2026/2027 season

Serie A

Team page
Serie A · Team page
Atalanta
Head coach: Maurizio Sarri · 4-3-3
Rank
10th
Pts
9
P
6
Form
🟡 Average

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
5/10
Attack
6/10
Defence
4/10
Form
4/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:Very high

10th with 9 pts from 6 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats.

8 goals scored, 8 conceded.

Series A matchday, AC Milan meets Atalanta Bergamo. Will Ruben Amorim's team remain unbeaten?

Sportschau · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Diavoli and Dea are both reducing from two good victories in Europe: now only one will have the best even in the championship

Tuttosport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The Portuguese guides the Rossoneri attack and seeks the joy of the goal even in the championship. The Portuguese coach is melting the latest training doubts

Tuttosport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Sarri away in San Siro for the seventh day of the championship: all the info to follow the live game, the likely formations

Corriere dello Sport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Wvs Venezia FC (H) · 3-1
Lvs Juventus FC (A) · 0-2
Lvs Cagliari Calcio (H) · 1-2
Lvs AS Roma (A) · 1-2
Wvs Bologna FC 1909 (H) · 1-0
WWWLLL
8 scored / 8 conceded over 6 matches played
Rest: 6 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
3W - 0D - 1L
Away form
0W - 0D - 2L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.4
At home
5 scored · 3 conceded in 3 matches
Away
1 scored · 4 conceded in 2 matches
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 5
Both teams score
3 of 5
Clean sheets
1 of 5
Failed to score
1 of 5
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Atalanta play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
4-3-3
Philosophy
Clean break from Gasperini's three-man catenaccio: Sarri is imposing a back four organised entirely on zonal principles and a calmer build-up from the back (“La filosofia di calcio è completamente differente,” he said).
Attacking strengths
Play built around a regista in front of the defence (Gianluca Gaetano) and full-backs who tuck inside before advancing, with Scamacca and De Ketelaere as an offensive focal point.
Defensive solidity
Zonal defensive block in which the centre-backs step out only when the opposing forward receives the ball with his back to goal; the adaptation is still ongoing according to the specialist tactical press.
Pressing
High pressing is being sought but was judged still laborious in pre-season by observers.
Transitions
Identified weak point: significant distances between the midfielders (Éderson, Samardzic), who have different athletic profiles, which complicates defensive transitions.
StrengthSquad strengthened this summer (Kristensen, Elmas, Gaetano) and an ability to snatch points late in matches, as in the 1-0 win over Bologna in matchday 2.
WeaknessScalvini absent after a left ankle sprain, with the system still being bedded in under a new head coach with demanding methods.

