2026/2027 league phase

Champions League

Club page
Champions League · Club page
Roma
Head coach: Gian Piero Gasperini · 3-4-2-1
Rank
25th
Pts
1
P
2
Form
🟠 Poor

The essentials at a glance

The summary of this page: estimated level of play, form trend and qualitative verdict. For the details, head to the other tabs.

Editors' ratings
7/10
Attack
4/10
Defence
2/10
Form
2/10
Confidence / mood
Current risk:—

25th with 1 pts from 2 matches: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat.

4 goals scored, 5 conceded.

Son of the former Brazilian prodigy, Robinho Junior honored his great debut under the Genoa jersey against the Roma (0-2), Saturday night.

L'Équipe · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Both race directors have positive balances when they met Italian clubs in Europe

Tuttosport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

Former midfielder of Rome: "I'm good in England, but I've been tied to Italy"

ANSA Sport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

The declarations of the Slovak club coach two days from the Champions League match against the Giallorossi

Corriere dello Sport · 18 Oct 2026 · machine-translated

How the team has played recently

Match-by-match results, record and rhythm of the current season.

Latest matches
Lvs Real Madrid CF (H) · 3-4
Dvs Fenerbahçe SK (A) · 1-1
DL
4 scored / 5 conceded over 2 matches played
Rest: 4 days since the last match · 1 match played in the last 15 days
Home form
0W - 0D - 1L
Away form
0W - 1D - 0L
Statistics

Computed from this season's scores, every time the page is shown.

Goals scored per match
2.0
Goals conceded per match
2.5
At home
3 scored · 4 conceded in 1 match
Away
1 scored · 1 conceded in 1 match
Over 2.5 goals
1 of 2
Both teams score
2 of 2
Clean sheets
0 of 2
Failed to score
0 of 2
Cumulative points vs league average

Not enough matchdays recorded yet for this curve — history builds up with every standings refresh.

How Roma play

System, playing identity, and what sets the team apart at both ends of the pitch.

Playing identity
Preferred system
3-4-2-1
Philosophy
Attacking strengths
Defensive solidity
Pressing
Transitions
Strength
Weakness

The mood around the club, and who is missing

Internal climate, relationship with the supporters, and known absences before the next match.

Mood
Squad confidence
Roma remain the league's form team with two 4-0 wins and a treatment room that is emptying rather than filling. Evan Ndicka's tests ruled out any muscle tear, finding only inflammation of the hamstring, while Devyne Rensch and Lorenzo Pellegrini have partially rejoined the group at Trigoria. Gasperini therefore has more or less all his options before hosting Atalanta, his former club, at an Olimpico set to be full. The only reservation is that sporting director Tony D'Amico himself acknowledged the squad is “a player short” at the end of the window.
Coach / players / board relationship
New sporting director Tony D'Amico went public on 2 September at Trigoria to close the transfer window chapter, denying any concrete offer for Manu Koné — only enquiries — and accepting that the squad remains one short. That intervention extends Gasperini's line, having already voiced his irritation at overly long transfer windows and at the rumours surrounding his midfielder. On the ownership side, the Friedkins remain committed to the Roma project while seeking, according to the Financial Times, investors for a significant stake in Everton. No tension between head coach and board is reported.
Mood with the supporters
Enthusiasm is at its peak after two 4-0 wins: demand for tickets for the visit of Atalanta is such that the club has opened the Distinti Nord-Ovest section, normally reserved for away fans, to giallorossi supporters at 30 euros, offering the Distinti Nord-Est at 55 euros as an alternative. The Bergamo press describes a “boiling” Olimpico and a “giallorossa tide” for this Saturday-night fixture. The mood has also calmed around Marten de Roon, given a warm welcome on his arrival despite his Bergamo past. Gasperini's return against his former club promises an emotionally charged evening.
Pressure on the head coach
No pressure on Gian Piero Gasperini, whose start to the season is the best in the league and who has not conceded a single goal in two matchdays. He is now managing an abundance of options, notably in a back three where Ghilardi delivered at Lecce in Ndicka's absence. The one point of attention concerns squad depth going into a schedule on two rhythms, league and Champions League, a subject his sporting director himself put on the table. The clash with Atalanta, his former club, adds a personal dimension to a fixture already billed as the first real test.
Club objectives
The club is competing on two demanding fronts and has submitted a list of twenty-four players for the Champions League league phase, leaving room for young players such as Arena, De Marzi and Lulli. That opening to the academy reflects Gasperini's intention to widen his rotation gradually rather than sign more players. In the league, the stated ambition is to bank as many points as possible while the momentum is there. The board, through Tony D'Amico, nonetheless acknowledges a squad still one player short to go the distance.
Recent internal tensions
The friction points remain peripheral. The Koné situation occupied the end of the window before the sporting director closed it by referring to mere enquiries with no offer. On the disciplinary front, UEFA has opened proceedings against Mattéo Guendouzi and Mason Greenwood, Fenerbahçe players, following the Champions League play-off second leg against Roma, with the Turkish club announcing it would defend its players before the relevant bodies. Finally, the search for investors in Everton, another Friedkin asset, is fuelling questions about how the ownership allocates its resources.
Absences
DoubtfulEvan Ndicka — Hamstring inflammation with no muscle tear according to the tests; his availability against Atalanta is not guaranteed.
BackDevyne Rensch — Partially back with the group at Trigoria after his muscle problem.
BackLorenzo Pellegrini — Partially back with the group at Trigoria, with a return judged to be close.

