounted having discovered Robinson in Southampton's reserve side.
Source: Forza Monza
Club2 Sep 2026
Michael Folorunsho spoke about settling in after his first match in his new colours, saying he was highly motivated and explaining that he was already watching Monza on television before his transfer.
Source: Forza Monza
Other2 Sep 2026
Parma v Monza, on Sunday 6 September at 15:00 at the Tardini, has been handed to referee La Penna, with Pezzuto on VAR.
Source: Toro.it
Result1 Sep 2026
A first win of the season in all competitions: Monza won 0-1 away at Torino in the Coppa Italia last 32, through a Dany Mota goal just before the break (45+3), after a low cross from Forson. Robinson also hit the post in the second half and a penalty awarded to Torino in the 90+4th minute was overturned after a VAR review.
European competition1 Sep 2026
That qualification sends the Brianza side into the Coppa Italia last 16, at San Siro against Milan.
Club1 Sep 2026
Against Torino, Jurić had already rotated heavily, fielding Thiam; Maye, Lucchesi, Kouadio; Bakoune, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Mangas; Forson, Robinson and Dany Mota, in a much-rejuvenated 3-4-2-1.
Source: Tutto Monza
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Monza invested around €18m, with Exequiel Zeballos from Boca Juniors for €4.5m, Patrick Cutrone from Como for €4m, Gustavo Varela for €2.5m, and Cyril Ngonge and Michael Folorunsho on loan from Napoli.
Result1 Sep 2026
A second home defeat on matchday 2, 2-3 to Udinese, which leaves the Brianza side on no points and with seven goals conceded in two matches.
Injury30 Aug 2026
Gustavo Varela injured his adductor in the 2-3 defeat to Udinese, having just scored four goals in three matches; he missed the Coppa Italia tie in Turin and his recovery time was still to be established.
Source: Tutto Monza
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.