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Six points from six, European qualification already secured and a dressing room reorganised within days around a new captain: confidence remains high at Zingonia. Maurizio Sarri nonetheless cooled the euphoria as early as 1 Sep 2026, naming the defensive phase as his number one concern and acknowledging the wear of four matches in eleven days. Éderson took the same line, judging that the most urgent thing is to absorb the Tuscan coach's principles quickly. The team therefore knows it is ahead in the table and behind in its football, on the eve of a trip to Rome that will be the first real test.
Coach / players / board relationship
The board reinvested part of its sales in the most pressing need Sarri identified after two matchdays: Jonathan Rowe's arrival, confirmed on 1 Sep 2026 on loan with an option that becomes an obligation under certain conditions, fills the lack of alternatives on the attacking flanks. In parallel, the club and Giorgio Scalvini are negotiating an extension of at least two seasons beyond June 2028, with a pay rise, a sign that Atalanta now want to keep their senior players after selling Palestra and Ahanor and letting De Roon go. Submitting the UEFA list on 3 Sep 2026, with youngsters Levak and De Nipoti in the last places, confirms a management style that openly combines profitable sales with internal promotion.
Mood with the supporters
After the banner unfurled at the end of August to keep Marten de Roon, the tifoseria was given a gentle exit: on 3 Sep 2026 the Dutchman published a video farewell in which he calls himself a “bergamasco olandese” for ever and promises to come back one day, explaining his departure purely by the desire to keep playing. Handing the armband to Éderson, announced publicly by Sarri, was accompanied by a warm tribute from the Brazilian to De Roon and Toloi, which defused most of the discontent. The Gewiss Stadium remains an asset the head coach acknowledges himself, saying he feels at ease there. The trip to the Olimpico, against former head coach Gasperini, looks like the season's first emotionally charged occasion.
Pressure on the head coach
Maurizio Sarri's credit remains intact with six points from two matchdays, but he raised the bar himself by refusing to settle for the result against Bologna. His public request for rotation in defence, made on 1 Sep 2026, and his insistence on the defensive phase show a coach who prefers to anticipate criticism rather than absorb it. The schedule does not help him: four matches in eleven days, then a trip to Rome to face his old Lazio rival. No internal voice is questioning him at this stage.
Club objectives
Staying in the leading group in the league and taking seriously a Conference League whose route is now known: Pafos, Kairat Almaty and Mjällby at the Gewiss Stadium, Ajax, Borac and Riga away, between 15 October and 17 December 2026. In the Coppa Italia, the Dea enter directly at the last-16 stage and will meet Udinese there. Scalvini's extension under discussion also points to a structural objective: building the new defensive hierarchy around an academy player.
Recent internal tensions
The De Roon situation closed without damage: now at Roma, the outgoing captain explained on 3 Sep 2026 that he mainly wanted to keep playing, without criticising the club or the head coach. There is therefore no identified internal tension left, but two points to watch remain: Sarri's public dissatisfaction with the defensive phase and the management of a large squad in which several signings are waiting for playing time. The next potentially sensitive subject is contractual, with Scalvini's extension still to be finalised.
Absences
InjuredIsak Hien — Still absent, he is not among the players available for the trip to Rome on 5 Sep.
InjuredKamaldeen Sulemana — A long-term absentee, he also misses matchday 3.
BackThomas Kristensen — Expected in full training at the start of the week according to Sarri, he is once again considered available for Roma v Atalanta.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Milan — Atalanta

AwaySunday 18 October at 18:00Matchday 7
It's today. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.