Before kick-off

What to know before the next match: statistical form, qualitative analysis, and a computed estimate of the 1/X/2 probabilities.

Next match

Roma — Slovan Bratislava

At homeTuesday 20 October at 21:00Matchday 3
In 2 days. Kick-off time confirmed by the league. Paris time · football-data.org fixtures.
What the press says
Prediction
EstimateRoma — Slovan Bratislava
58 %
1 · Roma
18 %
X · draw
24 %
2 · Slovan Bratislava
In-house calculation, from this page's standings data alone: 2 matches played by Roma, 2 matches by Slovan Bratislava. Confidence: low
The calculation rests on only 2 matches per team. Shrinkage deliberately pulls the estimate close to a neutral split: it barely tells the two teams apart.
The formula, in plain words — with this match's figures
  1. League average. 141 goals scored over 68 team-matches played (34 teams taken into account), i.e. μ = 2.07 goal scored per team per match. This is the reference point: everything that follows is expressed relative to it.
  2. Attacking and defensive strengths. Goals scored (or conceded) per match, divided by μ. 1.00 = exactly average; in defence, above 1.00 means “concedes more than average”.
    TeamGoalsRawKept
    Roma — attack4 in 2 matches0.960.99
    Roma — defence5 in 2 matches1.211.05
    Slovan Bratislava — attack1 in 2 matches0.240.81
    Slovan Bratislava — defence9 in 2 matches2.171.29
    The “Kept” column is the result of shrinkage towards the mean: weight = P / (P + 6), i.e. 0.25 for Roma and 0.25 for Slovan Bratislava. The rest of the weight goes to the league average. This is what stops a lone 5-0 from producing an attack at 3.3 times the average — and hence a 95% probability.
  3. Home advantage (γ). Measured on the league itself: 2.47 goal scored on average by the host against 1.68 by the visitor, over the 34 fixtures present in each team's last 5 matches. Raw ratio 1.47; shrunk towards 1 (weight 0.36, on the log of the ratio) then capped at 1.25 → γ = 1.15. Shrinkage goes towards 1, i.e. no advantage at all: while the sample is small, the model does not assert a home advantage it cannot measure.
  4. Venue correction, specific to each team. Drawn from the home/away split: points per match at the venue concerned are compared to points per match over all fixtures, with stronger shrinkage (weight = P / (P + 8)) and a bound of ±12%.
    Roma at home: 0.00 pts/match versus 0.50 overall over 1 match → ×0.889
    Slovan Bratislava away: 0.00 pts/match versus 0.00 overall over 1 match → ×1.000
  5. Expected goals. One side's attack is set against the other's defence. γ applies to the host only: applying it the other way round too would count the home advantage twice.
    λRoma = 2.07 × 0.99 × 1.29 × 1.15 × 0.889 = 2.72
    λSlovan Bratislava = 2.07 × 0.81 × 1.05 × 1.000 = 1.77
  6. Poisson grid. Probability of every exact score from 0-0 to 8-8, assuming the two goal totals are independent, then adding up the cells: home win 58.0%, draw 17.8%, away win 24.2% — displayed rounded to whole numbers so that they add up to exactly 100. Most likely exact score in the grid: 2-1 (only 7.4%, which says enough about how unpredictable an exact score is).
Limits of this model — they are not anecdotal.
  • It only knows goals and a venue. Neither absences, suspensions, line-ups, fatigue, stakes, weather nor club context enter the calculation — while the other tabs of this page show that they matter.
  • The assumption that the two goal totals are independent is false in reality: it slightly underestimates tight scores, hence the draw.
  • γ is measured over a rolling window (each team's last 5 matches), not over the whole season.
  • The shrinkage constants (6, 60, 8) and the bounds are choices, not measurements. They were tuned to be cautious early in the season; they were not calibrated on a results history, as none is available here.
  • No after-the-fact evaluation has been made: at this stage, nobody knows whether this model is better or worse calibrated than another.
What other sources say
No external source has been collected for this match. That is the normal state: readings are taken by hand, and an empty box is better than an unverified figure.
This block shows probability estimates, not predictions, and carries no advisory value. The in-house estimate is the result of a formula applied to a small sample; the figures from external sources are reproduced as they were collected, without their method having been verified.