Prediction, odds and form of both teams →

What the press says
Prediction
EstimateMilan — Atalanta
59 %
1 · Milan
22 %
X · draw
19 %
2 · Atalanta
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 6 matches played by Milan, 6 matches by Atalanta. Confidence: medium
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 187 goals scored over 130 team-matches played (20 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 1.44 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    Milan — attack11 in 6 matches1.271.14
    Milan — defence5 in 6 matches0.580.79
    Atalanta — attack8 in 6 matches0.930.96
    Atalanta — defence8 in 6 matches0.930.96
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.50 for Milan and 0.50 for Atalanta. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 1.65 goal scored on average by the host against 1.33 by the visitor, over the 52 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.24; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.44, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.10. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    Milan at home: 3.00 pts/match versus 2.00 overall over 2 matches → ×1.100
    Atalanta away: 0.00 pts/match versus 1.50 overall over 2 matches → ×0.880
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λMilan = 1.44 × 1.14 × 0.96 × 1.10 × 1.100 = 1.91
    λAtalanta = 1.44 × 0.96 × 0.79 × 0.880 = 0.96
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 59.5%, draw 22.0%, away win 18.6% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 1-0 (only 10.8%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Goalkeepers
  • Marco Carnesecchi
  • Marco Sportiello
  • Paolo Vismara
Defenders
  • Isak Hien
  • Odilon Kossounou
  • Thomas Kristensen
  • Sead Kolasinac
  • Giorgio Scalvini
  • Raoul Bellanova
  • Mitchel Bakker
  • Honest Ahanor
  • Lorenzo Bernasconi
  • Davide Zappacosta
Midfielders
  • Marten de RoonC
  • Mario Pasalic
  • Ederson
  • Nicola Zalewski
  • Ibrahim Sulemana
  • Gianluca Gaetano
Forwards
  • Charles De Ketelaere
  • Eljif Elmas
  • Nikola Krstovic
  • Giacomo Raspadori
  • Lazar Samardzic
  • Gianluca Scamacca
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana
Squad last verified on 31 Aug 2026 — source: besoccer.com/team/squad/atalanta and calciotel.it (cross-checked); captaincy confirmed by an official atalanta.it article.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
From 6 pm live - AC Milan meets Atalanta
Source: Sportschau
rss18 Oct 2026
Milan-Atalanta: likely formations and direct. Where to see on TV and streaming
Source: Tuttosport
rss18 Oct 2026
Milan, Ramos for the turn: against the Atalanta touches Gonçalo. Amorim with doubt Cisse
Source: Tuttosport
rss18 Oct 2026
Where to see Milan-Atalanta? Sky or Dazn, schedule
Source: Corriere dello Sport
rss17 Oct 2026
Raspadori, confirmed injury: Atalanta trouble, recovery time
Source: Tuttosport
rss17 Oct 2026
Football: Atalanta; Raspadori out two weeks, still femoral biceps problems
Source: ANSA Sport
European competition3 Sep 2026
On 3 Sep 2026 Atalanta submitted their UEFA list for the Conference League: 25 players, 17 of them without restriction (Kristensen, Kolašinac, Hien, Kossounou, Éderson, Pašalić, Kessié, Elmas, Samardžić, Rowe, Sulemana, Krstović, De Ketelaere, Raspadori, Zalewski, Carnesecchi, Levak) and four club-trained (Sportiello, Scalvini, Bernasconi, De Nipoti). Goalkeeper Pompei is excluded, his recent arrival meaning he cannot count as a locally trained player.
Source: TuttoAtalanta
Club3 Sep 2026
Marten de Roon said farewell to Bergamo with a video message after ten years at Atalanta and his transfer to Roma: “Ho accettato un cambio di società perché voglio chiudere giocando,” he explained, before adding “per sempre mi definisco un bergamasco olandese” and promising “un giorno tornerò”.
Source: TuttoAtalanta
Transfers2 Sep 2026
On 1 Sep 2026 Atalanta confirmed the arrival of England winger Jonathan Rowe, on loan from Bologna with a purchase option that becomes an obligation under certain conditions. The signing answers a gap that appeared in the very first outings, the absence of alternatives on the attacking flanks.
Source: TuttoAtalanta
Contract2 Sep 2026
Giorgio Scalvini, under contract until 30 June 2028, is discussing with the club an extension of at least two further seasons together with a pay rise. A starter in the first three matches of the Sarri era, the 23-year-old defender (137 games and 8 goals for the Dea) is presented as the new anchor of a defence without Djimsiti and De Roon.
Source: TuttoAtalanta
Result2 Sep 2026
Matchday 3 sends Atalanta to Rome's Olimpico on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:45 to face Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma, also on six points. Sarri is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 with Carnesecchi; Zappacosta, Kossounou, Scalvini, Bernasconi; Samardžić, Gaetano, Éderson; De Ketelaere, Scamacca, Raspadori, without Hien or Sulemana but with Kristensen available again.
Source: CalcioAtalanta
Club2 Sep 2026
In the Coppa Italia, Atalanta are seeded and enter directly at the last-16 stage, where they will face Udinese, who qualified by beating Venezia 2-1 on 2 September.
Source: Sky Sport
Head coach1 Sep 2026
After the win against Bologna, Maurizio Sarri refused to be satisfied with the points return and named his priority task: “La mia preoccupazione maggiore è la fase difensiva”. He also explained that he needs to rotate his centre-backs, Kossounou and Scalvini having played every minute, and hoped to have Kristensen back in full training early the following week.
Source: BergamoNews
Club1 Sep 2026
New captain Éderson spoke of his emotion at his press conference: he said he was honoured to wear an armband previously worn by De Roon and Toloi, praised a predecessor “of character” who “helped him a great deal”, and set the squad's priority as absorbing the football Sarri wants as quickly as possible.
Source: TuttoAtalanta
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Atalanta closed a record window on the selling side by transferring two defenders to Chelsea: Marco Palestra for €57m and Honest Ahanor for €46.7m, in total sales of more than €120m.
Source: Tuttomercatoweb
Club1 Sep 2026
Squad depth has become Maurizio Sarri's main weapon: across three consecutive matches it was substitutes who proved decisive, Krstović against Sassuolo, Gianluca Scamacca in Europe against Miskolc and Samardžić against Bologna.
Source: CalcioAtalanta
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.