The full squad

The professional squad by position, captain marked with an armband.

Squad not documented for this team yet.

What has been said recently

Chronological feed of verified information about the club.

rss18 Oct 2026
Champions, chosen the referees for Rome and Naples: who are and the previous ones with the Italians
Source: Tuttosport
rss18 Oct 2026
Pagelle Roma-Genoa: Magia Castro, joy Lulli, lightning Soulé. Gasp restart, De Rossi late
Source: Tuttosport
rss18 Oct 2026
Chivu, screams in the locker room at the interval with Bologna, as with Roma at the Olimpico: and Inter tilts
rss18 Oct 2026
The grenade wins at 93’: enterprise with Rome
Source: Tuttosport
rss17 Oct 2026
AS Rome dominates Genoa and remains in contact with Inter Milan in Serie A
Source: L'Équipe
rss17 Oct 2026
De Rossi e Baldanzi out con la Roma, "Dentro al 100% al progetto Genoa. E Wiafe..."
Source: Tuttosport
European competition3 Sep 2026
Roma have submitted a list of twenty-four players for the Champions League league phase, with no notable omissions and room for young players, including Arena, De Marzi (born in 2007) and Lulli.
Source: Roma Forever
Supporters3 Sep 2026
The Olimpico is heading for a record attendance for the visit of Atalanta on Saturday 5 September at 20:45: giallorossa demand is such that the club has opened the Distinti Nord-Ovest section, normally reserved for away fans, to home supporters at 30 euros, with the Distinti Nord-Est offered at 55 euros as an alternative.
Other3 Sep 2026
UEFA has opened disciplinary proceedings against Mattéo Guendouzi and Mason Greenwood, Fenerbahçe players, following the Champions League play-off second leg against Roma; the Turkish club has announced it will put its case to the relevant European bodies.
Source: Roma Sport
Institutional3 Sep 2026
According to the Financial Times, carried by Calcio e Finanza, the Friedkin family is working with advisers on a process that could lead to the sale of a significant stake in Everton, its other club, in order to identify investors willing to partner with it; the process is still only at a preliminary stage.
Source: Roma Sport
Injury2 Sep 2026
The tests Evan Ndicka underwent ruled out any muscle tear: it is only inflammation of the hamstring, picked up in the warm-up before Lecce v Roma. His involvement against Atalanta nonetheless remains uncertain, with Gasperini able to stick with Ghilardi, who already started at Lecce.
Club2 Sep 2026
Devyne Rensch and Lorenzo Pellegrini have partially rejoined the group at Trigoria after their muscle problems, good news for Gasperini before hosting Atalanta.
Source: Roma Sport
Other2 Sep 2026
Roma v Atalanta, on Saturday 5 September at 20:45 at the Olimpico, has been handed to referee Colombo, with Camplone on VAR.
Source: Toro.it
Transfers1 Sep 2026
Roma invested around €126m, with Santiago Castro from Bologna for €36m, Donyell Malen from Aston Villa for €25m, Rodrigo Mora from Porto for €25m, Kostantinos Koulierakis for €16.5m and Nahuel Molina for €13m, plus the free arrival of Marten de Roon.
Result31 Aug 2026
A second emphatic display at Lecce with a comprehensive 4-0, through Malen (3, 23), Soulé (24) and Mora (65).
Head coach31 Aug 2026
Gian Piero Gasperini praised his squad after the win at Lecce: “This is an extraordinary group, it has a head and a heart,” and he compared Donyell Malen to Gonzalo Higuaín for his touch, his accuracy in front of goal and his acceleration.
News last verified on 18 Oct 2026. Sources: sports press (L'Équipe, Le Parisien, Foot Mercato, regional press…) and official club websites — see the link on each item.
Editorial content (playing style, mood, absences, external prediction sources) last verified on 3 Sep 2026. The standings/form data above are refreshed automatically — as is the 1/X/2 estimate, recomputed on every view.